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In beating Prosperous Voyage (OR 97) by a long-looking three and three quarter (looked value for more like five to me) lengths, I would say Inspiral has run to a career-best so far of 107, up from 104.
She is entitled to shorten for the Classics, but not in my view to any less than 6/1 for the 1,000 Guineas and 8/1 for The Oaks.
I am writing this immediately after the race with no updates bookie quotes to hand.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Just been on Oddschecker and seeing 6/1 and 10/1 respectively and tbf I don’t think that is an overreaction.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Reach For The Moon goes into tomorrow’s Champagne Stakes at Doncaster a top-priced 16/1 for the 2,000 Guineas and just 11/1 for The Derby.
His chief market rival Lusail is 33/1 for the Guineas.
Reach For The Moon has a quite beautiful old-fashioned middle-distance pedigree, being by Sea The Stars out of a Sadler’s Wells mare.
He is a fast-evaporating 4/5 for tomorrow with Lusail easy out to 5/2, perhaps surprising as the latter is a July Stakes and Gimcrack winner who has already won at this trip (though it may be as far as he wants to go).
Though he’s by a Guineas winner, I view Reach For The Moon as more of a Derby prospect and he could be runner up in tomorrow’s 7f contest and still look a fine sort for Epsom over 1m4f next June.
If Reach For The Moon wins tomorrow I would expect him to be 8/1 for the 2,000 Guineas and 5/1 for The Derby and if he wins easily he could be shorter still.
Should Lusail win, I would expect hastily-revised 2,000 Guineas quotes of around 14/1.
Over in Ireland, Nathan may be hoping Maritime Wings obliges to make old Pointless look marginally less of a one paced front-running old boat.
We shall see!
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Though the ante-post quotes have been ludicrously short, I wouldn’t entirely give up on Reach For The Moon as a Derby prospect after that.
He’s not quick enough for the 2,000 Guineas, but his pedigree has middle distances written all over it for me.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"So far today, the last two runners up to Point Lonsdale have both got beat.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"The Moyglare and National Stakes at The Curragh today might shake up the Classic markets.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Point Lonsdale is currently a top-priced 7/1 for the 2,000 Guineas and 8/1 for The Derby.
If he wins the National Stakes – for which he is currently 8/11 best – today I expect him to be 5/1 for Newmarket and 6/1 for Epsom.
Shergar was 8/1 for The Derby AFTER his won the Sandown Classic Trial by TEN lengths in April as a 3YO.
I will just leave it there, value seekers…
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"If you took the initial prices on PL you can always trade out now. Value for nothing. I only bet in pounds and ounces so will wait and see out the season at least.
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Native Trail highly impressive, but 5/1 for the 2,000 Guineas is miserly.
The race is almost eight months away, he’s not absolutely certain to stay a mile and I remember Shadeed being briefly 6/1 for the Guineas after winning the Craven by six lengths just three weeks before the Classic.
Bookies seldom offer value ante post nowadays.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Native Trail pedigree. By Oasis Dream. Unraced dam, her sire won G1s at 8f and 9f. The dam’s mother produced horses that won over 2 miles.
Suggests to me that finding 1 more furlong is within reach.
I think on balance he will get the Rowley Mile, which isn’t as stiff a mile as some think anyway.
Can’t be having these single-figure quotes for The Derby, though.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Luxembourg is 10/1 for The Derby after an impressive win in the Beresford Stakes.
He is a Camelot half brother to two winners over 1m4f.
I would have said 16/1 to 20/1 would have been fair, but 10s looks short for Epsom to me.
He is also 20/1 for the 2,000 Guineas and it’s worth pointing out his sire did win the Guineas.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Perfect Power is 12/1 for the 2,000 Guineas after winning the Middle Park, but I am not sure if he will stay a mile and he will need to train on better than his speedy sire did.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"
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