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A good and fascintating renewal of this sought after race which sees 18 horses in the 72 hour dec stage.
The presence of Albertas Run means that a lot of the entrants carry around 11 stone, and it will be interesting to see who end up on the day.
At this stage, two horses stand out for me, provided it will be probably good to soft, soft in places on Thursday, and one of the key criteria I will be looking at is course form, as Huntingdon seems to be a ‘horses for courses’ venue (see Racing Demon below).
Obviously it remains to be seen whether Huntingdon lover Racing Demon goes for it, but there’s always a doubt about this horse for one reason or another (usually jumping/attitude).
The first horse is MASTER MEDIC, who althought it shooting up in the ratings on 156, 16lb higher than when completing a 4 timer at Ascot recently, is a very good jumper, and has won at Huntingdon before, but good ground seems to suit and there’s a doubt whether softer would be ok for him.
The other horse is TARTAK, who has conversely been dropped in the weights by 5lb from his run in the PP Gold Cup. Another who has won at the track, he is only 2lb higher than when beating Deep Purple at Aintree. However, as with Master Medic, the ground will be a key factor for him as he also prefers slightly faster ground than forecast (although has won on soft in France).
A good race and if these two feature, they could be feasible bets on the day ground permitting.
The forecast ground should hold no fears for Master Medic, and he is crying out for a return to this trip.
He is a confident selection.
- Total Posts 17716
As it’s a conditions race, it won’t make any difference to the weights whether Alberta’s Run goes or not.
If Petit Robin runs, I’d make him an even more confident selection than Grassy’s.
Sorry of course its a Grade 2, the Racing Post weights threw me a little!
Only thing putting me off Petit Robin slightly is the fact he hasn’t run for 200 odd days, as a lot of the others have fitness assured with a recent run. I suppose it all depends on who’s training the horse though, and I’m sure Henderson should have him spot on if he goes for it.
If Petit Robin runs, I’d make him an even more confident selection than Grassy’s.
It’s not possible to be ‘even more’ confident, reet.
If Petit Robin runs, I’d make him an even more confident selection than Grassy’s.
It’s not possible to be ‘even more’ confident, reet.
Yeh,it is! If Albertas run gets good ground he will win!He wont get it though!!Maybe thats why you are so confident Oh Greassmeister?
Oh Greassmeister?
Genuine mistake in that spelling there,but i kinda like the look of it Grass,it gives you that John Travolta ish ring!
If you want another side bet – my Master Medic against your Alberta’s Run – then please PM me, TAPK. In fact, I urge you to do so. Tread wary, though, lest your crown be minus a few jewels before the season is out.
If you want another side bet – my Master Medic against your Alberta’s Run – then please PM me, TAPK. In fact, I urge you to do so. Tread wary, though, lest your crown be minus a few jewels before the season is out.
My cuppeth overfloweth! I shall keep my powder dry in its pouch for now,just how Albertas likes it!If i took you up on your offer now,you would surely be raindancing all week and leave me with damp powder for my musket! I may yet call upon you!Early days!
Petit Robin confirmed absentee, Racing Demon currently tops 7, racecard published soon.
Alberta’s Run has been rather overrated by some for winning easily at Ascot when receiving weight. With the boot on the other foot now, I’d be happy to oppose him. On the other hand, because the penalty clauses only kick in from the start of last season, Racing Demon, despite winning the race twice, is unpenalised and, since he’s extremely likely to be fit for this, he looks likely to be the value.
The seven declerations:
ALBERTAS RUN
DEEP PURPLE
HERECOMESTHETRUTH
RACING DEMON
SOMETHING WELLS
TARTAK
TIDAL BAYSurely this is Tidal Bay’s best opportunity to get his head in front for the first time in over twelve months. He’ll be getting 10lbs from the top three and this flat track should prove ideal.
Racing Demon goes well fresh, but has been off the track for twenty months. Tartak has been woefully out of form this term and Something Wells has something to find.
The top three all come into this race off the back of a victory and there’s little to choose between them.
Albertas Run came back to form last time out in a competitive race, but isn’t one to trust. Well beaten by Tidal Bay in two previous encounters.
Deep Purple won the Charlie Hall in gutsy fashion, but needed every yard of the extended three miles that day and this fast track may just find him out.
Herecomesthetruth beat Forpadydeplasterer on his seasonal return and remains unbeaten over fences when completing. I can see him giving the Howard Johnson horse most to think about.
Tidal Bay just hasn’t convinced this past year, jumping has been an issue, and sometimes attitude as well. But having said that, Howard Johnson has this knack of pulling it off in big races in the face of adversity.
Racing Demon has too many question marks also for my liking. Fitness has to be taken on trust, and is rather hit and miss.
Herecomesthetruth is the most progressive horse in the race without doubt and is in peak condition. He gets my vote ahead of Tartak who is also progressive, and despite his poor last two runs (in two extremely competitive races) his C&D win around this time last year is valuable form to go on.
I think Albertas Run win at Ascot may be overrated I and would be against him. As for who will win I hope the progressive Master Medic but it looks a real cracker just a shame its not on Channel 4.
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I think it would be dangerous to underrate Albertas Run’s Ascot win, he beat proven gd1/gd2 horses convincingly and (possibly VPU apart) would probably have beaten them off levels anyway, and it’s difficult to find much better good ground 2.5m form anywhere in this field
After that race, his owner’s manager was reported as saying; “I think ground, rather than distance, is the key to him, as all his best performances have come on a decent surface” and his form certainly supports that view.
Of the others, Tidal Bay doesn’t jump well enough to be a serious contender round this sharp track, Herecomesthetruth has yet to show he’s good enough, and Tartak and Racing Demon have yet to show they’re out of the wilderness, so I’ll be backing Alberta’s, with Deep Purple as insurance.- Total Posts 17716
tidal bay.
Sometimes, you question if it’s worth it.
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