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Grade 2 Jumps Races – Trends Worth Following ?

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  • #27353
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    For those of you who have seen my other posts on here, you will no doubt already be aware that I am a "stats man" and like to follow trends in horse racing to help me find winners. Some will scoff outright and gives reasons to suggest that I am wasting my time, but it’s my hobby, my time, my money and my fun. Don’t worry, this is not a rant it’s just me way of saying, if you don’t want to listen then please stop and try some of the other posts, but if you do then perhaps I can provide some insights into helping find some nice winners. No scam, no rubbish, just something that you can do yourself.

    So here’s the deal, from the last 16 Grade 2 Jumps races that I have analysed this season, 15 winners have followed the trends. That means that selecting just from those that follow the trends, only once has this meant that the shortlist has not contained the winner…

    Key
    Name of the Race – number of horses following the trends/number of runners – % of horses following the trends in that race – best placed horse from the trends shortlist – position and odds of best placed "trender".

    Amlin 1965 Chase 3/3 100% Al Ferof – Won 5/2
    The Ascot Hurdle 1/7 14% Faugheen – Won 1/4
    Worcester Novices’ Chase 2/3 67% Carraig Mor – Won 2/1
    Berkshire Novices’ Chase 1/5 20% Coneygree – Won 2/1
    Long Distance Hurdle 2/6 33% Medinas – Won 8/1
    Winter Novices’ Hurdle 3/5 60% Vyta Du Roc – Won 7/4
    Peterborough Chase 3/6 50% Wishfull Thinking – Won 13/2
    Bristol Novices’ Hurdle 2/6 33% Blaklion – Won 9/4
    International Hurdle 1/8 13% The New One – Won 4/7
    Summit Juvenile Hurdle 2/6 33% Peace And Co – Won 10/11
    Noel Novices’ Chase 3/5 60% Ptit Zig – Won 6/4
    Kennel Gate Novices’ Hurdle 1/3 33% Yes L’Ami Serge – Won Evens
    Desert Orchid Chase 3/5 60% Balder Succes – 2nd
    Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase 2/5 40% Vibrato Valtat – Won 11/4
    Dipper Novices Chase 4/7 57% Ptit Zig – Won Evens
    Leamington Novices’ Hurdle 4/7 57% Three Musketeers – Won 6/1

    Sure some of those might have been obvious, e.g. Faugheen + The New One but you don’t make a lot of money from smaller bets backing odds on so winners like Medinas 8/1, Wishfull Thinking 13/2 and most recently Three Musketeers 6/1 are the ones that us "fun punters" enjoy most.

    There are 6 Grade 2 races coming up this weekend, so hopefully there will be a few winners in amongst them that follow the trends. Fingers crossed !!

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #501669
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Warfield Mares’ Hurdle
    Ascot 1:50
    Runners declared: 9
    Trends;
    1). Official Rating 133-150
    2). SP of 8/1 or less
    Runners following trends: 3 (maybe 4)
    Carole´s Spirit
    Land Of Vic
    Mischievous Milly
    Dark Spirit – currently 8/1, odds need to be watched

    My selection: Carole’s Spirit

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Keltbray Holloway’s Hurdle
    Ascot 2:25
    Runners declared: 8
    Trends;
    1). Won before on going
    2). Official Rating 139-153
    3). SP in top 3 of the betting
    Runners following trends: 2 (maybe 3)
    Garde La Victoire (probable) – currently 4/1 favourite, odds need to be watched
    Le Mercurey (probable) – currently 5/1 joint 2nd fav, odds need to be watched
    Lyvius (unlikely) – currently 7/1 5th in the betting, odds need to be watched

    My selection: Garde La Victoire

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Altcar Novices’ Chase
    Haydock 12:55
    Runners declared: 4
    Trends;
    1). Won before oover the same distance
    2). SP of 11/4 or shorter
    3). SP in top 3 of the betting
    Runners following trends: 1
    Close Touch

    My selection: Close Touch

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Rossington Main Novices’ Hurdle
    Haydock 1:30
    Runners declared: 7
    Trends;
    1). Won before oover the same distance
    2). SP in top 3 of the betting
    Runners following trends: 2 (maybe 3)
    Aso
    Kiama Bay
    Kingfisher Creek (possible) – currently 5/1 joint 3rd favourite with Qewy, odds need to be watched

