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Grand National 2024

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Viewing 17 posts - 188 through 204 (of 632 total)
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  • #1681865
    Avatar photoBobby Bluebell
    Participant
    • Total Posts 239

    Is it still a minimum of 6 chase starts in order to qualify to run?

    I see Salvador Ziggy has only had 4 chase starts and Meetingofthewaters has 5.

    If it is 6 chases by when would a horse have to run it’s 6th race in order to qualify?

    #1681869
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1725

    The 6 chase rule still applies, but they appear to have moved the deadline back, as it used to be weights day. I would imagine it is the second scratch day as that is the deadline to meet the 3 mile deadline. So around the 24th of March.

    #1681873
    TheTinMan87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1045

    As per my post from a few pages back which I’ve updated to reflect Fiddlerontheroof having now run in a chase this season and an extra run for Favori De Champdou, still a very unlikely runner for what its worth. I’d say anyone on 4 chase starts currently won’t be an intended runner here.

    Worth noting quite a few on the list aren’t currently eligible to run but have chance to change that, need to have qualifying runs done by 26th March.

    Need to have run in 6 chases under rules:
    Classic Getaway (5)
    Letsbeclearaboutit (5)
    Meetingofthewaters (5)
    Riaan (4)
    Salvador Ziggy (4)
    Favori De Champdou (4)

    Need to have run in a chase under rules this season:
    Mr Incredible
    Le Milos
    Samcro

    First 4 in a chase over at least 2m 7.5F:
    Adamantly Chosen
    Ash Tree Meadow
    Embittered
    Riaan (fails on 2 counts so far – see number of runs above)

    Also need to be rated 130 or above by UK handicapper when weights are decided on Feb 18th.
    From what I can make out the UK handicapper has presumably decided the following aren’t worth a 130 mark as they have no weight allocated:
    Battleoverdoyen
    Fakiera
    Its On The Line
    Placenet
    Royal Thief
    So Des Flos

    #1681879
    honeysdad
    Participant
    • Total Posts 170

    There definitely needs to be some tweaking on the entry qualifications,I’m not entirely sure 7 year olds have any business running in the race despite Noble yeats win.
    I’d open it up for horses that have have run in a 2 mile 6 race or further and entries must be in their second season chasing .
    They must have run in 8 or more chases.
    Even now the majority of horses that finish in the first 6 are usually battle hardened having run in chases with decent size fields so are used to the hussle and bustle .
    The last qualifications would be to sack the majority of the board who’s main concern is how much revenue they can bring in.
    Their reasons for stopping reserved said it all if you read between the lines ,their goal is a squeaky clean race so they can sindicate it out to even more countries every year .
    The race should be owned and run in isolation by those that understand the spirit of the race.
    The fences are fine I’m my opinion but the race could do without speccy accountants more concerned about their bonus to keep their duck lipped partners In cologen.

    #1681880
    Avatar photoBobby Bluebell
    Participant
    • Total Posts 239

    Thank you Peter and Tin Man 👍👍😎

    #1681882
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4258

    About getting into the race, I think with only 34 declared a lot more of these top 34 will try to get in, as they have six fewer opponents to fear, more room to maneuver, potentially less riderless horses.
    That’s why I won’t go too far to the bottom weights expecting them to run.

    #1681891
    Avatar photoCork All Star
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9096

    I backed Vanillier at a big price antepost last year. He does look quite well treated again and he has obviously been trained all season with this race in mind.

    I expect I will back him but I sometimes think horses get one shot at the National and last year was his chance.

    #1681896
    Marlingford
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1622

    Thanks for the updates on eligibility TinMan, very helpful.

    The 6 chase starts need to have been achieved prior to 26 March this year. As peterh says, this is also the date for the requirement of having finished in the first 4 in a chase over at least 2m 7.5f.

    Its On The Line and Battleoverdoyen may have been ineligible due to having run in a hunter chase this season rather than because the handicapper did not rate them highly enough. However, as it was an Irish hunter chase that they ran in I’m not certain.

    #1681900
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33238

    “Kitty’s Light 25/1
    Corach Rambler 14/1
    Minella Indo 31/1
    Threeunderthrufive 36/1”
    ————————
    Noble Yeats 18/1

    Value Is Everything
    #1681905
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    The winner of the 2024 Grand National will be trained in Ireland, be aged seven, eight or nine, and, while figuring in the top 34 in today’s weights, will not have had its mark exposed by too prominent a display in a 3m-plus chase since the autumn.

    Consequently these are the only 11 who can win it….

    3 Noble Yeats 11st 8lb 165
    7 Fakir D’Oudairies 11st 3lb 160
    10 I Am Maximus 11st 2lb 159
    15 Stattler 11st 1lb 158
    16 Classic Getaway 11st 157
    21 Farouk D’Alene 10st 11lb 154
    22 Salvador Ziggy 10st 11lb 154
    24 Letsbeclearaboutit 10st 10lb 153
    28 Bronn 10st 8lb 151
    29 Vanillier 10st 8lb 151
    33 Mr Incredible 10st 7lb 150

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1681907
    Red Rum 77
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4830

    The one’s I like now the weights are published are

    I’AM MAXIMUS
    MAHLER MISSION
    LONGHOUSE POET
    CHAMBARD

    Already backed Desertmore House and Noble Yeats.

    How Timeform see’s the race at this moment

    183 – VANILLIER

    182 – DELTA WORK

    182 – LE MILOS

    181 – CHEMICAL ENERGY

    181 – MAHLER MISSION

    180p – MONBEG GENIUS

    180 – CLASSIC GETAWAY

    180x – FAROUK D’ALENE

    179 – ELDORADO ALLEN

    179 – GALVIN

    179 – PANDA BOY

    179 – SALVADOR ZIGGY

    Selected others

    178 – CONFLATED

    178 – CORACH RAMBLER

    178 – NOBLE YEATS

    177 – CAPODANNO

    177 – KITTY’S LIGHT

    177 – MR INCREDIBLE

    177 – THREEUNDERTHRUFIVE

    176 – HEWICK

    175+ – NASSALAM

    170+ – LATENIGHTPASS

    The best things in life are free.
    But you can give them to the birds and bees.

    #1681918
    Avatar photovikingflagship
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2305

    Interesting thanks the tinman that’s interesting, can you update that list of they run again etc or if they do qualify

    Vf x

    #1681936
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7836

    FYI, last year all the way down to number 67 on weights day got in for a 40 runner field.

    #1681938
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7836

    My ew 4…

    Kittys Light 40-1
    Monbeg Genius 20-1. Free bet.
    Vanillier 14-1. 5 places.
    Panda Boy 20-1. 5 places.

    #1681946
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33238

    When does the – stopping poor jumpers from running – come into action?

    If it’s now:
    With the Timeform “X” Farouk D’Alene should be taken out.

    Value Is Everything
    #1681958
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    If Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott run all their entries (despite perhaps not fancying some of their chances much) they will severely limit the chances of various horses from other yards making the final 34.

    I predict they will henceforth do this every year until such time, if any, that there is a rule change to prevent it.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1681960
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33238

    If it happens this year I think it is a certainty it won’t happen next year.

    Value Is Everything
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