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R MCINTYIRE 35/1
P Cantlay 66/1
H English 125/1
M Mc NEALEY 175/1
E Smylie 1500/1Bets for the open championship
Lowry 28/1 WIN
Fleetwood 28/1 WIN
Burns 80/1 EW
Gotterup 90/1 EW
Spaun 100/1 EW
Taylor 150/1 EWFor a bit of interest…
Tommy Fleetwood 20-1 ew 10 places
Victor Hovland 22-1 ew 10 placesNo particular preference here but I will be keeping an eye on the fortunes of Estonian amateur Richard Teder. He holed from 90 yards for an eagle to win a Qualifying play-off at the West Lancashire Club. The Open is a tough tournament and qualifying is seriously difficult. Teder apparently took up golf when his auntie won some golf vouchers at a tennis tournament!
For an interest until the cut
Michael Kim 125s
Min Woo Lee 80s
Sung Jae Im 110s
Tom Kim 90s
Si Wo Kim 90s
All e/w 10 places.I don’t think I’ve come across so many ‘im’s in one post before, Landafar!
I can’t let our local Hampshire boy, Rose, go unbacked, nor MacIntyre or Fleetwood.Before you place your bet, just have a short look at the course. It’s completely different than the other three Majors, it surely suits a totally different type of player:
Xander Shauffele 25/1 (35/1 1st round leader market) Both PP
Adam Scott 70/1 (70/1 1st round leader market) both PP
Aldrich Potgieter 225/1 8 places B365 (125/1 1st round leader market) B365
Kristoffer Reitan 250/1 8 places B365 (125/1 1st round leader market) 6places PP
Looks a tough course, best of luck guys
Because the forecast for Portrush tomorrow suggests the early starters will get the best of the wind I’ve gone for Cantlay and Matsuyama as first round leaders at 70-1 and 80-1 ew 7 respectively
…but having checked a few more sites, they mostly suggest not a lot of difference!
Oh well, it’s back to random fortune…Oscar,
It’s not so much the wind that will affect the later starters as the forecast for rain. That not only makes conditions unpleasant (wet rough, wet greens, wet clubs), but also slows the pace of play. Rory goes out at 3:10 pm and if that forecast is right, might well be out there until after 9pm.
Over the years at an Open Championship, there’s a 1.5 shot difference between the average score for the early and late starters. The weather could increase that to nearer 3 shots, a significant disadvantage in terms of making the cut.
Fwiw, I’ve backed someone that starts at 8:25 and has a good Open record with a second and a fourth in recent years – Cameron Young. He should be back in the clubhouse before the rain arrives!
ap,
I’ve certainly noticed that over the years the early starters seem to score better than they would expect according to ratings.
Its true that wind combined with rain makes a significant difference so I remain hopeful with my selections, but high winds on their own have made links golf practically unplayableat timesAn early start but on the train to Portrush now. It should be good in the morning but the weather looks grim for the afternoon.
Had small bets on:
Aberg 22/1
Lowry 25/1
Straka 40/1
Fox 55/1As has already been said, the weather and the draw plays a huge part. I probably will not get properly involved with the betting until Saturday.
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