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  • #1484
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Saturday 24th July

    Approach detailed later.

    6.05 Ling-Gifted Gamble<br>1.35 Newc_Bee Stinger<br>4.25 Ascot-Doyen<br>6.20 Salisbury-Marching Song<br>6.50 Salisbury-Anna Panna<br>4.35 Nott-Autumn Wealth

    kersly

    #54500
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Sunday 25th July

    3.35 Ascot-Sacred Nuts<br>2.40 Newm-Kharish<br>3.10 Newm-Munaawashaat<br>2.50 Ponte-Astrocharm<br>3.20 Ponte-Mr Tambourine Man

    kersly

    #54501
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Monday 26th July<br>Refined approach following further research.

    Procedure 1<br>Any race.<br>Must have won 1 of last 2 races<br>Must be clear top rated by RPR(Racing Post)<br>Must be 12 runners or less<br>Must be f/c at 1/1+<br>————————————————————————<br>Procedure 2<br>———————————————————————<br>Procedure 1<br>4.30 Sedg-Sparkling Spring..lost

    Procedure 2<br>6.15 Windsor-Clove…………………won 4/5<br>8.15 Windsor-Nouveau Riche…….won 11/4

    combined(+2.55)

    kersly

    (Edited by kersly at 1:19 pm on July 27, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by kersly at 4:38 pm on Nov. 24, 2004)

    #54502
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Tuesday 27th July

    Procedure 1-No selections

    Procedure 2<br>2.40 Goodw-Maraahal..Won 9/4

    kersly<br>

    (Edited by kersly at 2:07 pm on July 28, 2004)

    #54503
    woody
    Member
    • Total Posts 121

    Hi Kersley,

    I’ve been using a similar method for a while now so i think you will do well with this.

    Good luck anyway! ;)

    woody

    #54504
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Cheers Woody thats encouraging.Did your approach pick Maraahal?It won well,satisying when it works out like that,if only it was always like that.<br>Good luck with your approach.

    kersly

    #54505
    woody
    Member
    • Total Posts 121

    Hi Kersley,

    No, i didn’t pick out Maraahal with this method although it was highlighted by a couple of others.

    The last bets were Gifted Gamble and Doyen which i notice you also had.<br>The method i’m using picks out shorter-priced selections but they are pretty consistent.

    Here are the last 14 bets for my method:<br><br>Selection – SP –  Result<br>

    • <br>
    • Elusive Dream 0.33 1<br>
    • Mister Monet 0.57 1<br>
    • Arrgatt 0.11 1<br>
    • Hanseatic League 0.00 NR<br>
    • Pastoral Pursuits 1.88 1<br>
    • Tulipa 0.40 1<br>
    • My Paris 0.91 1<br>
    • Tonic Du Charmil 0.80 1<br>
    • Presto Shinko 2.75 UP<br>
    • True Magic 1.00 1<br>
    • Lady Le Quesne 0.67 1<br>
    • Coy 1.50 1<br>
    • Alinda 0.91 1<br>
    • Doyen 1.10 1<br>
    • Gifted Gamble 0.80 1<br>

    It hasn’t always done as well as this but the winning runs are nice!

    The fact that you have a minimum price filter should mean a lower strike-rate but the winnings will be bigger when they come so it should work out quite well.

    Best of luck with it!<br>woody

    <br>

    #54506
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Thats a fine run,must give confidence.

    Wednesday 28th July

    Procedure 1<br>2.15 N.Abb-Tresor Preziniere……………Won 6/4<br>8.05 Kempton-Welcome Stranger……..Won 7/4<br>8.50 Leic-High Ridge……………………….Lost(2nd)

    Combined(+7.05)

    Procedure 2-No selections

    kersly<br> <br>

    (Edited by kersly at 11:43 am on July 29, 2004)

    #54507
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    Woody, with a method that produces winning runs like that at short prices do you use a staking plan.

    I think Mr E`s rolling doubles would work perfectly with your method.

    Cheers, Andy.

