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Faith in Bobs Worth remains strong, though I’ll undoutobly be putting some savers on Silviniaco Conti, close to hitting a couple of trebles
£30 returns £1000
Faugheen 11/4
Sire De Grugy 9/4
Bobs Worth 7/4£26 returns £1000
Vautour 10/3
Sire De Grugy 9/4
Bobs Worth 7/4Also have a potential £500 winning betting slip with Ladbrokes that I’m just waiting on Bobs Worth for.
Hope the outsiders don’t get in the way of the better horses. Thinking of horses like Houblon Des Obeaux who at times is a dreadful jumper. It seems that getting Mon Mome placed has encouraged Venetia to run just about anything.
She could well have been a GC/Grand National winning trainer had Teeton Mill not gone wrong in the race all those years ago [seems like yesterday].
The Nicholls’ stable has been right out of form this week, makes me think twice about Silviniaco Conti
Last Instalment is a huge price. Forget all the comments about the ground – check the form out, the ground will suit fine.
Good luck all.
She could well have been a GC/Grand National winning trainer had Teeton Mill not gone wrong in the race all those years ago [seems like yesterday].
It just about broke my heart Moe when Teeton Mill pulled up in the GC, if I remember rightly he had slipped a tendon off his hock. I was upset for the horse and the connections, but if I’m honest I was more upset that I had been so sweet on him from the time of his Badger beer win, even before the Hennessy, and had a few tasty wagers at very decent odds and when he went off 7/2 on the day I felt like Barney Curley (admittedly on a bad day). But it wasn’t to be
My 100% Book:
33.5% Bobs Worth 2/126.5% Silviniaco Conti 11/4
10.5% Last Instalment 17/2
7.5% Trio D’Alene 12/1
7.2% First Lieutenant 13/1
5% On His Own 20/1
5% The Giant Bolster 20/1
1.5% Lord Windermere 66/1
1.5% Teaforthree 66/1
1% Lyreen Legend 100/1
0.25% Houblon Des Obeaux 400/1
0.3% Cloudy Too 300/1
0.3% Katenko 300/1
0.2% Knockara Beau 500/1I don’t think Nicholls is going too badly, not many have had winning chances. Some good place efforts. And had the nod gone the other way with Southfield Theatre and Katgary not been unlucky in running he’d have had two handicap winners.
If Last Instalment drifts slightly more he might be worth an investment (only 0.5% better price than my book at the moment). However…
Silviniaco Conti
is a cracking
each way
bet @ 7/2 imo. Getting back most of stake for a place.
Value Is EverythingGinger do you think Last Instalment has performed the best staying chase performance of the season thus far?
I do, and comfortably. I trust the form book more than connections quotations, the ground seemingly will be no problem. The strike rate is excellent.
Course / festival form is all that is lacking.
Ginger do you think Last Instalment has performed the best staying chase performance of the season thus far?
I do, and comfortably. I trust the form book more than connections quotations, the ground seemingly will be no problem. The strike rate is excellent.
Course / festival form is all that is lacking.
As Ginger is no doubt thumbing through his percentages this thread will answer your question.
The safe thing to say from reading all of that is that anyone saying LI has "no chance" is full of BS, unless they are re-mortgaging, begging, stealing, and borrowing every penny they could get recently to lay a horse who has "no chance" and buy themselves an almighty no-risk payday.
I can accept someone with differing views, but no chance? Come on, he has a chance alright and is certainly my pick. A reproduction of LTO would get the job done I would think.
Unproven on ground that isn’t soft in anyway but in a sub standard field overall LI must make the shortlist behind BB and SC……….especially as Davy Russell rates him superior to Sir Des Champs
He is a Grade 1 winner on good ground beating First Lieutenant more easily than Bobs Worth did in the RSA. Questions have only been raised about the ground as a result of his previous injury.
It’s nearly time; I’ve been waiting all year for this, the Gold Cup really is what it’s all about; the other races have been great, but they’d all swop for a crack at the big one. It’s what evry owner,trainer jockey dreams about. I love that moment on the second circuit, near the end of the back straight, where the contenders are beginning to sort themselves out. The C4 commentator had a great phrase a few years ago "now they’re entering the torture chamber."
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Looking very promising, Ben – good luck.
Thanks, really think it’s between the top two!
I’ve been trying to get Bob’s Worth beat for the last year and, in all honesty, I can’t, at least with the field he’s facing (Oh, Back In Focus, why did you have to get injured AGAIN?). I feel like I’m clutching at straws.
Ho Hum.
BlueSky @pghenn.bsky.social
So don't run, just like the others always do
There is just no getting away from it, Bobs Worth should win this and Silviniaco Conti should be the one to trouble him, but racing rarely works out that way when it looks that easy. I can smell an upset, so rather than risk a big stake at skinny odds, I’m more inclined to go for a lesser one with a solid place chance and maybe a squeak if things don’t go to plan.
I know Triolo D’Alene has the National as his main goal, but the way he won The Hennessy last November was impressive. Bobs Worth won the same race, as did Denman, before they went on to win the GC. If he is with them with a couple to go you just know he will be running on strongly up that hill. He hasn’t run since The Hennessy because he needs good ground, he has got his ground today and at 16/1 with Betvictor he is a very decent e/w.
I’ve also taken a bigger gamble by putting a few quid e/w on Lord Windermere who is a frustrating horse, good when he’s good and hopeless when he’s not. He’s shown very little in his last three races, but he has shown his liking for Cheltenham when winning the RSA last year. If Cheltenham fires him up again, he is no 33/1 shot.
Good luck today guys
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