Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Irish Oaks 2018
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July 14, 2018 at 11:33 #1360286
MAGIC WAND 11/4
Always had feeling this year that this be best 3yo for AOB over middle distances after she won at Chester she flop at Epsom more down to ground.And as long ground remain on fast side she be hard to beat here.
July 14, 2018 at 14:46 #1360335Agree i think she’s the best of them.
Do you know the plans of any of the other contenders like Laurens? could cut up..
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 14, 2018 at 17:15 #1360356I’ve taken a chance on September e/w at 12s.
AOB has said he’s been training her at the race and she was ready to rock as a 2YO so feel she may just be ready to run a good race.Laurens supposed to be missing this Jack, Yorkshire Oaks next, As is Lah Ti Dar and I imagine Wild Illusion who needs slower ground and probably 10F.
July 14, 2018 at 18:19 #1360362Cheers Kev, To be honest, Magic Wand’s a very good bet then i think.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 14, 2018 at 22:38 #1360372I agree Magic Wand is the most likely, but what’s the weather forecast?
Suspect if the word firm is in the going description Magic Wand will run and Forever Together will stay at home. They want to get a Group 1 win in to MW, with FT already with one.
If the word soft is in the going description I’d have thought Forever Together will take Magic Wand’s place.Have they got anything else for the Nassau? Of their decs: Happily hasn’t gone on this year. Both Hydrangea and Rhod disappointed at Ascot. Magical seemingly under a cloud. Athena possible, but may want her for American racing. If none of those are suitable – and it’s good or softer for the Irish Oaks – will they want Magic Wand to go to the Nassau and Forever Together the Irish Oaks?
Value Is EverythingJuly 15, 2018 at 09:48 #1360390Ireland is currently experiencing unprecedented drought conditions, which are to last another 10 days at the very least. There is absolutely no concern that the ground will come up any way soft, it is like concrete at the moment. It will take a fair bit of watering to make the track safe at the very least.
Magic Wand should take all the beating in this and will probably start a decent sight shorter than 11/4.
July 15, 2018 at 12:54 #1360414Ginge, the way the weathers going MW will probably be the runner then…very dry down South at the moment, though we have rain up North today…
On Happily, 11/2 for the Nassau might not be the worst bet- she probably wasn’t ridden anywhere near to be effect at Sandown….a good break now until then, and who knows it might rain a little which would help her….speculative, but there aren’t too many to fear in that Nassau..
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 15, 2018 at 14:01 #1360419In that case Voleur, the 11/4 is fairly good value.
Value Is EverythingJuly 17, 2018 at 13:30 #1360539Cut down to 15 and Coolmore have 7 of the entries.
September makes the cut which is interesting, i wonder will they use this as a pipe-opener for her? Possibly for Magical as well as she has been off since her reappearance.
It will be interesting to see if Sea Of Class does indeed turn up, recent comments suggest it’s the plan for her.
Betvictor go 2s on Magic Wand while the rest are 7/4 mainly….+ sea of class 5/2.
Wouldn’t it be lovely if SOC didn’t make the boat over? She’s the potential fly in the ointment as she’s very unexposed..
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 17, 2018 at 21:58 #1360564AOB:
He said: “Magic Wand came out of her Ribblesdale win well. We’ve been pleased with her since and she’s ready to go to the Curragh.“The plan is that Forever Together and Bye Bye Baby will also run. We’ll make a decision about September having her first run of the season in the next couple of days.“
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 20, 2018 at 13:17 #1360657I am on the nice enough price for Magic Wand, but at the current prices, i think FT back to 12f is underestimated at 4/1…
Her Oaks win albeit on ground MW wouldn’t want was good form in the context of this race + there’s no doubt her run at Chester on better going, was eye-catching, she’d definitely have finished closer that day with a clear run….
I am probably foolish underestimating Sea Of Class as she has looked very good, but that was against lesser opposition and there is the usual Coolmore tactics to consider as well.
I think i’ll take the 4/1 about FT as well, in case it was the trip that beat her last time as a cover bet.
MW 11/4, antepost + FT 4/1
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 21, 2018 at 00:33 #1360720Bye bye baby @ 20/1 for me
July 21, 2018 at 18:11 #1360836Good win by Sea Of Class . So very pleasing to watch the lovely bred filly coming to snatch it off AOB in the dying strides with a perfectly timed run. It was very shrewd of William Haggas to instruct Jamie Doyle to settle Sea Of Class in the rear , keeping well detatched from the Balydoyle teams’ tactics .
Poor performance by Magic Wand – Ryan Moore not having the best of days at the Curragh .
Gambling Only Pays When You're Winning
July 21, 2018 at 21:43 #1360840I think these are a very moderate crop of middle distance fillies and in general I find the Oaks to be a very hard race to call every year.
I feel it’s pretty much like bingo betting on this year’s generation but perhaps Sea Of Class can finally cement her position as the best of a mediocre generation as we come through summer into the autumn.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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