    My selection: Aso

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Champion Hurdle Trial
    Haydock 2:05
    Runners declared: 7
    Trends;
    1). Official Rating 142-168
    Runners following trends: 4
    The New One
    Bertimont
    Desert Cry
    Strongpoint

    My selection: Desert Cry
    I probably need to comment on my selection, I am going each way on Desert Cry mainly due to his record on Heavy and I think there is a possible chance that The New One might just struggle a little on this going here at Haydock. Desert Cry receives 8lbs but is rated 18lbs lower the question is whether 10lbs can be absorbed by the going ? The New One has raced only once on Heavy and finished second, at the same time of year in 2013. Desert Cry has run 6 times on heavy, winning 3 and coming second twice. He;s twice a winner at Haydock once on Heavy going. If there is a chance to back against The New One, then I think this is one of the rare opportunities and at 16/1 a place at ¼ odds will return more than backing TNO to win at 1/6.

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Peter Marsh (Handicap) Chase
    Haydock 3:15
    Runners declared: 13
    Trends;
    1). Official Rating 137-155
    2). Won before oover the same distance
    Runners following trends: 5
    Hey Big Spender
    No Planning
    Corrin Wood
    Green Flag
    Vintage Star

    My selection: Vintage Star

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #501825
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Results
    =======

    Warfield Mares’ Hurdle
    Ascot 1:50
    Best placed "trender" = Carole’s Spirit 2nd at 11/4

    Keltbray Holloway’s Hurdle
    Ascot 2:25
    Best placed "trender" = Lyvius 2nd at 11/2

    Altcar Novices’ Chase
    Haydock 12:55
    Best placed "trender" = Close Touch 4th

    Rossington Main Novices’ Hurdle
    Haydock 1:30
    Best placed "trender" = Aso Won at 6/4

    Champion Hurdle Trial
    Haydock 2:05
    Best placed "trender" = The New One Won at 1/6

    Peter Marsh (Handicap) Chase
    Haydock 3:15
    Best placed "trender" = Vintage Star 3rd at 7/1

    #502556
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    (Figures in brackets show the trend strength, e.g. 7/8 indicates 7 of the last 8 winners)

    Finesse Juvenile Hurdle
    Cheltenham 12:40
    Runners declared: 6
    Trends;
    1). SP in top 3 of the betting (7/8)
    2). Won last time out (6/8)
    Runners following trends: 3
    Bivouac
    Ibis Du Rheu
    Peace And Co

    My selection: Peace And Co
    If Nicky Henderson’s rising star Peace And Co has progressed since his Summit Juvenile Hurdle win in December, then I see this being a procession.

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Cotswold Chase (Betbright Cup)
    Cheltenham 1:50
    Runners declared: 6
    Trends;
    1). Official Rating of 151 or higher (9/9)
    2). Course winner (7/8)
    Runners following trends: 2
    Dynaste
    The Giant Bolster

    My selection: Dynaste
    Dynaste has been doing very well in Grade 1 races recently and drops down to Grade 2 here, no doubt to get him ready for the festival.

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Doncaster Mares’ Hurdle
    Cheltenham 2:05
    Runners declared: 7
    Trends;
    1). Already won on the same going (5/5)
    Runners following trends: Unfortunately all 7 entrants have already won on Good to Soft so the trends cannot help here.

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Freebets.com (Handicap) Trophy Chase
    Cheltenham 2:25
    Runners declared: 10
    Trends;
    1). SP of 9/1 or less (9/9)
    2). Finished 1st or 2nd last time out (6/6)
    3). Course winner (8/9)
    Runners following trends: 2
    Sew On Target
    Quincy Des Pictons – currently 9/1, odds need to be watched

    My selection: Sew On Target

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    River Don Novices’ Hurdle
    Cheltenham 2:40
    Runners declared: 7
    Trends;
    1). Finished 1st or 2nd last time out (10/10)
    1). SP of 9/1 or less (10/10)
    Runners following trends: 1
    Caracci Apache

    My selection: Caracci Apache

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Classic Novices’ Hurdle
    Cheltenham 3:00
    Runners declared: 9
    Trends;
    1). Finished 1st or 2nd last time out (9/9)
    2). SP in top 3 of the betting (7/8)
    Runners following trends: 1 (possibly 3)
    Value At Risk
    Vago Collonges – currently 7/1, odds need to be watched
    Robinsfirth – currently 8/1, odds need to be watched

    My selection: Vago Collonges e/w
    This horse has been either 1st or 2nd in every one of his 7 races to date. Signs of a fighter rather than a classy sort but worth an e/w bet I feel in a 9 runner affair at around 7/1.

