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Powers Gold Cup 2009

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  • #10774
    Avatar photoImperial Call
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    • Total Posts 2184

    65D Powers Gold Cup (Grade 1) €65,444.00
    ( 2m 4f – 5yo+ )[MAX 20] NHFrm

    15-1- 1 Aran Concerto (NMeade) – . …………. 11,10
    151p- 2 Ballyholland(124) (CAMcBratney) – .. 11,10
    f0-11 3 Barker (WPMullins) – ……………………. 11,10
    3-643 4 Coolpotts (JABerry) – . …………………. 11,10
    f-811 5 Deutschland (USA) (WPMullins) – . .. 11,10
    35-02 6 Fantoche (BRZ)(127) (MrsJHarrington) – …… 11,10
    31-44 7 Financial Reward (WPMullins) – . ….. 11,10
    41-10 8 Golden Silver (FR) (WPMullins) – . … 11,10
    21-14 9 Jayo (FR) (WPMullins) – ……………….. 11,10
    21-11 10 Joncol (PNolan) – ………………………… 11,10
    1//-4 11 Nicanor (FR) (NMeade) – ……………… 11,10
    1f-34 12 Northern Alliance (AJMartin) – ……… 11,10
    3-141 13 Rare Bob(140) (DTHughes) – . ……….. 11,10
    51f-6 14 Shazand (FR) (EJO’Grady) – . ……….. 11,10
    33-1f 15 Siegemaster (DTHughes) – . …………. 11,10
    16 Song Of Songs (GB) (JRFanshawe (in GB)) – . ….. 11,10
    7f-41 17 Taipan’s Way(123) (WPMullins) – . …. 11,10
    1-278 18 Tasman(121) (LMcAteer) – . …………… 11,10
    112-3 19 Trafford Lad (GB) (ESheehy) – . ……. 11,10
    15-56 20 Tranquil Sea (EJO’Grady) – ………….. 11,10
    /-112 21 Will Jamie Run(118) (PStafford) – ….. 11,10
    13-11 22 Moskova (PNolan) – …………………….. 11,05
    4112- 23 Tatenen (FR) (PFNicholls (in GB)) – . ………11,02

    This has always been one of my favourite races of the season. I would have a strong fancy for it this year in Trafford Lad if he lines up. The form of the Moriarty is rock solid and Dusty reported afterwards that he’d scoped badly so it’s likely that he wasn’t even at his best that day. He’s already a grade 1 winner over the course and distance so I think he’ll take all the beating here and I’ll be amazed if he doesn’t start favourite.

    Rare Bob acually beat Trafford Lad on their chase debut before the result was ammended in the stewards room but he’s finished behind him twice since then. This horse is very well bred being a half brother to Tiutchev and he’d have a chance if he lines up but he does also hold an entry in the National the following day.

    Aran Concerto is a horse with a massive reputation but he’s had plenty of problems. He was taken out of a race at Navan on Saturday because of the drying ground but with the way the weather has been I’m not sure if he’ll get a more suitable surface at Fairyhouse. Nicanor is also entered from the same yard but I’ve heard that he won’t run again over fences this season in order to protect his novice status for next year.

    Tatenen getting 8lbs is interesting. I was strongly against him in the Arkle and the finishing position of Follow The Plan suggests he wouldn’t have been in the shake up but it is impossible to say for sure. Nicholls raiders in grade 1s in Ireland should always be respected but if he does take up one of his two entries at Liverpool I’d say this race in all likelihood will come too soon.

    #219266
    davidbrady
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    • Total Posts 3901

    With Noel Meade having kept him back from Cheltenham for this, I would have a sneaking fancy for Nicanor. Hopefully Tatenan will stay in as I reckon he will be an artifically short price which could see some nice prices for the others.

    #219267
    disraelite
    Member
    • Total Posts 26

    Read a quote somewhere from Meade saying he’ll probably run Nicanor because "I don’t want him winning an ordinary beginners’ chase – if he wins a novice chase I want it to be a good one".

    But you’d imagine that neither he nor Aran Concerto will run on quickish ground.

    #220770
    Avatar photoImperial Call
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    • Total Posts 2184

    (3:45) 65D Powers Gold Cup (Grade 1) €65,444.00
    ( 2m 4f – 5yo+ )[MAX 20]
    NHFrm
    15-1- 1 Aran Concerto (NMeade) – ……………………
    151p- 2 Ballyholland (CAMcBratney) – ………. (124)
    f0-11 3 Barker (WPMullins) – …………………………….
    3-643 4 Coolpotts (JABerry) – ……………………………
    f-811 5 Deutschland (USA) (WPMullins) – ………….
    35-02 6 Fantoche (BRZ) (MrsJHarrington) – .. (127)
    41-10 7 Golden Silver (FR) (WPMullins) – …………..
    21-14 8 Jayo (FR) (WPMullins) – ………………………..
    21-11 9 Joncol (PNolan) – . ………………………………..
    13-11 10 Moskova (PNolan) – . …………………………….
    1f-34 11 Northern Alliance (AJMartin) – . ……………..
    51f-6 12 Shazand (FR) (EJO’Grady) – ………………….
    112-3 13 Trafford Lad (GB) (ESheehy) – ………………
    /-112 14 Will Jamie Run (PStafford) – …………. (118)

    14 left in for Sunday’s feature. Plenty of showers around north Kildare over the past two or three days. If it’s a similar story up in Meath there should be sufficient give in the ground for soft ground horses to run up to form.

