The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Henrythenavigator and the St James Palace Stakes

Home Forums Archive Topics Trends, Research And Notebooks Henrythenavigator and the St James Palace Stakes

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 95 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #168003
    batman
    Member
    • Total Posts 489

    dont know why all the doubts & negativity about Henry, he beat what was put in front of him and looked good doing it i can actually see him come on again for irish 2000 and looking at entries cant see anyone there to trouble him with New approach winning the derby it franks the form IMHO

    he is deffo banker material but his price wont be great so if anyone has another banker at good odd’s please let me know?

    #168004
    batman
    Member
    • Total Posts 489

    double post

    #168005
    batman
    Member
    • Total Posts 489

    dont know why all the doubts & negativity about Henry, he beat what was put in front of him and looked good doing it i can actually see him come on again for irish 2000 and looking at entries cant see anyone there to trouble him with New approach winning the derby it franks the form IMHO

    he is deffo banker material but his price wont be great so if anyone has another banker at good odd’s please let me know?

    #168007
    Avatar photoYoung Mick
    Member
    • Total Posts 203

    I would love to see Henry become something special and I beleive that at the start of the season he is. What worries me is how his form seemed to tail off after his ascot win as a 2 y o. Could the same thing happen this year??

    #168013
    clivex
    Member
    • Total Posts 3420

    I think that was probably down to way he was campaigned…which was less than perfect

    #168014
    Avatar photoTuffers
    Member
    • Total Posts 1402

    I would love to see Henry become something special and I beleive that at the start of the season he is. What worries me is how his form seemed to tail off after his ascot win as a 2 y o. Could the same thing happen this year??

    Only if they run him on soft ground

    #168022
    Hawk Wing
    Member
    • Total Posts 141

    I would love to see Henry become something special and I beleive that at the start of the season he is. What worries me is how his form seemed to tail off after his ascot win as a 2 y o. Could the same thing happen this year??

    he was raced on the wrong ground

    #168024
    Avatar photoMDeering
    Member
    • Total Posts 1688

    Henrythenavigator is not top class and I will be searching for an upset to beat the 7-2 on favourite in the St James’ Palace.

    Raven’s Pass is hugely interesting on firmer ground and at Ascot. If he’s a price – fair dinkum!

    And how about Falco? Scorching performance with a full head of steam in the Poulains.

    Why 7-2 on? Insane!

    #168029
    Avatar photoYoung Mick
    Member
    • Total Posts 203

    I would love to see Henry become something special and I beleive that at the start of the season he is. What worries me is how his form seemed to tail off after his ascot win as a 2 y o. Could the same thing happen this year??

    he was raced on the wrong ground

    My apologies :D , although it is quite cloudy today in London! Could there be rain on the way?! :shock:

    #168033
    batman
    Member
    • Total Posts 489

    Henrythenavigator is not top class and I will be searching for an upset to beat the 7-2 on favourite in the St James’ Palace.

    Raven’s Pass is hugely interesting on firmer ground and at Ascot. If he’s a price – fair dinkum!

    And how about Falco? Scorching performance with a full head of steam in the Poulains.

    Why 7-2 on? Insane!

    in fairness any double guineas winner is not going to be anything other than odd’s on

    #168037
    Avatar photoPeter Poston’s Ghost
    Participant
    • Total Posts 553

    Would hold all bets until the likely going is known, Ascot throws up some strange results on soft or drying ground.

    If going is genuine good or better can’t see Henry getting beat but too short a price for me. Brian Meehan’s Cat Junior an interesting outsider if going is OK.

    #168048
    Avatar photoMDeering
    Member
    • Total Posts 1688

    Role call: horses who have done the treble?

    #168049
    Avatar photoHimself
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3777

    The one I mentioned earlier.

    Rock of Gibraltar

    Gambling Only Pays When You're Winning

    #168051
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    in fairness any double guineas winner is not going to be anything other than odds on

    Cockney Rebel wasn’t quite that. He was Evens favourite last year, and probably would have won if he hadn’t been significantly injured during the race.

    It’s worth remembering that only two horses in modern times have completed this treble – Right Tack (1969) and Rock of Gibraltar (2002) – so if Henrythenavigator does, it will be a significant achievement even if the opposition is sub-standard.

    #168052
    batman
    Member
    • Total Posts 489

    in fairness any double guineas winner is not going to be anything other than odds on

    Cockney Rebel wasn’t quite that. He was Evens favourite last year, and probably would have won if he hadn’t been significantly injured during the race.

    It’s worth remembering that only two horses in modern times have completed this treble – Right Tack (1969) and Rock of Gibraltar (2002) – so if Henrythenavigator does, it will be a significant achievement even if the opposition is sub-standard.

    Cockney wasnt trained by A o’ Brien

    #168054
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    You keep repeating this. I would like to know why 4 lengths or so is considered "close up"
    As for the Curragh, thats a barmy interpretation of form. He picked them off with ease. Does the actual distance matter?

    Whether 4 lengths is close up or not, it equates to about 8lbs over 1 mile, so how would you explain these.

    1/ Stubbs Art improved by 25lbs on anything he had done previously, a phenomenal amount for any horse, let alone one on his 8th career start?

    2/ Dream Eater, rated 104 rec’d a 10lb beating?

    3/ Moynahan, rated 95 rec’d a 17lb beating?

    The only other horses in the first 6 were New Approach, who has already showed he needed further, and the nonstaying Raven’s Pass whose future almost certainly lies over shorter, so why is HTN rated on those 2 with the others conveniently ignored.

    At the Curragh, New Approach palpably didn’t run his race, so much so that the trainer thought within a couple of days that the horse had taken nothing out of himself and began planning for the Derby.
    Stubb’s Art occupied a similar position to the one he had at Newmarket, which proved nothing new, and the 109 rated – and unfit – stablemate Jupiter Pluvius ran the usual AoB warm-up of some 10/15lbs below his best.
    HTN might have been visually impressive (In a slowly run race against nix opposition) but I reckon I would have looked half-decent; would the distance have mattered then?
    Or is the only sane way through rose tinted glasses? :wink:

    #168059
    Avatar photoYoung Mick
    Member
    • Total Posts 203

    "reet hard wrote:
    1/ Stubbs Art improved by 25lbs on anything he had done previously, a phenomenal amount for any horse, let alone one on his 8th career start?

    There is a certain case for this.

    1. There is a lot of time for a horse to grow into its frame from 2-3 and 25lbs is beleivable.
    2. Some horses no matter how many runs can turn from ordinary handicappers into top class horses (ie. Young Mick and Les Arcs 2006)
    3. Elsworth said after the guineas he was disapointed as he expected his horse to win it, let alone be placed. Therefore he must have seen a major improvement in his horse.
    4. He repeated the form in the irish guineas therefore it wasnt a one off
    5. Both times he ran not too far off of new approach who has gone on to win a derby
    6. No one wrote off the dante because tartan bearer went up so many lbs from his leicester maiden 2nd

    Sorry, its just I have taken quite a liking to the horse after his efforts in the guineas and expect him to be placed again in the St James Palace.

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 95 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.