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Lancaster Bomber 8/1 (each-way 1/4 odds first 3 with Bet365)
This gutsy lad finally nabbed that elusive Group 1 last time out and is headed here. Looking at the entries he could easily have it his own way out in front again and could catch the fav napping on a livelier surface than Cracksman might want.
I have Cracksman in a double with Sergei Prokofiev at prices of 3/1 and 8/1 respectively, so I’m hoping for a Frankelesque a la Queen Anne display from the favourite.
The Coronation Cup was obviously disheartening on the face of it, but I’m firmly in the camp that believe a line can be drawn through that run for many well-documented reasons. Ascot should suit much more, as is evident from last year’s Champion Stakes romp, and I’m hoping his giant stride eats up the rising ground.
Good to Firm would be a slight concern, but I’m relieved Benbatl appears to be leaning more towards the Queen Anne, because I think the Godolphin colt would give him something to seriously think about on fast ground.
He doesn’t appear to have much to beat, and he is a far superior horse to Poet’s Word in my opinion, fast ground or not. I just hope he came out of Epsom in good form and can put that race behind him, because there is definitely a concern for me that it may have left its mark.
Mightily disappointed with that news but at least Bet365 (who were NRNB anyway) have let me have my money back already.
I have had to change tack. I might back Cracksman on the day if I have had a good Tuesday but until then I see no point in getting on at a best priced 5/6.
I don’t want to back Poet’s Word at 9/2 at all to turn around Champions Stakes form and I can’t touch either Hawkbill or Eminent after their latest runs.
I’d have some on Hyndrangea is she came here but I think that’s unlikely and Morando, Desert Encounter and Royal Julius simply don’t look capable of even placing.
That just leaves Cliffs Of Moher who although shouldn’t win this on form does look the e/w play in the race at 16/1. It’s effectively 3.2/1 to place albeit you’d deduct your win money of that.
A manoeuvre.
Cliffs Of Moher 16/1 (each-way 1/5 odds first 3 with Coral)
I’m at Ascot on Tuesday and Wednesday and so want some angle for this race.
I’m not confident in limping on Cracksman as I’ve a sneaky feeling he may get turned over. However, on all known form, he’s probably still value at 4/6 so I’ve added him in a few multiples.
For the single play for the race, I’m thinking it’s probably Cliffs Of Moher at 10/1 each way if he’s declared. That will probably end up being my bet. It’s a terrible race though really. A major lack of depth.
I would have thought the angle into the race would be chancing Eminent.
Ok you’ve to trust his health but i reckon he’ll be given a forceful ride in a smallish field, and have a go at stealing it.
Cracksman wins no problem, but i would be chancing him.
Cliffs of Moher is one of those horses i couldn’t back with counterfeit.
Poets word for me is more effective over 12f.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!From my preview:
‘4:20 – Prince Of Wales’ Stakes (Group 1)
It’s Cracksman time! The best colt on the planet takes centre stage here as he looks to replicate his astonishing demolition job over course and distance on Champions Day last year on soft ground. Could he be vulnerable here? With the ground firm and the drop back in distance from his last run, I won’t be one of many lumping on him here. He apparently bumped his head on the stalls at Epsom and once again struggled on the descent round Tattenham Corner and this more conventional track will suit him far better. However, he needed every yard of that race and the drop in trip back to 1m 2f, on this ground, worries me a tad. If coping with the ground, he will surely win. For that basis, he’s in my daily multiples across the card. As a single bet on the race, I’ve played CLIFFS OF MOHER (12/1) to cause an upset at big odds. The O’Brien colt was just outstayed by his stablemate in the Derby over 1m 4f last season when nabbed on the line and this is probably his optimum distance. Lancaster Bomber got the run of the race in the Tattersalls Gold Cup to beat the selection but my horse ran with credit that day and he will enjoy this track and trip. If Cracksman doesn’t pick up quickly again like at Epsom, could Cliffs of Moher have already flown? I fully expect Cracksman to be in full stride at the line but I am hopeful the O’Brien inmate will have already gone far enough clear by that point for it to matter. Hawkbill ran terribly in the aforementioned Coronation Cup behind Cracksman and it’s hard to back him to overturn that form with any confidence. Eminent’s run at Chester was even worse and I’ve never been a fan of his anyway. In all honestly, I wouldn’t back Martyn Meade’s charge for this with counterfeit. Poet’s Word is a three time runner up at the top level and is respected but is probably too short. Desert Encounter and Royal Julius will need a miracle to beat this field.’All I want is for Cliffs of Moher to finish in the first 3 and I’ll be a happy boy. Surely it can’t be that hard?
Decided to take Cracksman out of it and bet on the “without” market.
Don’t like Cliffs Of Moher – disappoints far too often and Royal Julius outclassed. Really like Poets Word as a horse, but as the favourite’s main rival will he pay for challenging too soon? Not a main bet for me.
Lot will depend on the pace. When Hawkbill can’t lead I forget about the race. Won at Meydan with a soft lead. Trouble is Eminent also likes to front run. Eminent had a heart problem last time. If the two take each other on neither will run well, if one lets the other lead it will detrimental to the one who doesn’t lead. Have taken a chance on Hawkbill just in case they don’t burn each other out and saved on Poet’s Word. But if Hawkbill and Eminent ruin their chance, if Poets Word isn’t fast enough/challenges too soon, got doubts about Cliffs Of Moher’s attitude. The one I really like at the prices (value is everything) is Desert Encounter. Excellent place in the Eclipse after a strong pace. Thought about taking the 50/1 each way, but if the race doesn’t go his way (slow pace) I’d lose the lot – better with other bets too… Desert Encounter will be dropped out the back by the expert drop out jockey – Spencer. Stable also in good form. There’s a chance the others will break themselves chasing Cracksman and he comes through for second @ 18/1 (without fav).Value Is EverythingSame thoughts as you Ginge on Desert Encounter without Cracksman and in a forecast
Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
Cracksman looks drenched. Major concern for me.
Backed him at 3.00, considering laying him at 1.50 before the off.
Cracksman needs to win well in a poor renewal.
If we forgive his last run, he still needs to show that he can cope on faster ground at this trip. They have quoted the Ganay as proof of handling faster going but Cloth Of Stars has stunk this season out and isn’t looking a reliable yardstick.
Way too short for me here but he should win. Big concerns for the remainder of his targets if he doesn’t.
No play for me here. Good luck to those who are.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Cracksman is a soft ground horse end of.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I said after the last race it looked like 10f on fast going would be interesting.
Cracksman a 12f horse nowGaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
It’s not that Cracksman needs it soft he just doesn’t want it firm. Good ground would be OK. So would 12f.
I bet they wished they ran him in the Arc.
I don’t think it’s a trip, track or ground issue. Cracksman hasn’t been himself in his last two runs, for whatever reason, over 10 and 12 furlongs and on fast and easy ground. You could tell before the race with how he sweat up that there’s something not right with him.
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