Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Lincoln 2021
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Frenchy15.
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- January 31, 2021 at 17:05 #1520635
Entries out……
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/15/doncaster/2021-03-27/775546
https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/unibet-lincoln/winner
As is normally the case, there’s a few potential top notchers at the head of the market, and of those of be particularly interested in Ajyaall, but he really needs a big run soon to get in. His stablemate Ilaraab looks an equally likely one.
The one I am going to bet early though is King Ottokar. Slightly disappointing in The Balmoral, but I’m sure he’s better than that, and he ran well here last season, when nothing much went his way. I think his price is fair with five places, but he’s Win Only just now.
King Ottokar 20’s
February 2, 2021 at 18:21 #1520997I don’t mind an early bet in this. Brentford Hope at 12-1 for me. He struggled to live up to his early hype, but he was back on track last time.
February 12, 2021 at 15:29 #1522757agree with vtc about king ottokar but he hasnt won for a while and will need some luck in running
impossible to guess which of johnnie G’s runners is best or will run
fancy danyah for me with maybe an interest in tempus
February 13, 2021 at 17:55 #1522967I have backed Path Of Thunder at 33/1 EW for this race but he is currently in the UAE.
He ran a good 3rd today at Meydan and was backed down from 33/1 to 8/1. Will he stay in the Emirates for the World Cup Festival or come home for the Lincoln? Have to wait and see now.
Jac
Interesting to see that Eastern World who won that race at Meydan today is also declared.Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...March 13, 2021 at 18:02 #1529391just taken 50/1 scottish summit eyecatching run in the trial today
March 24, 2021 at 23:30 #1532286I might be absolutely crazy but if he is declared I’m going to have a few quid on acquitted
He beat mishriff as a 2yo and finished second to palace pier on reappearance as a 3yo pulling nicely clear of the rest
After that the wheels completely came off
Has been gelded over the winter and is surely better than a rating of 91
Other one I’m looking at is man of the night who was given a very nondescript ride in the Lincoln trial at Wolverhampton
March 25, 2021 at 09:13 #1532298I had a look at this last night in the hope it might spark some interest in the upcoming flat season. I too was drawn to Acquitted until i noticed he is jocked up to run in the preceding race on the card. Both jockeys to win on him (James Doyle and Kieron Shoemark) are jocked up on other runners so i doubt he will be declared.
I then turned my attention to Man Of The Night. His half-hearted run in the trial should have cleared away the cobwebs. Stablemate Ouzo is probably more trustworthy though and his experience in big field handicaps can see him go close at a pretty juicy price.
March 25, 2021 at 12:03 #1532314Auxerre 2019 drawn 17
Addeybb 2018 drawn 10
Bravery 2017 drawn 20
Secret brief 2016 drawn 22
Gabrial 2015 drawn 15So certainly looks like high draws have an advantage in this race, I’m sure a horse could win from a low draw but would need to be very well handicapped
March 25, 2021 at 15:30 #1532338Not a race I’ve had a huge amount of success in over the years. One or two pocket money boosting each-ways in the 1970s but precious little since I left school in 1979!
My figures are fairly tight, though three appear to have a bit in hand, but most are within 12lbs which is not much given ratings are formed from last two runs.
River Nymph 117
Eastern World 113
Ouzo 113
Orbaan 111
Revich 111
Ascension 111River Nymph (8/1) was progressive up to seven furlongs last season. Disappointed on his one effort over a mile but beaten too far at Ascot for it to be a staying problem. There’s enough stamina on the dam’s side to suggest one mile would be within his compass and one would hope for some physical development from 3 to 4 years old.
Eastern World heads the market on the strength of a decent win at Meydan. I’d hold off as price seems too short and he may well be a bit longer than the currently available 4/1 on the day.
Ouzo(25/1) was thereabouts in a number of decent mile handicaps last year, has every right to be in the mix and looks best value of top three.If it sluiced it down with rain before Saturday I’d add Ascension who has a distinct soft ground action.
March 25, 2021 at 19:08 #1532376It’s a very boring selection this, but I’ll take 4-1 Haqeeqy
Free bet also
March 26, 2021 at 11:23 #1532440Keep an eye on the weather as the wind generally blows down the straight at Doncaster (head on) and can have a big say over 8f.
I haven’t gone through the field as much as I’d like but I like Man of the Night at 22s. Forget his 8th last time as he was denied a run in the final furlong and this straight track will suit better. There should be a strong pace and he’ll be one of those who should be tucked in and running on at the end.
March 26, 2021 at 12:44 #1532456Looks the best Lincoln in a while
Brentford Hope is my main interest
good luck everyoneGaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
March 26, 2021 at 15:11 #15324763.10 – Unibet Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4
Trends
17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
13/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
12/17 – Having their first run of the flat season
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 95-100
9/17 – Placed first or second last time out
8/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/17 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
7/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/17 – Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle (last 2)
9 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 34 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at NewcastleMarch 26, 2021 at 15:44 #1532480Eastern World 5-1. bog ew 5 places.
March 26, 2021 at 16:53 #1532493Danyah and Ouzo for a bit of fun
March 26, 2021 at 17:06 #1532497Iv thrown a few quid at
Man of the night
Ouzo
Brunch
Grove ferryAll big enough prices on betfair just a small win bet on each of them
March 26, 2021 at 22:20 #1532559Market looks ominous for King Ottokar, and wouldn’t be a massive shock to me if he’s pulled.
He’s off a long layoff, doesn’t fit the profile of this, and he’s too old, but I’m going with Librisa Breeze as backup here. He shouldn’t have a look in, but at his best, which admittedly is a fair bit back now, he was very good. Pie in the sky stuff no doubt, but I’ve bet him 80’s, and will also bet him to the seven places.
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