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December 3, 2011 at 11:04 #380805
1:55 Sandown
15 points each way @ 16/1 (VC) Lidhar10 points @ 6/1 (C betting without the fav) Lidhar
Value Is EverythingDecember 3, 2011 at 11:13 #380809hello ginger i must say i have been looking at your selections for a while they are very impressive i was looking at your posting times and i just wonder when do you sleep
Hi Trying,
Time in bed varies, today was unusual getting up so early. Had an inkling Do It For Dalkey was Pricewise looking at the prices last night, with 4/1 accross the board and even less on betfair. So thought I was going to be able to get a bigger price if I got up early. Who was it going 5/1?!?! 4/1 was best that I could see!
Often don’t get up until 10 am if I am on here at 2, possibly 3 am!
Value Is EverythingDecember 3, 2011 at 11:18 #380811Tingle Creek Sandown
33 points @ 7/1 (T) Kauto Stone33 points @ 5/1 (PP) Wishful Thinking
Half a saver:
15 points @ 2/1 (Sporting) Sizing Europe
Value Is EverythingDecember 3, 2011 at 11:33 #3808163:20 Aintree
21 points @ 16/1 (VC) Fine Parchment20 points @ 8/1 (B365) Linnel
19 points @ 9/1 (VC) Buffalo Bob10 points @ 6/1 (SJ) Stewarts House
Value Is EverythingDecember 3, 2011 at 18:54 #380883Queen Mother Champion Chase
20 points @ 20/1 (WH) Ghizao20 points @ 7/1 (SJ) Big Zeb
Value Is EverythingDecember 3, 2011 at 18:55 #380884I been winning money on 1st scorer bets then the horses my 1st scorer tips on twitter
And well done with your recent winning tips as well i put my sunday tips in my thread as well.So you add your thoughts if you want.
December 3, 2011 at 20:55 #380907Queen Mother Champion Chase
20 points @ 20/1 (WH) Ghizao20 points @ 7/1 (SJ) Big Zeb
Wow, 7/1 Big Zeb is huge.
December 6, 2011 at 18:00 #381373I think so Pants, don’t know why Big Zeb should be as low as 4/1 with Laddies and Victor, yet 7’s at Stan’s. I hear he’s running at Christmas, so don’t think it’s anthing to do with injury.
Value Is EverythingDecember 7, 2011 at 12:17 #381478December Gold Cup
34 points @ 7/1 (b365) Quantitative EasingValue Is EverythingDecember 7, 2011 at 12:26 #381479December Gold Cup
34 points @ 7/1 (b365) Quantitative Easing26 points @ 16/1 (VC) Roudoudou Ville
Value Is EverythingDecember 7, 2011 at 14:06 #381487December Gold Cup
The two I like areQuantitative Easing
and
Roudoudou Ville.
Former ran very well in the Paddy Power to be second and I expect improvement. Despite coming from the biggest betting owner there is in JP, he was allowed to go off at 20/1. You can take from that he wasn’t thought fit enough. Goes well over this course, also placed behind
Divers
at the Festival before failing to stay in Irish National. Fairyhouse seemed to prove his owner-mate
Sunninghill Boy
(3rd) is better over further and probably doesn’t jump well enough to win at this trip anyway. Quantitative Easing’s old rival Divers is a danger and is 3 lbs better off for a 3 1/2 length beating last time. However, I believe the younger horse has the more improvement in him and 7/1 looks worth taking.
I’ve backedGreat Endeavour
the last twice and he isn’t one to ignore. Would probably have been at least second had he stayed the trip at Newbury. 9 lbs worse off with Quantitative Easing for his 7 length win in Paddy Power. Yet could still improve further back at his favourite course and distance. Trouble is he’s already had two hard races in the last month. I may well come back and have a saver on him.
