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cormack15.
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- February 15, 2012 at 09:52 #20991
Im trying to work out Flatstats.co.uk’s system builder so i can try and find out, but if anyone can help would be fantastic, ideally the info i need is How many short priced favorites got beat last season? evens or shorter please, if you can find out for me it will be fine but if not just the info i need on websites to find it myself!
Thanks in advance
February 15, 2012 at 11:40 #391442February 15, 2012 at 12:06 #391445This should help between 1991 – 2010:-
http://adrianmassey.no-ip.org/web1/fav/fav0.php
Regards

Thankyou for that matron but im still struggling here,
Outcome Return
Bets
Win
Place
Win
E/W
All Races144362
34%
62%
92%
91%
So am i right in thinking that with regard to every race since 1991.. 34% of favs have come in,
So what does this mean win 92% on the right hand side of it??
That was taken from the top of the page!
Regards
February 15, 2012 at 12:29 #391450With, that figure you would be on loss – every £100.00 invested you would have received back £92.00.
You will need to scroll down the page to get the "stats" you want.
Regards
February 15, 2012 at 12:35 #391451With, that figure you would be on loss – every £100.00 invested you would have received back £92.00.
You will need to scroll down the page to get the "stats" you want.
Regards

So in theory backing every one of them to lose (Lay bet) would mean big dollar
… just trying something!Thanks alot buddy
February 15, 2012 at 22:19 #3915702011 on the flat (inc a/w) – evens or shorter.
953 selections
543 winners
56.98% s/r
1 pt level stake = loss of 66.19pts (-6.9% ROI)At Industry SP. (On Betfair SP you’d have lost only 16.31 pts before commission)
Given you’d be laying them at BF prices AND paying commission this is no money spinner as it stands Lee.
February 16, 2012 at 08:20 #391644What it is Cormack im trying the Lay system in the Systems area, (£36,000) so its not a case of level stakes laying, its trying to make a certain amount of money on each race, kind of like the RED/BLACK on a roulette (Lose, double it, lose double it)
So as long as a favorite gets beat this season, im in the money, the lower the % of favorite win.. the better!
Cheers.
February 16, 2012 at 08:39 #391645… kind of like the RED/BLACK on a roulette (Lose, double it, lose double it)…
Lee
That strategy is potentially the quickest way to ruin going.
Rob
February 16, 2012 at 09:32 #391650… kind of like the RED/BLACK on a roulette (Lose, double it, lose double it)…
Lee
That strategy is potentially the quickest way to ruin going.
Rob
Sorry Rob could you elaborate please?
Lee
February 16, 2012 at 09:44 #391651like the RED/BLACK on a roulette (Lose, double it, lose double it)
The attraction but fatal fallacy of exponential 2^n staking
see here:
February 16, 2012 at 09:45 #391652Because if you lose 5 or 6 times in a row, you are ****-ed.
February 16, 2012 at 10:46 #391656Because if you lose 5 or 6 times in a row, you are [expletive]-ed.
https://theracingforum.co.uk/horse-r … =3&t=89186
This is what im doing, so as long as a favorite gets beat at some point, you will make 100 per race, so if i lose 8 in a row, you lay the horse to win £800, only on odds on favs, and 54% won last year i think it said… so im going to give it a go, not with 100’s though! build up slowly!
February 16, 2012 at 11:35 #391664This would seem to be a reverse application of Seagull’s "Old Boy" system: https://theracingforum.co.uk/horse-r … =3&t=71513
It worked for a year if I remember correctly, then went tits up and we’ve never heard from him since!
Best of luck anyway Lee, but do stick to minimum stakes.I've stumbled on the side of twelve misty mountains
I've walked and I crawled on six crooked highwaysFebruary 16, 2012 at 19:31 #391713It is intuitively appealing Lee, but flawed – a losing run (and it is inevitable sooner or later) will bring it down.
February 17, 2012 at 10:10 #391828It is intuitively appealing Lee, but flawed – a losing run (and it is inevitable sooner or later) will bring it down.
We better hope it doesnt then! Only a little bit of fun and not big bets, wish me luck!
February 17, 2012 at 11:00 #391835Rather than burden yourself with multi-taps of the keyboard, and burden the forum with another incarnation of an old-and-tired-as-the-hills staking ‘system’ why not do as Purwell suggest and study all 59 pages of the ‘Old Boy’ thread – boom-boom-bust-bust-big-time
I see you represent a firm which deals in waste paper – apposite or ironic? take your pick

In my opinion these ‘doubling’ staking systems are not "fun" in the slightest, as their intuitive and addictive appeal to the innumerate renders them dangerous
What’s your starting stake going to be?
Shall we say 10p – do bookies still accept two-bob bets?
9 successive losers (or winners in your case presumably) and your next stake will be £102.40
think on
February 17, 2012 at 11:17 #391838Not quite following the exact method being used here but the longest losing run of favourites in the UK by
published off time
for the last 3 full years is
2009…25
2010…26
2011…21You’ll go skint.
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