- This topic has 2,423 replies, 56 voices, and was last updated 9 years, 5 months ago by
.
-
Posts
-
Might come back with a bet in the 6:05 Punchestown and Sandown
Value Is Everything2:45 Sandown
36 points @ 7/2 (B365) Faraaj* (min 7/2)24 points @ 13/2 (B365) Chil The Kite* (min 13/2)
18 points @ 100/30 (B365) Trumpet MajorValue Is EverythingWell done THM, Quevega won in a style that suggests she’d have won even if Solwhit had been in the race.
5:30 Punchestown
32 points each way @ 5/1 (b365) Rock On Ruby* (min 4/1)4 points each way @ 16/1 (L) Thousand Stars (min 16/1)
Think Thousand Stars at 7/2 w/o The Fly is a good bet today Ginge, he often well this time of year, ground and trip not ideal but he’s not much to beat today, don’t fancy ROR at all, ground and track far from ideal plus he’s run two pretty average races at Aintree the last two seasons, seems to save his best for the Festival. I wouldn’t be surprised if he was well beaten today.
- Total Posts 764
After deliberating long and hard I’ve decided to give Solwhit and the whole race a miss, I figure even though I like it I don’t have enough confidence in it to back it at the price. Finish work at 6 so may well hit up the 19.15 at Punchestown
if I’m bored enough!
You’ll never make a serious gambler with that sort of attitude Ben.
What the hell are you doing working for a living!
Seriously though, never bet just because you have the opportunity. Although true, if not sure Solwhit is value then I applaud you not betting.
Haha I’m still learning the ropes and trying out different styles, I ended up putting a tiny amount on Onsie in the 7.15 but wasn’t confident enough of the consistency of young fillies so played it safe.
Well done for the saver on Quevega, you must have been laughing when Solwhit got removed and you were sitting on 5/2!
The 1.30 tomorrow at Sandown looks interesting, Calculated Risk is smart but is giving a little more weight away to a couple of recent opponents who finished close to him, obviously Ptit Zig looks strong and Counsel could be a decent bet depending on the odds.
I’m hoping Finians Rainbow has reasonable odds too, he’s had excuses all season and although there are obvious risky attatched; tomorrow it looks like the trip/conditions will finally be in his favour. Then again Sanctuaire likes this course and could prove tough to beat.
2:45 Sandown
36 points @ 7/2 (B365) Faraaj* (min 7/2)24 points @ 13/2 (B365) Chil The Kite* (min 13/2)
18 points @ 100/30 (B365) Trumpet MajorThis race is in the wrong thread, so will count for Gingers Winners, not Gingers Jumpers.
Value Is EverythingWell done THM, Quevega won in a style that suggests she’d have won even if Solwhit had been in the race.
5:30 Punchestown
32 points each way @ 5/1 (b365) Rock On Ruby* (min 4/1)4 points each way @ 16/1 (L) Thousand Stars (min 16/1)
Think Thousand Stars at 7/2 w/o The Fly is a good bet today Ginge, he often well this time of year, ground and trip not ideal but he’s not much to beat today, don’t fancy ROR at all, ground and track far from ideal plus he’s run two pretty average races at Aintree the last two seasons, seems to save his best for the Festival. I wouldn’t be surprised if he was well beaten today.
Your points on ROR are well made Pants. Two poor races at Aintree are a concern, but I think that is the reason for them allowing more time and coming here. Ground is also a bit of a worry, but he’s run pretty well on "soft" and would not need to run to his best to place second. True, he might get well beat, but @ 5/1 I think it’s worth the risk. Unless Midnight Game or Thousand Stars takes him on can see ROR getting an easy lead. Also, the Champion distance between The Fly and ROR may flatter the Irish horse. As Fehily arguably went too fast in the middle part of the race.
I agree, Thousand Stars looks value in the "betting without" market. Thinking about going in for that myself, as you’ve pointed it out Pants. I don’t see ground or trip as a negative, provided they go a pace the ground should bring stamina in to play. Came close to doing my bets the other way, with Thousand Stars as the main bet.
Good luck.
Value Is EverythingChanged my bet slightly in the end Ginge, Thousand Stars is 11/4 in a match with ROR so have played that instead, the more I looked at So Young the more I thought he might come into play, won over 16f on heavy recently beating Zaidpour easliy so getting his conditions and trip again today he could well run a good race.
Well done for the saver on Quevega, you must have been laughing when Solwhit got removed and you were sitting on 5/2!
Not really Ben, the 5/2 had a rule 4 and only a saver anyway so failed to make a profit on the race. Shame Solwhit wasn’t fit to run, as a race with the mare would’ve been some sight.
Yet to study the racing for tomorrow.
Value Is Everything3:50 Sandown
15 points @ 22/1 (Sky) Dovers Hill* (min 20/1)Argghhhh!
Saw 25/1 with B365 just before the Irish Champion Hurdle, thought I’d wait until after the race. By then the 25/1 had gone so I took 22/1 @ Skybet, but before I could put the bet up here the 22/1 had disappeared. So will call it 20/1 if Dovers Hill wins.Value Is Everything3:50 Sandown
15 points @ 20/1 (Sky) Dovers Hill* (min 20/1)(I’ve changed the Dovers Hill to 20/1)
25 points @ 9/1 (B365) Away We Go* (min 15/2)Value Is Everything3:50 Sandown
15 points @ 20/1 (Sky) Dovers Hill* (min 20/1)(I’ve changed the Dovers Hill to 20/1)
25 points @ 9/1 (B365) Away We Go* (min 15/2)6 points @ 40/1 (SJ) On Trend* (min 33/1)
Value Is Everything3:50 Sandown
15 points @ 20/1 (Sky) Dovers Hill* (min 20/1)(I’ve changed the Dovers Hill to 20/1)
25 points @ 9/1 (B365) Away We Go* (min 15/2)6 points @ 40/1 (SJ) On Trend* (min 33/1)
Saver:
6 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Same Difference (min 10/1)(£54 available)Value Is Everything3:50 Sandown
Already backed:
15 points @ 20/1 (Sky) Dovers Hill* (min 20/1)
25 points @ 9/1 (B365) Away We Go* (min 15/2)
6 points @ 40/1 (SJ) On Trend* (min 33/1)
6 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Same Difference (min 10/1)(£54 available)
Now:
4 points @ 21/1 Balthazaar King (min 20/1)(£44 available)Value Is Everything2:40 Sandown
21 points each way @ 8/1 (B365) Oiseau Du Nuit* (min 13/2)Value Is Everything
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.