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Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2016

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Viewing 17 posts - 188 through 204 (of 224 total)
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  • #1265370
    Avatar photoMoyenneCorniche
    Participant
    • Total Posts 251

    Come on Japan!

    They deserve a winner,I was actually at Longchamp in 2012 when Orfevre absolutely threw the race away and thought the Japanese fella next to me was going to throw himself off the grandstand!

    #1265372
    Racingorchid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 201

    Never has a winner been so easy to find !

    #1265375
    Avatar photothejudge1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2251

    Never has a winner been so easy to find !

    Presume you mean Postponed? Hmmm you might be right but we’ll see.

    #1265378
    wit
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2171

    HKJC include the Arc and the Opera in their simulcast form guide, downloadable here:

    http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/overseas/English/RaceCard.aspx?para=/20161002/S1/8

    interesting to see 41-year-old New Zealander Lisa Allpress having rides in their first and sixth races also being simulcast from Nakayama – potential 10,000 / 1 double there by the reference odds.

    http://japanracing.jp/_news2016/160908.html
    http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/racing/7379048/Lisa-Allpress-clinches-jockey-premiership

    #1265379
    Avatar photoChivers1987
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1929

    Postponed is one of the most chill horses before a race, like he hasn’t got a care in the world. Have a look when they are about to load up. If he is the same again then I’d be confident of a huge run.

    Makahiki is my each way play. That wasn’t just his prep run last time, that was his first run in 3 and a half months and this will be just the 7th race of his career. The ground has come good for him as well.

    Postponed Win 2/1
    Makahiki Each Way 7/1

    Final decision.

    #1265387
    Racingorchid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 201

    No Judge did not mean postponed. Will not be cryptic in future. FOUND has strong claims at a value price.

    #1265405
    wit
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2171

    if the international ratings are correct, Harzand is the only runner carrying what he should be carrying – ie rated 123 and carrying 123.

    all the rest are carrying more. on that basis, Makahiki is next (rated 121, carrying 123).

    of the other market leaders: Postponed rated 124, carries 131. Found rated 122, carries 128.

    so (if his last race explained away by the injury), Harzand does not have to improve whereas the others do ?

    #1265406
    Avatar photoGladiateur
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4675

    so (if his last race explained away by the injury), Harzand does not have to improve whereas the others do ?

    Nah; the international classifications and each country’s ratings don’t take age and gender into account.

    #1265407
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32901

    I keep telling you all Silverware ran three seconds faster than the Japanese horse last time out and is still 25/1 !!! Huge price IMO

    Sometimes overall times mean something, sometimes they don’t.
    French trials are invarialy slowly run, they went faster early in Silverwave’s than the other trials that day, Raymo. Therefore the overall time was faster. Compared to races run at equal fractions Silverwave’s performance wasn’t exceptional.

    If anything, Makahiki’s was the best “time” performance, but not because the overall time was anything special. It’s the fact he came from further back in a race run with very slow early fractions. Doing it against the pace bias.

    Value Is Everything
    #1265411
    Avatar photoTonge
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2976

    Backed New Bay a while back and still think he could go well. I’ve been tempted by Left Hand each way this morning though. Not the best draw but hoping this may not be as bad a disadvantage with the race being run at Chantilly.

    #1265416
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6114

    Harzand still the best value by quite some way imo

    #1265434
    Avatar photothejudge1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2251

    Harzand still the best value by quite some way imo

    I don’t think he’ll be quick enough on this ground Joe.

    #1265436
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6158

    That’s my girl . Hacks up ! :heart:

    #1265437
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6114

    Easy does it for the filly. Well done Found backers and Aidan – what a trainer. Suspect that’s the first time that’s been achieved – 1,2,3

    #1265438
    nwalton
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2478

    yep nice result backed her about 8 months ago after a chat with steve

    #1265442
    Avatar photothejudge1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2251

    horrible aftertiming but did have a slight saver on Found.

    shocking run by the Japanese horse there which was my main hope- time to put a line through these Japanese horses, as I think they get overhyped by the media.

    #1265443
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6296

    What a performance!! Trainer with the first three most impressive :good: :good:

    And when she is good she is very good!!

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