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PRESS GANG

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  • #1471
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    A book of systems which I have had for many years examined the success of newspaper selections.

    I have adapted the findings to try out the following system which I haved titled Press Gang

    Rules: <br>1. In the Daily Mirror, pick out any horse selected by both Newsboy and Bouverie. <br>2. If it is priced 5/2 to 4/1 (inclusive) in the betting forecast, it is a selection.

    Yesterday there were 2 qualifiers: Shannon Waters (LOST) and Aahgowangowan which WON 9/4.

    Today there are three qualifiers:<br>Tag Team 3.10 Lingfield<br>Influential 4.20 Perth<br>Astromancer 8.55 Yarmouth.

    #54139
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Good luck with this one, Steve, but I wouldn’t hold out a lot of hope for two reasons:

    1. Newspaper tipsters like Newsboy and Bouverie are very good, but have to give a tip for every race which means giving about 36 selections each today. In the circumstances they do well to only lose around 10 % of their stakes over a long period.

    2. Systems based on selections around the 5/2>4/1 area are very difficult to turn a profit with, mainly because such selections are popular and tend to be overbet.

    It might be better to take the opposing view and frame a system around horses that are only tipped by one tipster. These horses tend to be decent odds and can prove profitable as Rich N Ford has proved.

    #54142
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    Thanks Artemis for your good wishes & advice.    I am actually following the RNF system, but wanted to complement it with an opposite approach.

    I will keep records of profit/loss for July and we’ll see what happens.  

    I intend to use a syaking plan of 1111122233

    Thursday 1st July – 4 selections:

    Riyma 2.30 Yarmouth<br>Zimbali 3.30 Yarmouth<br>Premier Rouge 4.50 Haydock<br>Emerald Penang 6.55 Epsom

    #54143
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    I like Wright Choice ( Times Online ) and Templegate ( Sun online ).   Their daily selections are both available on the internet and cost nothing.

    #54144
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    Results for 1st July L L L Emerald Panang WON 9/2.<br>Outlay 4 Returns 5.5.     (In fact the winner was available at 5.3/1 on Betfair)

    Today 2 July 04<br>Master T 3.00 Southwell<br>Euwiluwil 5.15 Southwell<br>Smart John 7.00 Haydock

    Master T and Euwiluwil are available at around  6/1 on Betfair.

    Thanks for the comments on the idea.  The logic behind it is basically that Newsboy tips 25% winners overall, with at present a level stake loss of 9%.    By following horses that are also tipped by Bouverie and limiting the <br>forecast range to 5/2 to 4/1, I reckon we have a decent chance of a profit.

    The system produces 3 or 4 selections a day and they usually have lots to recommend them (top rated, distance etc)<br>

    (Edited by steve layden at 9:10 pm on July 2, 2004)

    #54145
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    Today we had L L and Smart John WON 5/2<br>Running total 2 out of 7   Outlay 7 Returns 9 (Profit +2)

    <br>(Edited by steve layden at 9:11 pm on July 2, 2004)

    With the 2 winners available at 5.3/1 and 3/1 on Betfair, the profit using this betting medium is 3.3 points

    <br>(Edited by steve layden at 9:13 pm on July 2, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by steve layden at 10:11 am on July 3, 2004)

    #54146
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    Two selections for Saturday 3rd July 04:

    Portrait of a Lady 3.40 Leicester<br>Flipando 4.05 Haydock

    Also two for Sunday 4th July:

    Green Prospect 3.20 Market Rasen<br>Prenup 3.20 Redcar<br>

    #54147
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    Well done Steve.

    #54148
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    Thanks Andy<br>Portrait of a Lady WON at 1/1<br>Flipando WON at 3/1

    Results in July:  LLL W9/2 LL W5/2 W1/1 W3/1<br>4 out of 9    Outlay 9  Returns 15   Profit 6 points

    Let’s hope Sunday goes well!

    #54149
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    Latest results:

    Sunday 4th July  L  L<br>Monday 5th July  L  WON 8/15<br>Tuesday 6th July WON 11/4 L  L

    Summary:  6 out of 16<br>Outlay 16  Returns  20.25   Profit 4.25 opoints

    #54150
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    3 selections for Wednesday 7th July 04:

    Bamzooki 1.40 Lingfield<br>Borora 8.15 Worcester<br>Spring Jim 9.00 Kempton

    #54151
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    1 winner out of 3 yesterday BORORA WON 4/1

    Running totals: 7 out of 19 (36%)<br>Outlay 19 Returns 25.25   Profit 6.25 points.(32%)

    Today’s selection (Thurs 8 July) <br>Platinum Charmer 8.10 Doncaster

    #54152
    jairducochetfan
    Member
    • Total Posts 139

    I have done little research but I’ve been told that when Fallon is riding a horse in the last race of a meeting that the Sunday Mirror nap, it is profitable. Maybe someone who can be bothered will look it up :biggrin: .

    #54153
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    Hi Jairducochetfan

    I don’t know about the Sunday Mirror, but in the whole of the 2003 Flat season, when Newsboy tipped Fallon’s mounts, they were 37% successful, returning a profit of 19 points.

    Incidentally the courses at which Newsboy returned a profit on all selections in 2003 were: Newbury (by far the best), Lingfield, Sandown, Doncaster, Newmarket, Musselburgh, Pontefract, Redcar, Folkestone and Windsor.  

    Today’s PRESS GANG selection was a non runner (Doncaster abandoned)

    #54154
    steve layden
    Member
    • Total Posts 174

    2 loserstoday (Friday 9 July) Alchemist Master and Garnock Venture

    Running total:7 winners out of 21 (33%)<br>Outlay 21 Returns 25.25  (4.25 pts profit)

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