    #220825
    mickeddy
    Participant
    • Total Posts 104

    Looks like a decent race in prospect here. My initial short list would consist of:
    Jayo
    Northern Alliance
    Will Jamie Run.
    Anyone else any thoughts on this?
    Mike.

    Would have to add Trafford Lad to the list after a closer look. Have to wait now for final decs.
    Mike.

    #220834
    davidbrady
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    • Total Posts 3901

    Yeah – good bit of rain this afternoon and evening

    Going would be Yielding at least at this stage

    #220843
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    I’m not at all comfortable betting in 2m4f races – especially for Novices.

    I’d like to have a bet now, in the belief that Aran Concerto won’t run, but the market hasn’t been formed on betfair.

    I don’t know anything about matters Irish; if WP Mullins has 4 entries, how many of them are likely to turn up?

    #221204
    Avatar photoImperial Call
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    • Total Posts 2184

    (3:45) 65D Powers Gold Cup (Grade 1) €65,444.00
    ( 2m 4f – 5yo+ )
    1 Aran Concerto (NMeade) – PCarberry…….11,10
    2 Ballyholland(124) (CAMcBratney) – MJBolger………………….11,10
    3 Barker (WPMullins) – DJCasey……………….11,10
    4 Coolpotts (JABerry) – RMMoran……………..11,10
    5 Deutschland (USA) (WPMullins) – PTownend………………..11,10
    6 Golden Silver (FR)(150) (WPMullins) – RWalsh……………………11,10
    7 Jayo (FR) (WPMullins) – BJGeraghty ………11,10
    8 Joncol (PNolan) – PWFlood……………………11,10
    9 Shazand (FR) (EJO’Grady) – AndrewJMcNamara…..11,10
    10 Trafford Lad (GB) (ESheehy) – TJDoyle ….11,10

    Ten declared for Sunday. I don’t see anything there to put me off Trafford Lad. Joncol has looked good at Naas on his last two runs but I think the quicker ground might be against him. I’d respect Aran Concerto but it’s going to be a big ask for him to win such a quality race on only his second chase start. Willie runs four and he has been carrying all before him in grade 1s this season but you could pick holes in the form of each of his runners. Ruby rides Golden Silver who won the Irish Arkle beating Forpadydeplasterer but he was very disappointing at Cheltenham and he was well beaten here in the Drinmore. Jayo went off joint favourite for the Irish Arkle but I’ve never been a big fan of his and I think he lacks the size and scope to make a real impact over fences.

    Trafford Lad all the way for me then. I just hope he’ll be a backable price.

    #221210
    halfwaytoheaven
    Member
    • Total Posts 1387

    I’m sticking with Trafford Lad here.

    Perfect distance for him and nothing in that line up is putting me off at all

    #221380
    carvillshill
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2778

    I’ve taken (or rather someone has taken for me) a decent lump of Ladbrokes’ 12-1 about Jayo tonight. Memories are short and this horse was favourite to win the Bailey’s Arkle at the end of January but now gets a dismissive double-figure quote. Being fresh is no harm this time of year and if he jumps as he can he’s right in this. I respect Trafford Lad but think he’s correctly priced.

    #221403
    Bulwark
    Member
    • Total Posts 3119

    Actually really like Ballyholland for this @ 100-1. Also like Jayo @ 12s. Should be a decent race.

    Quite like Dundrum in the preceding race and Chateau D’Eau in the following race. Not a bad card today.

    #221417
    Aristo
    Member
    • Total Posts 318

    Trafford Lad must be one of the most consistent horses in Ireland so opposing him may not be wise. He has been found out on several occasions and is beatable IMO

    Joncol looks a great prospect and I’m taking a gamble with a horse who may be a bit special.

    #221420
    Avatar photoshabby
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    • Total Posts 638

    Deutschland looks overpriced to me…I was very impressed with how he moved at Leopardstown and in a good time too. To my eye he had tons in hand at Navan and stretched away. He is well up in class here but his price (13ish on exchanges) offers some strong appeal. Win and each way for me.

    #221453
    Anonymous
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    • Total Posts 17716

    I’m very much in the position of being willing to follow Aran Concerto blindly until such time as he fails to live up to the expectation of Noel Meade. His one and only chase start represents merely mediocre form, but he won with such ease that I’m prepared to forgive his inexperience in a race of this nature. He has the size and swagger of a top class staying chaser and achieved to such a level over hurdles that I can’t see him not being good enough for this.

    Jayo is an interesting contender, certainly on his victory over Made In Taipan at Naas, but his jumping has to hold up in this better company and, despite having backed him at Leopardstown last time, I wouldn’t be keen to invest in him again. Joncol, who I wasn’t particularly keen on anyway, is out, which leaves Trafford Lad as the only other real option. His beating of Forpadydeplasterer certainly reads well, but I think we saw a different horse at Cheltenham and I’m not sure he’s worth his 5/4 price tag.

    Aran Concerto for me.

    #221460
    Peruvian Chief
    Member
    • Total Posts 1931

    Good open race – i’m risking 2 pts e/w on Barker, who is still relatively unexposed, will like the good ground, and seems to be rejuvinated under the Mullins team.

    #221466
    Peruvian Chief
    Member
    • Total Posts 1931

    The crossbar rattles – might well have won without the mistake in the back. Good race – but i personally can’t see this seasons novices making a huge impact in the championship races next races, with the possible exceptions of Kalahari King and Cooldine.

    #221467
    davidbrady
    Member
    • Total Posts 3901

    Backed Barker each-way at 16/1 with Bet365 last night. Just logged on there to see how the withdrawal of Joncon had affected my winnings it turns out I forgot to click the each-way box and ended up backing the horse win-only! :cry:

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