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Cleeve Hurdle
    Cheltenham 3:35
    Runners declared: 6
    Trends;
    1). Official Rating of 151 or higher (9/10)
    2). Course winner (6/7)
    Runners following trends: 1
    Reve De Sivola

    My selection: Reve De Sivola
    Reve looking to take the long distance crown.

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #502764
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Results
    =======

    Finesse Juvenile Hurdle
    Cheltenham 12:40
    Best placed trender: Peace And Co Won 4/9

    Cotswold Chase (Betbright Cup)
    Cheltenham 1:50
    Best placed trender: Dynaste 3rd 5/2

    Doncaster Mares’ Hurdle
    Cheltenham 2:05
    Best placed trender: N/A as all horses followed the trends.

    Freebets.com (Handicap) Trophy Chase
    Cheltenham 2:25
    Best placed trender: Sew On Target 5th

    River Don Novices’ Hurdle
    Cheltenham 2:40
    Best placed trender: Caracci Apache Won 9/2

    Classic Novices’ Hurdle
    Cheltenham 3:00
    Best placed trender: Vago Collonges 3rd 8/1

    Cleeve Hurdle
    Cheltenham 3:35
    Best placed trender: Reve De Sivola 2nd 4/1

    #503254
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Just one Grade 2 race this coming weekend…

    Towton Novices’ Chase
    Wetherby 3:20
    Runners declared: 15
    Trends;
    1). Won last time out (5/5)
    Runners following trends: 3 (at 5 day decs stage)
    Kings Palace
    Straidnahan

    Tonvadosa

    Other information…
    In the last 8 runnings of this race;
    5 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
    2 top rated horses have won.
    2 unrated horses have won.
    5 winners had already won over the same distance.
    No winners had previously won at the course.
    7 winners had already won on the going.
    14/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    8/15 has been the lowest winning SP.
    The ages of the winners: 1 x 6yo, 6 x 7yo, 1 x 9yo.

    I will update the trend followers list after the overnight declarations have been made.

    #503435
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Towton Novices’ Chase – Overnight declarations

    There are just 2 following the trend…
    Straidnahanna
    Tonvadosa

    I have looked a little more closely and found that the last 5 winners of this race had won both of their previous races. Only Straidnahanna has won both.

    I also noticed that 7 of the last 8 winners had an SP of 3/1 or shorter with the other having odds of 14/1, so could this be another instance of that rule being broken as he is currently priced 14/1 in a couple of places as I write this.

    I am therefore going to take a chance with Straidnahanna and as there are 9 runners, I will take the insurance of an each way bet.

    Good luck !!

    #503634
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Straidahanna was third at 11/2 but 2 non-runners meant no payout. It would have been nice to have collected on the place at 14/1. Still, there’s always bext weekend

    #504214
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 7th February 2015

    Analysis done at the 5 day decs stage…

    Kingmaker Novices’ Chase
    Warwick 2:05
    Distance : 2m
    Going : Soft

    In the last 5 runnings of this race;
    2 favourites have won.
    2 top rated horses have won.
    3 winners had already won over the same distance.
    1 winner had previously won at the course.
    4 winners had already won on the going.
    8/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.
    The ages of the winners: 2 x 5yo, 1 x 6yo, 2 x 7yo.

