Long Road To Cheltenham 09/10

[Bulwark]

Well last years thread wasnt too catastrophic despite the first couple of days coming up much quicker than expected and much quicker than described, but when the course was changed for day three it started to take a turn for the better. Last Years final standings were-

187pts laid out.

Celestial Halo 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 16-1 returns 4.2pts
1pt e/w 1pt win Celestial Halo @ 12-1 returns 3.4pts
Binocular 1pt e/w 1pt win@ 20-1 returns 5pts

Planet Of Sound 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 16-1 (Coral) returns 4.2 pts

Big Bucks 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 14-1 returns 33.8pts

1/2pt e/w 1pt win Zaynar @ 25-1 retruns 42pts

1pt e/w 1pt win Weapons Amnesty @ 20-1 retruns 47pts

Oh Crick 2pts win @ 20-1 retruns 44pts

Final total= 183.6 pts returned

-3.4pts loss overall

So far have had three bets in the last few days for Cheltenham so I suppose I’d best get them on here.

Cheltnham Gold Cup

Killyglen 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 40-1

Think this horse could very well be a genuine group1 horse in the making. Kauto Star has been beaten twice at Cheltenham festival and Denman hasnt been a model of consistency for some time. If Killyglen turns out to be the real deal 40-1 will suddenly be very good.

Ryanair Chase

Planet Of Sound 1pt e/w 2pt win @ 16-1

Was extremely impressed with his run at ascot behind albertas run and think this horse has a lot more to come, 16-1 looks a steal.

Royal and Sun Alliance Chase

Wierd Al 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 33-1 (Boylesports)

Liked his win the other week and think he is a gd-sft horse, like his trainer and reckon he could be much shorter cometh the hour.

[Bulwark]

Champion Hurdle

Celestial Halo 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 16-1

My favorite horse in this division and would love him to win. His running style always leaves him vulnerable to a late closer but at 16-1 I think he’ll be involved in the finish once again, and on any surface.

Won In The Dark 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 100-1

I still firmly believe that the ground on the 1st two days of last years festival was much quicker than described, and like many others on those first 2 days I dont think he really had any chance from way off the pace. His best performance to date was IMO the 2008 Triumph behind Celestial Halo and I think that if he is ridden from off the pace on gd-sft and the pace is solid I think he could make a much better run than his 100-1 suggests, especially with several of the main contenders not being there and him having a reasonable handicap win last time out. Has to be a bet in my view.

[Bulwark]

Hope your having a good holiday Marb. Just gettin some fancies down for tomorrow as the grounds seems a bit clearer.

RSA

Diamond Harry 1pt win @ 13-2

Has obvious chances on this ground if it has dried toi good.

Knockara Beau 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 25-1 Ladbrokes

Am just a big fan of this horse and think that if it is still holding on to gd-sft on the chase track tomorrow then he has a great chance.

Coral Cup

Eleazar 1pt e/w, 1pt win @ 50-1

Right type for the race should like the ground, has been laid out for it and not 1st time he’s won when appearing unfancied in the betting

Hampshire Express 1pt e/w 1pt win

Again, the right type for the race and should have ground in his favour.

Shadow Dancer 2pt win @ 14-1

Ground and trip in his favour, low weight, cant be discounted

Fred Winter

1pt e/w 1pt win Causeway King 28-1 + Fin Vin De Leu 28-1

Think both of these two are the right sorts for the race and are both well enough weighted to get competetive.

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