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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Kim Muir 2021

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 41 total)
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  • #1524822
    Autumnal
    Participant
    • Total Posts 599

    Thermistocles isn’t quoted yet, but I will give him a chance here. I hope he’s a good price tomorrow. For now, the 16/1 nrnb for Mount Ida for me.

    #1525132
    Avatar photoLemons68
    Participant
    • Total Posts 627

    Jerrysback or Plan of Attack for me right now, but I haven’t bet either yet.

    #1525247
    Red Rum 77
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5772

    With the ban on Amateur riders at Cheltenham. Would races like this take place this year.

    Snippet from Racing Post.

    Amateur jockeys will not be permitted to ride at this season’s Cheltenham Festival due to the UK government’s restrictions on grassroots sport lasting until March 29.

    Amateur riders are traditionally part of the fabric of the Cheltenham Festival with three races – the National Hunt Chase, Kim Muir Handicap Chase, and the St James’s Place Hunters’ Chase – reserved solely for them, and the leading amateurs also compete with professionals in the meeting’s other races.

    You've got to accentuate the positive.
    Eliminate the negative.
    Latch on to the affirmative.
    Don't mess with mister in between.

    #1525258
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16023

    Kev, I hope you’re right, as got plenty on already. Certainly my biggest bet of the week, and I’m happy that it’s all at the 25’s, but that’s without the NRNB safety net, which I’m never that comfortable with. Nearly as uncomfortable with his entry for The Midlands National.

    Fingers crossed though, and unusually for me at this stage, even with the others on the shortlist, I’m sticking with him alone.

    #1529474
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6560

    Kilfilum Cross Ew @ 20/1

    Could write a book about this horse honestly. Beat 46 horses home the last two years and each time bumped into one of these Irish plot jobs. First time was getting 4 lbs off Any Second Now who just happened to have the handbrake off.What is he rated now 160 :unsure:

    Last year bumped into another in Milan Native getting 4 lbs who just so happened to have a 7 lb claimer on board in an Amateurs race, what’s all that about ? He is rated 149 probably with another half a stone up his sleeve.

    Anyhow, looks like they are giving them some of the medicine this time. Down to 135 and Alex Edwards taking off another 3 lbs B-)

    #1530001
    Avatar photorobnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8403

    My top figures for this race are:

    Almazhar Garde 165
    Morning Vicar 164
    Storm Control 154

    Double Shuffle 153
    Another Venture 153

    All the top three were pulled up or behind last time after winning previously. At best they have a decent chance and I would hope break from racing will have freshened them. Top three against the field at decent odds.

    #1530041
    Illavim
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1120

    Annoyingly Time To Get Up now a non runner, has couple of entries at Kempton on Saturday instead.
    He was the horse most looking forward to after seeing him win at Wincanton.

    #1530116
    Danny_TLDR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34

    I spent a bit of time with this race yesterday as the market seemed a little undercooked. Backed Mount Ida at 14s on the basis she is likely to go off favourite?

    Also figured Crievehill and Sizing At Midnight were both overpriced at 33s. Crievehill ran a big race here 2 years ago (good to soft) to finish 4th and is back down to the same mark after spending the year running on unsuitable ground.
    Sizing At Midnight was in the process of running a big race when coming down in the Badger Beers and then never went a yard in heavy ground on the next day. He looks tantalisingly handicapped now the ground has come in his favour.

    I’d expect Crievehill in particular to drift further on the day.

    Twitter - @danny_TLDR

    #1530128
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16023

    Welcome to TRF Danny, and I hope your first post with Sizing at Midnight is a winning one.

    I’m disappointed that Time To Get Up didn’t declare, as he was my biggest Antepost of the week, but having greened out, it was a bit of a relief too. My other big bet was Escaria Ten, and NRNB saved me there too.

    Maybe an omen to leave it this year, but just love the race, so back in again.

    I think Sizing at Midnight would have won at Wincanton but for that fall, and think he should easily outrun his odds.

    I’ll also chance Cloudy Glen. Brutal last time, but he just caught my eye in The Welsh National, and though not as strong a fancy as Midnight, happy to have him on side.

    Cloudy Glen
    Sizing at Midnight
    Both EW 6 Places

    #1530132
    Danny_TLDR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34

    Many Thanks!

    Twitter - @danny_TLDR

    #1530146
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1889

    Can’t see past Shantou Flyer with those course figures.

    #1530148
    Danny_TLDR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34

    Vintage Clouds a timely reminder of how important that can be, particularly in a weak(?) renewal. And Cobden for Maxwell must be one of the greatest jockey upgrades in Festival history.

    Twitter - @danny_TLDR

    #1530156
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3939

    Stuck with Mount Ida here, and she’s shortening since the fav as defected. Wouldn’t have minded seeing Gainford claim back 7 and pretty much give her her mares allowance back lol. but Kennedy is very good so not to worry!

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1530686
    Autumnal
    Participant
    • Total Posts 599

    I’m with Mount Ida 16/1 nrnb, and I’ve added Kilfilum Cross at 20/1

    #1530759
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9073

    Have never backed the winner of this but I have a new friend to add to old pals for my 50p each ways

    Milanford
    Crievehill
    Townshend

    #1530762
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9514

    Mount Ida 13-2 ew 5 places

    #1530766
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9514

    Get in Ida!

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