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MrE’s Mysteries

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Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 104 total)
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  • #48540
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Thanks Kers…. I really dont mind the losing runs and this is the worst run since November and that was 24 on the bounce, I just didn’t need another of the same duration on my first month of putting it up on the board. I’m as safe as houses at levels because I’m using a 50pt bank…. but that same size bank is gonna be almost gone by Saturday when using the Staking Plan, at least it’ll show whether the wise thing is to use a plan or stick with levels. It matters not now, the beds made and I have to lie on it but if I do blow the 50pt bank on the Staking plan, I will carry on at levels because I’m bloody sure that this is worth persevering with….. thanks again Kers, catch ya later….

    MrE

    #48541
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Hi guys, this is getting hard aint it, but here we go again…..

    2.20 South..      Tudor King…                 LOST…<br>6.45 Ham..        Mallia…                     1st @  9/2…<br>7.35 Ponte..      Proud Native…              LOST…

    2pts Win on each….. if we dont get a winner today, its gonna be a rough ride over the weekend because were gonna be slipping into overdrive for the last 7 bets that our bank will allow…. hehehe….. fun ennit….  :biggrin:

    that was 16 losers on the trot, not recommended for anyone with a sticky ticker. I’ve gotta imbibe in the falling down stuff tonight…. I’m being forced to… :cool: <br>I’ll update all in the morning……<br>:biggrin:  ….  see, I can laff again now…..

    Levels  + 7.50pts…    Staking Plan  +  4.50pts…

    MrE

    <br>(Edited by MrE at 9:09 pm on July 18, 2003)<br>

    (Edited by MrE at 12:54 pm on July 19, 2003)

    #48542
    Avatar photoMatron
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6933

    Good luck for today MrE – I hope the results turn in your favour.

    Regards – Matron<br>:cool:

    #48543
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Thanks for your best wishes Matron, I needed a bit of help then…. ;)  … I wasn’t too bothered personally cos it was only on paper, I haven’t bet for a week cos of the weather. If me and the dog (thats dog as in woof woof, not dog as in spouse… hehehe) were too exhausted to haul ourselves outa the deckchairs to get a lager outa the fridge, then it was surely far to hot for those poor old GG’s to be running like the clappers with a few hundred weight of human bean sat on their backs, well, thats my excuse for not betting, my missus just reckons I’m a jammy git……  :biggrin: :biggrin:

    MrE

    #48544
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    OK guys, we aint outa the woods by a long chalk yet, all yesterdays winner gave us was a bit of breathing space and a free bet today, so lets see if we can make inroads into that deficit….

    2.35 Newb..       Definite Guest…              1st @  7/1…<br>3.30 Ripon..       Market Avenue…                 LOST…<br>4.45 M/Ras..      Anzal…                                LOST…<br>8.10 Hayd..        Kahyasi Princess…           1st @  7/2…

    2pts win on each…. if we get a winner or two, that might change but if it happens I’ll nip on during the afternoon and update it……

    Because the first one has won, we can drop the stakes down to 1.5pts win on each of the remaining three horses (unless we get another winner of course)….

    Levels  +  16pts…     Staking Plan  +  20.75pts

    :biggrin:

    MrE

    (Edited by MrE at 3:21 pm on July 19, 2003)<br>

    (Edited by MrE at 11:10 pm on July 19, 2003)

    #48545
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Phew!!!!…. 16 losers on the trot but we came through. There’s a lot to be said for betting at the higher odds cos I bettered most of those prices on Betfair. I can’t seem to find much value at the shorter prices, hence my use of the "rolling doubles", but none of that is required at this end of the scale. I think I’m getting hooked on this H/cap system….. catch ya later guys, and thanks for the well wishes, I needed it cos I was crapping myself…<br>:biggrin: :biggrin:

    MrE

    #48546
    paul66
    Participant
    • Total Posts 641

    Hi MrE

    Really pleased to see you had a couple of good days – just goes to show that keeping at it really pays :)

    Personally have not been betting but hope you are making loads of cash ;)

    Good luck

    #48547
    Nick Hatton
    Member
    • Total Posts 399

    Hi Mr E

    Just looked through all of the posts and I’d like to congratulate you on an excellent start .

    Hope the winners keep coming :)

    #48548
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Thanks Nick ‘n Paul, yep, t’was great to see the back of that losing run but I really never had any doubts about it. The price range that were betting in makes it a certainty for long losing spells, my only doubts are which (if any) staking plan should be used. I have shown a profit to levels every month since I’ve started except for 1 month where I ended up 5pts down but apart from that month, my lowest month so far has been +20. The problem as I see it is as Kers says, the peaks and the troughs, how can you still keep betting when you’ve had 16 losers, especially when used with a staking plan, if your using the wrong plan you can go belly up pretty damn quick. At present I use a simple plan that requires a 50pt bank, this would last for 25 continuous losers, 18 losers is no trouble but cos things have gone awry, I utilise the plan to its fullest and I adopt a "suicide" charge for the final 7 bets in a fit of S**t or bust, after all, its only a 50pt bank and if you can’t risk it we shouldn’t be betting…..<br>I think there’s lots of little systems about that can give a good return and I dont think that finding that elusive system is the answer, I think its around us, Kers "Pointers" is one of many. The answer has to be getting the correct staking method that ensures a reasonable return for the investment, but most of the plans go for broke in an attempt to get rich quick, that won’t work…… so guys, somebody ought to start another thread on staking, then we might get some answers…..<br>:biggrin: :biggrin: :biggrin:

