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1:10 Plunpton:
115 points @ 8/11 (B365) Optimus Prime (min 4/6)Don’t often bet odds-on, but Optimus Prime’s two main rivals come from a couple of trainers yet to hit top form this season. David Pipe has had a disappointing start to the season, with the very few winners; should beat Shaama Grise anyway even if capable of running to his hurdles form on Chase debut. Gary Moore had a winner on Friday, his first in over a month and nothing San Pedro De Senam has done suggests he’s able. Optimus Prime looked a good chase prospect when making all and jumping well to beat Tommy Silver last time; the 3rd Behind Time has 41 lengths to make up and only 5 lbs better off. imo Optimus Prime has around a 1 to 2 chance.
Value Is EverythingOptimus Prime won as he liked and saver Jesters Jet won so:
Todays Stakes 217
Return 311.14
Days Profit 94.14 pointsThread Totals:
Stakes: 3183
Return: 4412.75
Profit: +1229.75 points
Profit on stakes: 38.63%
Strike Rate 72.41% (incl. 9 savers) 21 from 29
Strike Rate 41.38% (not incl. savers) 12 from 29
(4 Ante-Post bets still to run: 200 points)Value Is Everything3:00 Lingfield:
66 points @ 9/2 (B365) Allthegear No Idea (min 7/2)Value Is Everything3:00 Lingfield:
66 points @ 9/2 (B365) Allthegear No Idea (min 7/2)64 points @ 11/4 (L) Persian Snow (min 5/2)
Value Is Everything2:30 Lingfield:
saver first:
24 points @ 100/30 (B365) Clayton (min 100/30)Value Is Everything2:30 Lingfield:
saver first:
24 points @ 100/30 (B365) Clayton (min 100/30)80 points @ 13/8 (FD) Sea Wall (min 6/4)
Value Is EverythingSoftie won’t believe it, a bet at Plumpton!
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A profitable day at Plumpton too Ginge……. Lingfield next as well
Softie won’t believe it, a bet at Plumpton!
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A profitable day at Plumpton too Ginge……. Lingfield next as well
Ye’ but not all weather Lingfield.
Enjoying studying a lot more again and trying to do at least one bet a day on Class 3 and better. Did I once put up Plumpton as a course for the chop? Plumpton’s a nice course; but there’s still too much racing.
Today’s tips don’t look so good at the moment, not many have shortened. So may be my winning run will come to an end today.
Dinsdale being very well backed suggests better is expected with headgear reaplied, so Sea Wall and Clayton might not have the chances I thought. Anyone who’s not bet yet might reduce stakes on those. Sea Wall might get a soft lead here and is in good form – unlike some here – and may still have a bit of improvement in him. Can’t understand market moves for Cloudy Beach (unless a back to lay opportunity) and Wings Of Smoke (63 lengths last last time out). Grand Vision I can see coming on for his reappearance and stable in good form; but this is a minimum trip for him and will probably need a fast pace. That said, he’s capable of making it. Even so, prefer the fresh horses Persian Snow and Alltheger No Idea. Latter lost his confidence in his jumping in the latter stages of last season but was fairly proficient in his early starts. Could be he’ll jump better fresh and imo in form Cawley replacing Bargary another positive. Persian Snow won his only two starts last season for this amateur rider, including after a long break. Stable yet to hit top form which is a bit of a worry, but Persian Snow is much more lightly raced than these and therefore imo the most likely to improve.Value Is Everything2:30 Lingfield:
saver first:
24 points @ 100/30 (B365) Clayton (min 100/30)80 points @ 13/8 (FD) Sea Wall (min 6/4)
Arghhh!!! Saver beating the main bet in a photo. Tom Connon probably would’ve won had he not been outjumped at the last. Thought he also gave the winner (who’s got plenty of speed for a finish) a soft lead/best position for the sprint for home. But at least I didn’t lose any money.
Value Is EverythingWhen the first bookmaker priced up yesterday for this 3:00 Persian Snow was 5/2 fav, now there’s people laying him @ 13/2 on betfair. On market odds doesn’t appear fit for reappearance.
Value Is EverythingWith just saver Clayton winning today:
Todays Stakes 234
Return 108
Days Deficit -126 pointsThread Totals:
Stakes: 3417
Return: 4520.75
Profit: +1103.75 points
Profit on stakes: 32.3%
Strike Rate 70.96% (incl. 10 savers) 22 from 31
Strike Rate 38.71% (not incl. savers) 12 from 31
(4 Ante-Post bets still to run: 200 points)Value Is EverythingBecher Chase:
53 points @ 7/2 (Sky) Blaklion (min 100/30)36 points @ 10/1 (B365) Gas Line Boy (min 8/1)
Value Is Everything1:30 Ludlow:
95 points @ 9/4 (B365) Maria’s Benefit (min 7/4)saver:
29 points @ 100/30 (PP) Midnight Jazz (min 100/30)Value Is Everything2:05 Ludlow:
saver first:
33 points @ 9/4 (PP) Audacious Plan (min 85/40)Value Is Everything2:05 Ludlow:
saver first:
33 points @ 9/4 (PP) Audacious Plan (min 85/40)31 points @ 12/1 (betfair) According To Harry (min 9/1)
Value Is Everything
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