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Morgiana 2020

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  • #1507371
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15044

    Entries out…..

    https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/195/punchestown/2020-11-15/770121

    https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/morgiana-hurdle/winner

    Rarely a betting race for me this, but I’m hoping to see more progression from Saint Roi. After putting him up at 20’s for The Champion Hurdle, I ended up missing it. I’m still interested at current odds though. Doubt I’d be betting him here, but 3’s seems fair with a run under his belt.

    #1507741
    Autumnal
    Participant
    • Total Posts 576

    I hope you took that 3/1, he’s as short as 11/8 now.

    I think that he’s the winner myself, but I’ve bet another two.

    They’re not the likeliest looking winners, but I thought that I’d go with up and comer Beacon Edge at 14/1, and the old stalwart Supasundae at 20/1.

    I think that Beacon Edge could improve a lot this season, and Supasundae could start a lot shorter.

    #1507746
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7791

    I dont get why Saint Roi is 6-4 and Abracadabras is 5-1. Happy to take the 5s ew before his run today.

    #1507751
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    The price would suggest he is unlikely to run

    Though it looks like he’s 5/2 now

    #1507752
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7791

    Trainer said he would go Morgiana all being well in his stable tour.

    #1507777
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7791

    Cashed out after that. May have been fitness but thought he would win today.

    #1507782
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7655

    A canny ride from Paul Townend to hold Aba up and out off a fairly sedate pace till the bird with the flat speed had safely flown. Still don’t think Aba would have won but he would have got closer. Epatante can sleep reasonably soundly tonight.

    #1510730
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7655

    I know Aba needed his first run and is 2lb better off with Jason the Militant, but Jason gets his ground and has a tongue tie on. He has raced 3 times on ground with heavy in the description: 2nd to Unexcepted on their seasonal debut last year – the Mullins horse did OK FTO on heavy this year too- then a win, then a win in an interesting G2 with some subsequent winners in behind.

    Aba also has form on heavy including a G3 win but I think the price differential is a bit much and this may be one of those times when 2 places ew is a decent bet. He isn’t going to win a champion hurdle but tomorrow might be his day. Come on Jason!

    #1510739
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7791

    Wish i had hung on to the Abra bet. Though was expecting a deeper field.

    #1510765
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Mullins only running one may be a tip in itself

    Either saldier picked up a small injury or saint roi was doing much better work on the gallops

    #1510768
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1056

    Disappointing field to be honest. Gone for Jason the Militant at 18/1 given the conditions/

    #1510791
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6018

    ABA is a huge price , he,s had a run so has the fitness advantage and I reckon Saint Roi will have to have improved to beat him , fingers crossed its a great race

    #1510796
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Saint Roi has also had a run so no excuses for him there

    #1510797
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6018

    He did FF but it was a bit less competive than ABA race

    #1510798
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6018

    Get in , dug it out like a good horse does

    #1510799
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7791

    My suspicion about Saint Roi up against Epatante may be correct.

    #1510800
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Not Mark Walshs finest moment that

    Really shouldve won

    Everything that couldve gone wrong went wrong

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