    The trends that I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist in finding the winner are as follows…
    > All of the previous 5 winners were aged 5yo-7yo.
    > All of the previous 4 winners had previously won on the same going.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Vibrato Valtat G-GS-S-H*
    Top Gamble S-H*
    Tango De Juilley S*
    Adriana Des Mottes GS-S-H*

    *previous going wins

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Denman Chase
    Newbury 2:25
    Distance : 3m
    Going : Soft

    In the last 9 runnings of this race;
    4 favourites have won.
    4 top rated horses have won.
    6 winners had already won over the same distance.
    4 winners had previously won at the course.
    9 winners had already won on the going.
    12/1 has been the highest winning SP (twice).
    1/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
    The ages of the winners: 5 x 7yo, 2 x 8yo, 1 x 9yo, 1 x 10yo.

    The trends that I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist in finding the winner are as follows…
    > All of the previous 9 winners had an Official Rating of 149 or higher.
    > All of the previous 9 winners had already won a race on the same going.
    > 7 of the previous 8 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.

    Harry Topper G-GS-S-H
    Unioniste G-GS-S-H
    Double Ross G-GS-S
    Holywell G-GS-S
    Houblon Des Obeaux G-GS-S-H
    Coneygree GS-S-H
    Taquin De Seuil G-GS-H
    Rajdhani Express G-S-H

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Game Spirit Chase
    Newbury 3:00
    Distance : 2m 1f
    Going : Soft

    In the last 8 runnings of this race;
    4 favourites have won.
    4 top rated horses have won.
    7 winners had already won over the same distance.
    3 winners had previously won at the course.
    8 winners had already won on the going.
    4/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    2/5 has been the lowest winning SP.
    The ages of the winners: 1 x 5yo, 1 x 6yo, 2 x 7yo, 3 x 8yo, 1 x 10yo.

    The trends that I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist in finding the winner are as follows…
    > All of the previous 8 winners already won a race on the same going.
    > All of the previous 8 winners had an Official Rating of 156 or higher.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Sire De Grugy G-GS-S-H
    Uxizandre G-GS-S

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #504448
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 7th February 2015

    Horses on the trends listings…

    Kingmaker Novices’ Chase
    Warwick 2:05
    Vibrato Valtat
    Top Gamble

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Denman Chase
    Newbury 2:25
    Unioniste
    Houblon Des Obeaux
    Coneygree

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Game Spirit Chase
    Newbury 3:00
    Sire De Grugy
    Uxizandre

    Good luck with your bets !!

    (Posted late today due to problems beyond my control :evil: )

    #504710
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 7th February 2015

    Horses on the trends listings…

    Kingmaker Novices’ Chase
    Warwick 2:05
    Vibrato Valtat

    Top Gamble


    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Denman Chase
    Newbury 2:25
    Unioniste 3rd
    Houblon Des Obeaux

    Coneygree

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Game Spirit Chase
    Newbury 3:00
    Sire De Grugy Fell
    Uxizandre Fell

    Good luck with your bets !!

    (Posted late today due to problems beyond my control :evil: )

    #750685
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 14th February 2015

    Analysis done at the 5 day decs stage…

    Race : Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase
    Course : Ascot 2:05
    Distance : 3m
    Going : Good to Soft

    In the last 10 runnings of this race;
    5 favourites have won.
    4 top rated horses have won.
    3 unrated horses have won.
    9 winners had already won over the same distance.
    2 winners had previously won at the course.
    7 winners had already won on the going.
    17/2 has been the highest winning SP.
    4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.

    The ages of the winners: 4 x 6yo, 6 x 7yo.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > All of the previous 8 winners had already won a race over the same distance.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Virak
    The Last Samuri
    The Ould Lad
    Wuff

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Race : Rendlesham Hurdle
    Course : Haydock 2:20
    Distance : 3m
    Going : Soft

    In the last 10 runnings of this race;
    2 favourites have won.
    2 top rated horses have won.
    2 unrated horses have won.
    5 winners had already won over the same distance.
    2 winners had previously won at the course.
    9 winners had already won on the going.
    10/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    10/11 has been the lowest winning SP.

