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JLT NOVICES Chase 2016

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Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 38 total)
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  • #1233017
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
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    • Total Posts 8696

    Desperate stuff Gord, just seen your tweet, thought he was a cert, and the only shorty I was planning on backing. Gutted I’ll miss seeing him at Cheltenham. Hope it doesn’t affect your bets too much :negative:

    Thats exactly why I’m playing a different ball game this year Bob,backing Willie to win 10 races or more rather than backing them individually,we’ll see but its certainly ruined a few Lucky 31’s I know that! :negative:

    #1233021
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6252

    Bobby, you’ll have mixed feelings about Outlander now!

    #1233028
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34708

    Desperate stuff Gord, just seen your tweet, thought he was a cert, and the only shorty I was planning on backing. Gutted I’ll miss seeing him at Cheltenham. Hope it doesn’t affect your bets too much :negative:

    Thats exactly why I’m playing a different ball game this year Bob,backing Willie to win 10 races or more rather than backing them individually,we’ll see but its certainly ruined a few Lucky 31’s I know that! :negative:

    Eh :scratch:

    If someone backs just one of Mullins horses to win, then if one or more of Mullins other horses come out doesn’t matter (unless then re-routed).

    But for a bet on Mullins to win 10+ races if any Mullins horse comes out it reduces your chance of winning and reduces the value in the bet Gord. Rather take a chance on just one horse turning up myself. Hope all the other Mullins horses turn up for you.

    Value Is Everything
    #1233031
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
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    • Total Posts 8696

    Desperate stuff Gord, just seen your tweet, thought he was a cert, and the only shorty I was planning on backing. Gutted I’ll miss seeing him at Cheltenham. Hope it doesn’t affect your bets too much :negative:

    Thats exactly why I’m playing a different ball game this year Bob,backing Willie to win 10 races or more rather than backing them individually,we’ll see but its certainly ruined a few Lucky 31’s I know that! :negative:

    Eh :scratch:

    If someone backs just one of Mullins horses to win, then if one or more of Mullins horses come out doesn’t matter (unless then re-routed).

    But for a bet on Mullins to win 10+ races if any Mullins horse comes out it reduces your chance of winning and reduces the value in the bet Gord. Rather take a chance on just one horse turning up myself. Hope all the other Mullins horses turn up for you.

    Thing with Mullins horses this year Ginge is the fact even his 2nd best are better than other Trainers best chances…Outlander will win JLT now that both Kilultagh Vic and Shaneshill have let the side down…Now if ‘Outlander’ doesn’t turn up thats a Winner of the 10 lost.

    #1233037
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15937

    Yeah, that’ll be that Joe. I’ll just follow him to The JLT now. Both were novices to follow of mine this year, and I’d intentionally left KV out of my ten to follow, as was going to have decent bet on him, but missed the prices anyway.

    Real shame, as reckon KV was home and hosed.

    #1233038
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34708

    Thing with Mullins horses this year Ginge is the fact even his 2nd best are better than other Trainers best chances…Outlander will win JLT now that both Kilultagh Vic and Shaneshill have let the side down…Now if ‘Outlander’ doesn’t turn up thats a Winner of the 10 lost.

    Outlander has a goodish chance if running in the JLT, but is top priced 6/1 Gord, not 1/6.

    If Outlander goes for the JLT it also means the horse I believe is Mullins’ best chance of winning the RSA (Outlander) has no chance of winning the RSA. Black Hercules could go for the RSA instead, but then the best chance of winning the 4 miler doesn’t run there. Whichever way you look at it the chance of Mullins having 10+ winners is reduced.

    Value Is Everything
    #1233039
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
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    • Total Posts 8696

    Thing with Mullins horses this year Ginge is the fact even his 2nd best are better than other Trainers best chances…Outlander will win JLT now that both Kilultagh Vic and Shaneshill have let the side down…Now if ‘Outlander’ doesn’t turn up thats a Winner of the 10 lost.

