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June 20, 2023 at 14:59 #1652227
Looks to me plenty had excuses, ham.
Didn’t look truly run to me. Ian.
Haven’t seen the sectionals yet but the going is probably faster than the first race time suggests.Winner and third raced prominently throughout.
Inspiral ran better than winning distances imply – coming from so far back.
Modern Games is better on firmer.
Native trail yet to show he’s back after op.
Chindit better ridden more prominently.
etc etc.Value Is EverythingJune 20, 2023 at 15:02 #1652228I won’t be backing Native Trail again. Rapidly turning into a ‘cliff horse’.
June 20, 2023 at 15:02 #1652229Winner is certainly decent, but may not be quite as good as distances back to the runner up and fourth suggest,
Value Is EverythingJune 20, 2023 at 15:07 #1652232“I won’t be backing Native Trail again. Rapidly turning into a ‘cliff horse’.”
It’s been downhill ever since the National Stakes at two.
Haven’t had money on him for literally over a year now and no plans to change.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"June 20, 2023 at 15:25 #1652246Native Trail was far superior as a two year old but his contemporaries caught him up at 3 (although he did win the Irish 2000g) and I just feel that he is a decent horse but will always likely be found out at G1 level these days.
I think Inspiral could potentially turn the tables in a faster run race where she can be delivered for one sharp burst, as I think she has a better turn of foot than the winner – she had to use most of her speed just to get upside the winner today in a race where it very much paid to be near the front (winner and third were leading from the start).
However, if it came down to a head to head drawn out battle like today, I think the winner would always have the advantage as he has more stamina.
June 20, 2023 at 16:05 #1652266To be fair Modern Games and Chindit have run pretty much to their Lockinge form and Berkshire Shadow has improved a little from Newbury (1L behind Chindit as opposed to a head in front here).
Modern Games looks like he needs real fast ground and you wouldn’t put it past him going back to back in the BC Mile later in the year when he will likely gets his ideal conditions.
June 20, 2023 at 16:06 #1652268Inspiral will have no chance if she breaks that slow again at Goodwood it’ll be boxed in needing all the luck in the world on the rail or outside with no cover and she can be a bit free if that happens
June 20, 2023 at 16:42 #1652290Inspiral is invariably slowly away TTM. Probably by design because – as you say – she can take a hold. So yes, if it is not a well run race then getting a run could be a problem.
Although will they have the false rail? Makes a big difference.
But if the Sussex is truly run then getting a run shouldn’t be a problem.
…And if they go a strong pace then being dropped out early will be a plus – even at Goodwood.Will she go to Goodwood or be kept to fillies races?
Value Is Everything -
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