    The ages of the winners: 3 x 6yo, 3 x 7yo, 2 x 8yo, 1 x 9yo, 1 x 10yo.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > 9 of the previous 10 winners had an Official Rating of 139 or higher.
    > 9 of the previous 10 winners had already won a race on the same going.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Across The Bay S-H
    At Fishers Cross GS-S-H
    Barafundle G-GS-S-H
    Dawalan G-GS-S
    Land Of Vic G-GS-S-H
    Milansbar S-H
    Seeyouatmidnight G-S-H
    (Previous win going after each horse; Good, Good to Soft, Soft, Heavy)

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Race : Kingwell Hurdle
    Course : Wincanton 3:35
    Distance : 2m
    Going : Good to Soft

    In the last 9 runnings of this race;
    6 favourites have won.
    4 top rated horses have won.
    No unrated horses have won.
    9 winners had already won over the same distance.
    3 winners had previously won at the course.
    9 winners had already won on the going.
    14/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    1/3 has been the lowest winning SP.

    The ages of the winners: 3 x 5yo, 4 x 6yo, 2 x 8yo.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > All of the previous 9 winners had already won a race on the same going.
    > All of the previous 9 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
    > All of the previous 7 winners had an Official Rating of 147 or higher.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Irving G-GS-S
    Blue Heron GS-S
    Sign Of A Victory G-GS
    (Previous win going after each horse; Good, Good to Soft, Soft)

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Race : Prestige Novices’ Hurdle
    Course : Haydock 4:00
    Distance : 3m
    Going : Soft

    In the last 10 runnings of this race;
    5 favourites have won, 1 was co-favourite.
    3 top rated horses have won.
    2 unrated horses have won.
    3 winners had already won over the same distance.
    1 winner had previously won at the course.
    8 winners had already won on the going.
    16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    2/11 has been the lowest winning SP.
    The ages of the winners: 1 x 5yo, 6 x 7yo, 1 x 7yo, 1 x 8yo, 1 x 10yo.

    The ages of the winners: 1 x 5yo, 6 x 7yo, 1 x 7yo, 1 x 8yo, 1 x 10yo.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > All of the previous 9 winners had finished either 1st or 2nd last time out (8 won).

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Fletchers Flyer
    Definitly Red
    Subtle Grey
    Ballagh
    Globalisation

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #750775
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 7th February 2015
    Overnight declarations[/color:5g6qnxea]
    Horses on the trends listings…

    Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase
    Ascot 2:05
    Virak

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Rendlesham Hurdle
    Haydock 2:20
    At Fishers Cross
    Barafundle
    Land Of Vic
    Milansbar
    Seeyouatmidnight

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Kingwell Hurdle
    Newbury 3:35
    Irving
    Blue Heron
    Sign Of A Victory

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Prestige Novices’ Hurdle
    Haydock 4:00
    Fletchers Flyer
    Definitly Red
    Ballagh
    Globalisation

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #750989
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 7th February 2015
    Overnight declarations[/color:1yelgeib]
    Results…

    Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase
    Ascot 2:05
    Virak Fell[/color:1yelgeib]

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Rendlesham Hurdle
    Haydock 2:20
    At Fishers Cross 5th[/color:1yelgeib]
    Barafundle 6th[/color:1yelgeib]
    Land Of Vic 4th[/color:1yelgeib]
    Milansbar 3rd[/color:1yelgeib]
    Seeyouatmidnight 2nd[/color:1yelgeib]

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Kingwell Hurdle
    Newbury[/color:1yelgeib] Wincanton[/color:1yelgeib] 3:35
    Irving 2nd[/color:1yelgeib]
    Blue Heron [b:1yelgeib]Won 3/1[/color:1yelgeib][/b:1yelgeib]
    Sign Of A Victory 4th[/color:1yelgeib]

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Prestige Novices’ Hurdle
    Haydock 4:00
    Fletchers Flyer 2nd[/color:1yelgeib]
    Definitly Red [b:1yelgeib]Won 9/4[/color:1yelgeib][/b:1yelgeib]
    Ballagh 3rd[/color:1yelgeib]
    Globalisation Pulled Up[/color:1yelgeib]

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #751370
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 21st February 2015

    Analysis done at the 5 day decs stage…

    Race : Adonis Juvenile Hurdle
    Course : Kempton Park 2:00
    Distance : 2m
    Going : Good to Soft

    In the last 10 runnings of this race;
    6 favourites have won.
    1 top rated horse has won.
    8 unrated horses have won.
    4 winners had already won over the same distance.
    1 winner had previously won at the course.
    3 winners had already won on the going.
    8/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    8/11 has been the lowest winning SP.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > 9 of the previous 10 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.
    > 9 of the previous 10 winners had an SP of 4/1 or shorter.

