- This topic has 64 replies, 32 voices, and was last updated 16 years, 4 months ago by
.
- Posts
I do hope you crack
the code.The punting life is tiptoeing on ice, a ginger picking between the crazing and the cracks
I was good in the noughties, comfortably good, smugly good and the eye for so long focussed on the feet ended the decade along with head, in the clouds
Crack! a cold, cold plunge and a swim with the little fish who for so long I had the conceit to think were safely trapped beneath me
Not a pike, not even a stickleback, but just one of the teeming multitude of minnows at the base of the food chain
I emerged chilled, chastened, wrinkled and green-gilled but wiser:
the Eureka moment – what a fool I have been, it is the Serpentine in a cold snap I walk not Baikal at 40-below
Old dogs can be taught new lessons, not tricks
The new decade awaits
Tick-tock
Could be worse. He could have been betting in $US ended up looking green and wrinkled
Or be betting in Thai Baht and be down a couple of million
Great thread.So, another trend seems to be less bets and bigger stakes. Picking your moments and making the most of them. Excellent advice – I can identify with that.
“don’t bet in large-field handicaps” (M Deering)
How we differ! IMO, the racing world would be a finer place if it was all about the large field handicap.
A guaranteed pace, exposed form, sumptuous prize money (thus, improving the often inconsistent motivation of connections), good horses at tasty odds; often a ridiculously short hype horse to take on (or get stuck into), plenty of four/five place each way options, tricast possibilities, dark horses only you’ve noticed who get missed by the odds compilers in the morning; year-on-year trends to study, anticipating the presence of a draw bias with the potential to eliminate half the field, immediately leaving your well drawn horse with even greater implied odds and the massive adrenalin rush when you win.
Let’s not forget the Mantlepiece Potential of such winners. The books tell you that a 10/1 winner in a seller at Newcastle pays the same as the Cambridgeshire winner. But how long does the afterglow last?
How can you forget your Cambridgshire winner?
I would rather have one bet a year in the Grand National, the Tote Gold Trophy, the Golden Mile at Goodwood, the Stewards Cup, the Britannia or the Cambridgeshire than a hundred bets in those anaemic six runner races where you cannot even be sure that the habitual rabbit is going to go for it and the market is jammed tighter than a crossthreaded screw.
tiptoeing on ice
is nice imagery Drone
but I prefer the fox
hiding in the shadows.I would though agree to
your analogy in
the initial periods
as you build up that all
important war chest,
– so much easier before
the number men moved in.Tread on ice until you have it
is my advice then let
the fox out gradually
and let him often salivate
and less often pounce and raid.I think if you are a trader
you have to trade.
If you are a traditional layer
or backer you have to stick
to your guns about price
and not be tempted by overstaking
and going on a trading expedition
and holding on to your nervous wager
if you make a mistake and the market
moves against you –
don’t do it or ditch it.
The alternative defeats logic.Aragorn, when you have found your
monster bet please get in touch
I may be able to oblige
down and out in
London-ParisEstimated stake of 1984 quid.
4/5 Big Bucks’
Aragorn,
I risked more last friday,
but allow me the luxury
of one last krone
and a big kick
up me jacksy.Del boy Pakki
caught me for
five hundred
last time I
tried this.Any old hands
remember the bet
and the closeness
of the resultIt was the Irish champion stakes
I was on Galileo
beaten a head
by Fantastic Lightouch
and it was my honesty
and miserable victorian principles
handed down in a gene pool
I could not swim against
that prevented me from
laying off.If your still writing
your scottish football
reports De Pakki
I forecast more snowtiptoeing on ice
is nice imagery Drone
but I prefer the fox
hiding in the shadows.I would though agree to
your analogy in
the initial periods
as you build up that all
important war chest,Every January the tank is brimmed full Gambo in preparation for the ensuing year’s battle in the war-without-end, so no problem there, but I was hoping to trade it in for one of larger capacity capable of firing larger shells…
…this time next year Reynard
read on ice until you have it
is my advice then let
the fox out gradually
and let him often salivate
and less often pounce and raid.The foxy fellow has re-emerged bushy-tailed from his enforced earthing-up beneath the snow and hungry he is. Out of shape and stiff of joint but a few slow pounces have loosened the sinews and netted a couple of skinny-mouse morsels which under the circumstances were jolly tasty, but too many escapees so no additions to the larder…
…the lone hunter is patient
If you are a traditional layer
or backer you have to stick
to your guns about price
and not be tempted by overstaking
and going on a trading expedition
and holding on to your nervous wager
if you make a mistake and the market
moves against you –
don’t do it or ditch it.Overlay back
Underlay walk away
Level Stakes
No trading
No laying-off
I beat SP – pat on back
SP beats me – kick up jacksy
Miss top-of-the-market – doesn’t matter……the bottom line
netted a couple of skinny-mouse morsels
Skinny mice indeed. The shortest average winning SP (5.24) of the last 14 January’s, so far this month.
Aragorn,
I risked more last friday,
but allow me the luxury
of one last krone
and a big kick
up me jacksy.Stop aftertiming Gamble….
Sanity is not statistical….
Aragorn,
I don’t want your big bucks.
Yes it is a big bet
back or lay whichever way you look at it.
Good luck,if you proceed with it.
Hurdle races can be predictable.It was in ’01
I was presemted with a public match bet
by a member of the Flutter forum.
His name was De Paki.
I lost 500 but took it for the thrill
rather than my belief in Galileo.
Still a very good memory.Friday was quite a big betting day for me.
I scaled down my risk after winning which
is to me a sin but not as mortal
as chasing losses.I fully agree with Paul Ostermeyer’s
philosophy, but mine is different,
and unlike him I do not fly
or drive to racecourses on a daily basis,
and our motives are as different
as the Boston strangler and Harold Shipman.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.