    #54508
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Thursday 29th July

    So far<br>Selection Procedure 1(+1.25)<br>Selection Procedure 2(+5.80)<br>Combined(+7.05)

    A number of selections today<br>Selection Procedure 1<br>3.15 Goodw-Darasim……………Won 6/4<br>6.05 Epsom-Cristoforo………….Won 7/4<br>8.05 Epsom-Pickle………………..Lost(2nd)

    Selection Procedure 2<br>2.05 Goodw-Peter Paul REubens…….Won 3/1<br>3.15 Goodw-Darasim…………………….Won 6/4<br>7.20 Muss-Coleorton Dave…………….Won 13/8

    Combined(+15.29)

    kersly

    <br>(Edited by kersly at 12:09 pm on July 29, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by kersly at 11:52 am on Aug. 1, 2004)

    #54509
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    I think this is quite a good approach and also a good way to use the RP.

    I do my own ratings using the paper’s two ratings services and horse profiles and most of woody’s winners were top-rated, although I didn’t back all of them.

    The only reservation is that the horses are frequently overbet because they are also top-rated in numerous other publications/computerised methods. As a result, it is hard to turn shorter priced selections into profit.

    I’ve mentioned before on the forum that it’s better to be operating in the 5/1+ range, but good luck nevertheless.

    #54510
    woody
    Member
    • Total Posts 121

    Looks like another good day kersly – well done! :biggrin:

    I hope you don’t mind me answering andy’s question on here – i don’t want you to feel like i’m taking over this thread!

    ——————————<br>Andy,<br>With short prices like this, you have to use a staking plan in order to keep your interest as the the level-stake profit is soooo slow!

    I use a variation of the 5% rolling bank method – this seems to work well enough for what i’m after.

    Kersly’s method has done very well the last couple of days and, as i expected, has outclassed my method in terms of level-stake profit! :( <br>—————————–

    Cheers,<br>woody<br>

    #54511
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Artemis<br>Perhaps the prices are short because of over exposure by rating services.At the moment I haven’t an approach that can provide sufficient 5/1+ winners

    woody<br>Always interested in any comments,contributions welcome.

    Friday 30th July selections

    Procedure 1<br>4.00 Bangor-Macgyver…………………Lost<br>7.20 Nott-Spring Jim…………………….Lost<br>7.35 Newm-Brecon Beacon……………Won 5/2

    Procedure 2<br>2.30 Thirsk-Maureens Lough…………Won 7/4<br>4.25 Thirsk-Royal Challenge………….Lost<br>5.00 Goodw-Ground Rules…………….Lost<br>6.05 Newm-Frith………………………….Lost<br>7.35 Newm-Brecon Beacon……………Won 5/2<br>8.20 Nott-Strangely Brown……………Won 13/8

    Profit of(+3.37)<br>Combined Running Total(+18.66)

    kersly  <br>

    (Edited by kersly at 11:57 am on Aug. 1, 2004)

    #54512
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    To keep the record up to date <br>Results from Sat 31st Aug

    Procedure 1<br>2.30 Goodw-Fongs Thong………….Won 6/4<br>2.35 Thirsk-Brag……………………….Lost<br>4.10 Goodw-Bibury Flyer……………Lost<br>4.45 Goodw-Al Garhoud Bridge…..Lost

    Procedure 2<br>2.35 Thirsk-Brag………………………..Lost<br>4.10 Goodw-Bibury Flyer…………….Lost

    Combined loss of (-3.50)<br>Running Combined Total(+15.16)

    kersly

    #54513
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Sunday 1st August

    Procedure 1<br>4.00 Chester-High Action……Won 5/4<br>3.50 M.Rasen-Day Du Roy…..Lost<br>————————————————————————<br>Procedure 2<br>4.00 Chester-High Action……..Won 5/4

    Profit on the day(+1.50)<br>Running Total(+16.66)

    kersly<br>

    (Edited by kersly at 7:59 pm on Aug. 1, 2004)

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