I believeGhizao
has the ability to win a race of this quality off a mark of 154. After all, I’ve backed him for the Champion Chase. But very disappointing on reappearance. Despite being strongly fancied to win, didn’t jump or travel with his usual fluentcy. Fact he travells well at two miles and can take a pull, makes Ghizao a doubtful stayer in my book. Although on the whole a good jumper, can still hit one.
Irish challengerQuel Esprit
was an even worse jumper last year. Didn’t do anything wrong to win on reappearance, but seemed deliberately kept wide for a clear view of his fences in a small field. This will be a more severe test, but has undoubted potential for his very much in form trainer.
Haventgotascoobiedoo
is still a novice and improving fast. So can’t be ruled out despite being 3 lbs out of the handicap with
Woolcombe Folly
as top weight. Has some jumping question marks himself. Good second to Tanks For that at 2 miles on this course last time. Staying on, winner at this trip, should be at least equally effective at it.
Medermit
is a horse I can never get right. Backed him for the Arkle and disappointed. Didn’t at Exeter and scooted up. That didn’t take as much winning as it looked on paper with Captain Chris falling and Ghizao not firing. Seemed exposed in Amlin behind Master Minded.
Roudoudou Ville
is only six years old and improving at pace for a stable doing far better this year (although no winner in last couple of weeks, plenty of runners-up). Won at Sandown last time, fairly easily despite jumping left and Cheltenham should suit better. Hasn’t run at Cheltenham but winner at Chepstow, so an undulating course shouldn’t trouble him. Jumping is always a concern for an inexperienced chaser in a race like this, but 16/1 looks big enough to be worth finding out.
Value Is EverythingDecember 7, 2011 at 16:21 #381502King George VI
42 points @ 5/1 (VC) Master MindedI don’t think Kauto will run.
Value Is EverythingDecember 7, 2011 at 18:02 #3815212:00 Huntingdon
54 points @ 15/8 (vc)SomersbyValue Is EverythingDecember 8, 2011 at 16:03 #3816391:45 Cheltenham
37 points @ 7/2 (PP) Fair AlongValue Is EverythingDecember 8, 2011 at 16:30 #3816471:45 Cheltenham
37 points @ 7/2 (PP) Fair Along23 points @ 15/2 (WH) Knockara Beau
Value Is EverythingDecember 8, 2011 at 17:00 #3816491:45 Cheltenham
37 points @ 7/2 (PP) Fair Along23 points @ 15/2 (WH) Knockara Beau
Wanted to be against Mon Parrain after his dismal Paddy Power effort. Must have been something more than needing further. I don’t think he’s certain to be as good at 3m1f anyway. "Improved" in form terms at Aintree, but not with attitude (finding nowt). Although any market move tomorrow may be significant, there must be a question over temperament now.
Something that is also the case with
Fair Along
. Can sulk if unable to lead / have a view of the front. But that does not stop him running on again, like he did at Newbury. Didn’t jump well there either. Thought I was going to oppose him as well, but this will be far less competitive and may well be able to lead if Knockara Beau does not go on. Flint knows the horse well. Fair Along has an action that is at home on a sound surface and ran well here before.
Knockara Beau
probably needed first race of the season when the stable was in a poor patch (now much better). Knockara Beau himself ran an even worse race first time last season before running well in this race. Stays well and although hasn’t won here, often runs to his best. One unknown is the ground if on the firm side, but acts well on good.
Shakalakaboomboom is the one on the up and could win if continuing that progression. However, has never put up a good run here. Ran at Cheltenham and Aintree before improving at Punchestown last time out in May. Something like the Racing Post Chase might suit him better.
Mostly Bob would stand a chance if coming back to his best, but has had three poor efforts since that form. Possibly better on a flat track.
Swincombe Rock didn’t run well enough in the Paddy Power for me to be interested in him. Although should be better off back at this trip. Stable not in such good form now.
Value Is EverythingDecember 8, 2011 at 18:02 #3816572:55 Cheltenham
32 points @ 4/1 (L) Di Kaprio
24 points @ 11/2 (C) Garton KingValue Is Everything -
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