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Well with no Aussie superstar this year, no Equiano, probably no Lady of the Desert, no Kinsale King, no Stratford Hill, probably no Astrophysical Jet, Borderlescott’s old – who’s left?
Markab I cannot envisage running in this. Surely he’ll go for the Jubilee. He’ll get horribly outpaced in this.
Maqaasid’s interesting if she reverts to 5f. Will she be good enough? Hmmm. She had an astonishingly low RPR prior to the Queen Mary. I was stunned when she won, really couldn’t believe it.
Total Gallery completely lost his way which under Stan Moore wasn’t surprising. He’s been sent to Mr Bojangles who trained Chineur to win this (Total Gallery was due to run in the race Chineur prepped for the King’s Stand in) and Makfi to win the Guineas. He had a little confidence booster last month and if he’s not gotten injured I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him come back to form in this.
Star Witness will be the Aussie runner this year but he’s not dominant at home like the 4 winner of this were back in Oz.
Sole Power’s the obvious one to me and leaps off the page. He’s won the Nunthorpe and the Temple. If he were called Kingsgate Native he’d be 4/1. He was just so impressive the other day and should go forward from that again. Kingsgate’s inconsistent and seems to be best fresh so I could’ve have him. At 10/1 you’re getting the quickest 5f sprinter in Britain/Ireland and he’s had a perfect prep. I’ll have some drips and drabs on the other 2 I mention but Sole Power to me looks a very generous price.
Markab did alright in it last year. Why shouldn’t he go for it again? I personally think he’s not been the same this season as last. Carrying weight and getting beaten will do that to a sprinter.
I was disappointed by his run on Saturday, but not his Duke of York run. I just think with him being an 8yo now he may not have the pace required anymore. Wasn’t a great race last year by any stretch.
Group Therapy is an interesting contender, haven’t a clue what Frank was doing on him Saturday but he missed the kick by about 5 lengths and then finished best of them all up the rail beaten less than 3l.
I think he can win one of these sprints when he gets the breaks but i do agree Sole Power is amazing value given what he has accomplished.
Backed overdose a couple of months ago when heard he was on his way at 7s. Hopefully he should come on for the run in the Temple Stakes, just can not have that winner, even if he is a group one winner.
I think Sole Power is undoubtedly a top class horse when given his optimum conditions. I do not think that it is a coincidence that his two best performances have come from off a strong pace over an easy five furlongs. I would have reservations as to whether the slightly stiffer track at Ascot will play to his advantage, but he will certainly have a strong chance of winning the Nunthorpe again.
Any news on LADY OF THE DESERT heard no news when she start racing this year. I felt she is good enough to win one of the big ascot sprints she is.
The best prices of Sole Power (10’s in a place) and Star Witness (8’s) can’t hold up. There’s limited depth to this race and the gap between the first four in the betting, which includes Lady Of The Desert, shows that.
Overdose would need June’s average rainfall in the day before the race.
Laddies Poker Two is surely in the category of more likely to run in the Golden Jubilee, if she runs at all?
War Artist and Borderlescott are ancient and 0/6 at Royal Ascot combined.
Group Therapy and Prohibit? Can’t see it.
Bridgetown, despite winning over 8f at Woodbine, couldn’t see out the BC Turf Sprint last year. Will probably show early speed before fading unless he gets a break on the rest.
The only horse at a bigger price that make any appeal to me is Swiss Diva.
Swiss Diva won 3 French sprints, 2 over the minimum distance, went off favourite in the Abbaye. I can understand the logic that she was outclassed/found out in the higher grade in the Abbaye, has not run since then, but there’s a chance she’s better over 5f and doesn’t have a Golden Jubilee entry, which hopefully indicates they’ll run.
Writing off star witness because he didn’t dominate in aus may not be the sharpest decision. If you believe the hype about black caviar, then don’t write off star witness.
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Yes I’d second that about Star Witness. Twice a winner down the Flemington straight. Twice a Gr1 winner. His trainer knows the time of day and has been here before so should know what’s required. One slight doubt at 5f. May be better off in the Jubilee. Anything chasing Black Caviar home is going to look average.
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If you can forgive his last 2 ordinary runs and Sole Power is the horse to beat,you could put your house on Star Witness,check out his Patinack Stks run,any horse that can get within 3 lengths of Black Caviar in a Group 1 would have won the Temple stks easily i think. I only wish i could get the 8/1 here,the best being bet in Australia is 11/2. I suppose a lot depends on how he settles in and not all previous winners of this race from Australia have been dominant.
Anyone else think Monsieur Chevalier might be worth a nibble at 40/1? He was 8th in the Abbaye as a 2yo, beaten under 3 lengths. Injured last year, I’d say his connections were satisfied with his comeback where he traveled well, didn’t get one slap from Hughes, who seemed intent on finding traffic. If he’s improved from that he could well rattle home to nab a place.
Anyone else think Monsieur Chevalier might be worth a nibble at 40/1? He was 8th in the Abbaye as a 2yo, beaten under 3 lengths. Injured last year, I’d say his connections were satisfied with his comeback where he traveled well, didn’t get one slap from Hughes, who seemed intent on finding traffic. If he’s improved from that he could well rattle home to nab a place.
Yes I agree, watched the comeback at Windsor and as you say Hughsie was quiet to say the least – I think with Royal Ascot in mind. They will go like lightning and the Chevalier will be running on at the death. Also if the rain comes I may have a couple quid each way on Overdose. Good Luck!
Martin
This race is prime for the taking for Sole Power being the best horse on current form and the predicted cut wont harm his chances. The foreigners could scarcely have more of the field but there are no world beaters joining the party. Interesting contender is Monsiour Chevalier who mopped up all the 2yo sprints in 2009 (bar 1 at Royal Ascot) and its not suprising he needed a gap year after the strain Hannon put him through. However, he was as good as to be raced in the 2009 Abbaye and a return to 6furlongs was a shrood move. The horse isn’t suited to 6furlongs and Hughesie never lifted his whip at Windsor. High hopes bringing him straight for this. Though has anyone got info on Jamie Spencer’s ride?
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