    MrE

    #48549
    Nick Hatton
    Member
    • Total Posts 399

    Mr E

    With regards to staking I see nothing wrong with level stakes, afterall your 2nd worst month was +20pts which is hardly a disaster !!

    One possibility which I would suggest though is to place exactly 2% of the current bank on each selection. This is not very volatile and means that you will capitalise on winning runs whilst soaking up losing runs pretty well. It should be slightly better than level stakes. Just a thought.

    Nick

    #48550
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    I dont follow that Nick… if your talking 2% of the bank as it now stands (say £500), thats only 50 bets at a tenner and thats the same as level stakes with a 50pt bank. I think you may be right if you increase this bank at pre arranged stages, ie after every £100 won, so your stake would increase in £2 stages…. What I hope your not suggesting is a variable 2% which moves after every bet, this is a big no no as far as I’m concerned. That way of betting is just plain daft… IMHO… and I’m not intent on being lippy mate, just looking at it from a sensible approach. I cannot see any sense whatsoever in reducing stakes after losers cos if you had 5 losers and then a 5/1 winner, on levels you would break even but on a reducing 2% of your bank, you’d lose….. I’ll start another thread on staking, lets see if we get any takers……

    MrE

    #48551
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    I’m getting tired now…. dunno whether its the late night or the Glenmorangie….<br>MONDAY…

    4.45 Ayr..       Blackheath…                      LOST…<br>8.20 Wind..    Thorntoun Gold…               LOST…<br>8.50 Wind..    Sailing Through…           1st  @  11/4…

    1pt Win on each…….  G’night… :biggrin:

    Disappointing SP for Sailing Through considering the Post had it @ 11/2, but I’m happy enough with the trickle effect…  :biggrin:

    Levels  +  16.75pts…     Staking Plan  +  21.50pts…

    MrE<br>

    (Edited by MrE at 9:10 pm on July 21, 2003)

    #48552
    Avatar photoMatron
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6933

    Who is this Glen person MrE?

    You are a happily married man, so behave yourself.

    Regards – Matron<br>:cool:

    #48553
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Hi Matron, you’ve just gotta stop alternating between Bromide and Viagra, it’ll do you no good mate, look at the damage its done to old Urby, he’s as daft as a kettle now…..  Selection for Tuesday….

    4.15 Ayr..       Knockdoo…                   LOST…   :(

    1pt Win…<br>:biggrin:

    MrE

    (Edited by MrE at 11:28 pm on July 22, 2003)

    #48554
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    WEDNESDAYS….

    2.35 Worcs..       Saorsie… 1pt Win..               LOST…<br>3.15 Catt..          Justalord… 1pt Win..            LOST…<br>5.15 Catt..          Sharoura… 1pt Win..            LOST…<br>8.45 Sand..         Flymore… 1.5pts Win..         LOST…

    We’ll start off with 1pt Win on each but if we dont get an early winner we will be raising stakes. I’ll update during the afternoon if required…..

    Levels  +  11.75pts…    Staking Plan  +  16pts…

    MrE

    (Edited by MrE at 7:02 pm on July 23, 2003)<br>

    (Edited by MrE at 9:36 pm on July 23, 2003)

    #48555
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    THURSDAYS crap….  :biggrin:

    3.05 Yarm..       Marnie…                           LOST…<br>3.15 Sand..       Desert Island Disc…           LOST…<br>8.55 Donc..       Danehill Stroller…           1st  @  4/1…

    1.5pts Win on each…… if we dare get a winner, the stakes will drop dependant on the SP…..

    Levels  +  13.75pts….    Staking Plan  +  19.00pts…

    MrE

    (Edited by MrE at 10:00 pm on July 24, 2003)

    #48556
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    FRIDAYS….

    2.45 Ascot..   Kahyasi Princess..  1pt Win…   1st @  11/2.<br>3.20 Ascot..   Golden Dixie..  1pt Win…               LOST..<br>5.20 Thirsk..   Efidium..  1pt Win…                      LOST..<br>7.55 Chep..    Iced Diamond..  1pt Win..             LOST..

    As soon as we get a winner, drop stakes to 1pt Win…

    OK, first one went in so stakes on remainder dropped to 1pt Win….

    Levels  +  16.25pts…    Staking Plan  +  21.50pts…<br>:)

    MrE

    (Edited by MrE at 10:14 pm on July 25, 2003)

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