    As the trends can only be applied on the day of the race, all runners remain on the listing at the 5 day decs stage.

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Race : Pendil Novices’ Chase
    Course : Kempton Park 2:35
    Distance : 2m 4f 110y
    Going : Good to Soft

    In the last 10 runnings of this race;
    5 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
    5 top rated horses have won.
    2 unrated horses have won.
    5 winners had already won over the same distance.
    3 winners had previously won at the course.
    6 winners had already won on the going.
    12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    2/5 has been the lowest winning SP.
    The ages of the winners: 1 x 5yo, 5 x 6yo, 4 x 7yo.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > All of the previous 9 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.
    > All of the previous 6 winners had an Official Rating of 142 or higher.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Far West
    God’s Own
    Hollow Penny
    Irish Saint
    Melodic Rendezvous
    Puffin Billy
    Tango De Juilley
    Un Ace

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Race : Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle
    Course : Kempton Park 3:10
    Distance : 2m
    Going : Good to Soft

    In the last 9 runnings of this race;
    2 favourites have won.
    2 top rated horses have won.
    3 unrated horses have won.
    6 winners had already won over the same distance.
    0 winners had previously won at the course.
    4 winners had already won on the going.
    16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    4/9 has been the lowest winning SP.

    The ages of the winners: 3 x 4yo, 4 x 5yo, 1 x 6yo, 1 x 8yo.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > 8 of the previous 9 winners had won a Hurdle race before.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    The Grey Taylor
    Days Of Heaven
    Vago Collonges
    One For The Guv’Nr
    Bivouac
    All Yours

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Sunday 22nd February 2015

    Analysis done at the 5 day decs stage…

    Race : National Spirit Hurdle
    Course : Fontwell Park 3:10
    Distance : 2m 4f
    Going : Good to Soft

    In the last 10 runnings of this race;
    4 favourites have won.
    4 top rated horses have won.
    1 unrated horse has won.
    4 winners had already won over the same distance.
    1 winner had previously won at the course.
    6 winners had already won on the going.
    16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
    4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.

    The ages of the winners: 2 x 5yo, 3 x 6yo, 2 x 7yo, 2 x 8yo, 1 x 9yo.

    The trends that I have found which I believe will help to narrow down the list to study and assist us in finding the winner are as follows…
    > 8 of the previous 9 winners had an Official Rating of 145 or higher.

    Horses left in at the 5 day declaration stage that follow the trends are…
    Garde La Victoire
    Dell ‘Arca
    Kilcooley
    Silsol

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #751575
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 21st February 2015
    Overnight declarations
    Horses on the trends listings…

    Adonis Juvenile Hurdle
    Kempton Park 2:00
    All Yours
    Beltor
    Bivouac

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Pendil Novices’ Chase
    Kempton Park 2:35
    God’s Own
    Irish Saint
    Melodic Rendezvous

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle
    Kempton Park 3:10
    The Grey Taylor
    Days Of Heaven
    Vago Collonges

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Sunday 22nd February 2015
    Overnight declarations
    Horses on the trends listings…

    National Spirit Hurdle
    Fontwell Park 3:10
    Kilcooley
    Silsol

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Good luck with your bets !!

    #751814
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday 21st February 2015
    Overnight declarations
    Horses on the trends listings…

    Adonis Juvenile Hurdle
    Kempton Park 2:00
    All Yours 2nd 9/2[/color:3ozcw0bz]
    Beltor Won 3/1[/color:3ozcw0bz]
    Bivouac 2nd 6/4F[/color:3ozcw0bz]

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Pendil Novices’ Chase
    Kempton Park 2:35
    God’s Own N/R
    Irish Saint Won EvensF[/color:3ozcw0bz]
    Melodic Rendezvous 3rd 5/4[/color:3ozcw0bz]

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

    Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle
    Kempton Park 3:10
    The Grey Taylor 3rd 5/1[/color:3ozcw0bz]
    Days Of Heaven Won 11/10F[/color:3ozcw0bz]
    Vago Collonges 2nd 11/8[/color:3ozcw0bz]

    = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

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