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Enjoy your time with your GF. Well done yesterday,I managed to have a few bob on Mountainous.Otago Trail won as he liked.I do not like backing horses at shorter than 2/1.If you thought a horse had a 70% win chance would you back it at 4/5?or do you have a cut off point.
If you go to back a certainty always buy a return ticket.
Just don’t take your timeform mags to bed with you.
Blackbeard to conquer the World
Nice one Nathan – like that image!
Appreciate you
re on a bit of a sabbatical at the moment Ginge, but have had a look at the 2.00 Ludlow today and reckon that there may well be another Otago Trail type bet, again with Venetia WilliamsTake The Mick.
All in place for a big run with the others having ground, trip, fitness or form issues. Should go from the front and simply out jump and out stay this field.Now watch it all go bosoms up
Who`s fiddling with my font!
2016 Gold Cup
86 points @ 10/1 (L) Donn Poli* (min 9/2)savers:
15 points @ 7/1 (L) Cue Card (min 6/1)
13 points @ 8/1 (Sportsbook) Don Cossack (min 6/1)Let’s get a little back:
LAY 16 points @ 6.6/1 Don Poli (min 7/1)(£16 available)7 points @ 16/1 (Sky) More Of That (min 14/1) NRNB
MOT not entered, so “That” money comes back.
Another:
LAY 10 points @ 6.2/1 (betfair) Don Poli (min 7/1)(£24 available)Another:
BACK: 27 points @ 5/1 (B365) Don Cossack* (min 72) NRNBValue Is EverythingEnjoy your time with your GF. Well done yesterday,I managed to have a few bob on Mountainous.Otago Trail won as he liked.I do not like backing horses at shorter than 2/1.If you thought a horse had a 70% win chance would you back it at 4/5?or do you have a cut off point.
Don’t think I am good at identifying value at long odds-on CJ; so 4/5 is normally my cut off point.
However, it’s not set in stone. If there was a big enough “margin for error” I’d make an exception. eg If believing something had a 70% (fair 4/9) and odds available were 4/6 (60%) or better – with difference of 10% or more – giving a large enough margin for error for me to get involved. Might not be right in thinking it a fair 4/9 shot, but am very unlikely to be a full 10%+ out! So I would take the bet. The shorter the price the more “margin for error” I need for a bet.
Value Is EverythingNice one Nathan – like that image!
Appreciate you
re on a bit of a sabbatical at the moment Ginge, but have had a look at the 2.00 Ludlow today and reckon that there may well be another Otago Trail type bet, again with Venetia WilliamsTake The Mick.
All in place for a big run with the others having ground, trip, fitness or form issues. Should go from the front and simply out jump and out stay this field.Now watch it all go bosoms up
Who`s fiddling with my font!
Not seen any racing this week Softie. Saw the result of Take The Mick though. Well clear of the rest.
Value Is EverythingNice one Nathan – like that image!
Appreciate you
re on a bit of a sabbatical at the moment Ginge, but have had a look at the 2.00 Ludlow today and reckon that there may well be another Otago Trail type bet, again with Venetia WilliamsTake The Mick.
All in place for a big run with the others having ground, trip, fitness or form issues. Should go from the front and simply out jump and out stay this field.Now watch it all go bosoms up
Who`s fiddling with my font!
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Not seen any racing this week Softie. Saw the result of Take The Mick though. Well clear of the rest. <img src=”https://theracingforum.co.uk/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_sad.gif” alt=”:-(” class=”wp-smiley”>Hope you`re having a good week Ginge
Takin The Mick did just that with his jumping and i under estimated the winners ability to stay the extra distance. ought to have had a little saver there 3:35 Warwick
31 points @ 8/1 (betfair) Sego Success* (min 7/1)(£342 available)Value Is Everything3:35 Warwick
31 points @ 8/1 (betfair) Sego Success* (min 7/1)(£342 available)15 points @ 18/1 (betfair) What A Good Night* (min 14/1)(£248 available)
28 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Vivaldi Collonges* (min 8/1)(£385 available)Value Is Everything3:35 Warwick
31 points @ 8/1 (betfair) Sego Success* (min 7/1)(£342 available)15 points @ 18/1 (betfair) What A Good Night* (min 14/1)(£248 available)
28 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Vivaldi Collonges* (min 8/1)(£385 available)saver:
11 points @ 8/1 (B365) Midnight Prayer (min 8/1)Value Is EverythingRace Of The Day
2:25 Warwick
28 points @ 15/2 (B365) Howaboutnever* (min 7/1)Value Is EverythingRace Of The Day
2:25 Warwick
28 points @ 15/2 (B365) Howaboutnever* (min 7/1)You’ll probably get 9/2 in the morning but I won’t have time to get on here so:
48 points @ 4.4/1 (betfair) Arctic Gold* (min 7/2)(£48 available)Value Is EverythingRace Of The Day
2:25 Warwick
28 points @ 15/2 (B365) Howaboutnever* (min 7/1)You’ll probably get 9/2 in the morning but I won’t have time to get on here so:
48 points @ 4.4/1 (betfair) Arctic Gold* (min 7/2)(£48 available)saver:
23 points @ 3.7/1 (betfair) Isaacstowt Lad (min 100/30)(£23 available)Value Is Everything2:05 Wetherby
45 points @ 9/2 (B365) Upsilon Bleu* (min 9/2)45 points @ 3.7/1 (betfair) Sir Valentino* (min 7/2)
saver:
20 points @ 9/2 (PP) Gardesfort (min 9/2)Value Is EverythingJust don’t take your timeform mags to bed with you.
:lol:
Timeform is banned from the bedroom Nathan. 
Shirley’s 
gone home now. 
Value Is Everything
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