    Outlander has a goodish chance if running in the JLT, but is top priced 6/1 Gord, not 1/6.

    If Outlander goes for the JLT it also means the horse I believe is Mullins’ best chance of winning the RSA (Outlander) has no chance of winning the RSA. Black Hercules could go for the RSA instead, but then the best chance of winning the 4 miler doesn’t run there. Whichever way you look at it the chance of Mullins having 10+ winners is reduced.

    Mullins should have 5 winners on day 1,I’ll take 4 that leaves 2 for the next 3 days Ginge.The Neptune looked a winner until ‘Yanworth’ took over favouritism but he’s got a great chance with Un Des Sceaux and
    both Augusta Kate and Village Mystic in the bumper. Limini should be a good thing in the Mares Nov on day 3 and if Valseur Lido goes for the Ryanair he’s a player.I hope Outlander can take the JLT so there’s every chance of at least 2 winners on day 3.That leaves a very strong hand in the Gold cup and a serious horse in the Triumph, Lets Dance,aswell as something in the Martin pipe.I am still confident of the 10 winners myself as horses like Bleu et Rouge,A Toi Phil,Long dog,Petit Mouchoir,Sambremont,Yorkhill and Sir des Champs could all play their part in something.Like I say when one horse fails another surfaces.

    #1233040
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 33918

    Shaneshill still can win this, the bookies overreacted a bit like ginge did saying there was no way Vautour would run in the gold cup.
    A rough boat ride over and running shorter than ideal he was the one horse staying on in the Arkle last year and everything points to him as a 2 and a half mile horse. Bellshill is another who was beaten too far out aswell to be a true running, trouble is the clock is ticking and time is precious.

    Charles Darwin to conquer the World

    #1233045
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6252

    It’s not all against Mullins – Traffic Fluide coming out effectively removed the sole ‘unknown’ from the QM and it should be a saunter now for UDS.

    Peace & Co’s blowout at Sandown leaves an already sewn-up Champion Hurdle watertight, perhaps pushing Mullins toward rerouting one of his ‘subs’ to the World Hurdle.

    All to play for!

    #1233048
    Manchester1
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    • Total Posts 60

    Zabana still the one for me :yahoo:

    #1238364
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 33918

    Shaneshill still can win this, the bookies overreacted a bit like ginge did saying there was no way Vautour would run in the gold cup.
    A rough boat ride over and running shorter than ideal he was the one horse staying on in the Arkle last year and everything points to him as a 2 and a half mile horse. Bellshill is another who was beaten too far out aswell to be a true running, trouble is the clock is ticking and time is precious.

    What a funny post.
    At least Shaneshill ran well if not in the right race, would have won this today.

    Charles Darwin to conquer the World

    #1238395
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6742

    Must admit Nath it was cruising alongside Blaklion and looked like it didn’t get home!!

    Am on Outlander and Three Musketeers here!!

    #1238408
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34708

    Starter error!

    I wish Cooper had fallen off Outlander at the start so I could get my money back too. No chance after getting left at the start and Cooper rushing him up to join the leaders – even before falling.

    Value Is Everything
    #1238411
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34708

    Mullins proven right about Black Hercules.

    Value Is Everything
    #1238418
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 33918

    Yes, brilliant Mr Mullins
    delighted for Ruby aswell he had loads of stick after falling on Black Hercules including a little from me.

    Charles Darwin to conquer the World

    #1238419
    Avatar photoBigG
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    • Total Posts 14244

    Fair play to all Black Hercules followers, I’m sure TAPK will be doing
    handstands. I had reservations about his jumping, but he was spot on
    today. Unfortunately my big fancy, Bristol De Mai, wasn’t right at a few
    and it cost him a bit. He ran on again at the end but was never going to
    catch BH.

    At least Paddy Power gives me back £25 quid of my bet, being 2nd. Onwards
    and upwards, plenty of great racing to come :good:

    #1238420
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34708

    :unsure:

    Value Is Everything
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