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Gingers Jumpers

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  • February 7, 2013 at 20:32 #428784
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    Now it’s nrnb…

    Betfair Hurdle
    23 points @ 14/1 (FD) Claret Cloak* (min 11/1)
    23 points @ 14/1 (FD) Court Minstrel* (min 11/1

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 14:38 #428833
    MoleHorse
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    Do you ever factor in the 1 in 8 horses fall percentage into your calculations? If not, why not?

    February 8, 2013 at 17:56 #428845
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    Do you ever factor in the 1 in 8 horses fall percentage into your calculations? If not, why not?

    No I don’t factor in that particular statistic MH, because all horses are not equally proficient in their jumping. I consider whether every horse is good, bad or indifferent jumper and factor it in. It’s even more important over fences, particularly if the obstacles are stiff or difficult). Luckily Timeform is very good in identifying poor jumpers and back very few fallers.

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    February 8, 2013 at 17:59 #428846
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    Now it’s nrnb…

    Betfair Hurdle
    23 points @ 14/1 (FD) Claret Cloak* (min 11/1)
    23 points @ 14/1 (FD) Court Minstrel* (min 11/1

    Saver:

    3 points @ 27/1 (betfair) Dark Lover (min 20/1) (£45 available)

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 18:28 #428856
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    Ginge does it worry you that Claret and Court have both drifted out slightly? Seems like a really competitive renewal.

    February 8, 2013 at 19:37 #428866
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    Now it’s nrnb…

    Betfair Hurdle
    23 points @ 14/1 (FD) Claret Cloak* (min 11/1)
    23 points @ 14/1 (FD) Court Minstrel* (min 11/1

    27 points @ 12/1 (L) Swing Bowler* (min 17/2)

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 19:54 #428869
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    Ginge does it worry you that Claret and Court have both drifted out slightly? Seems like a really competitive renewal.

    Drift is probably because punters can see there’s a rain band due to go across Newbury after mid-day Ben. If significant it’ll be against the chances of both CC and CM. Both may well be non-runners if it’s soft anyway, so shouldn’t hurt too much. No such problem with Swing Bowler.

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 20:00 #428870
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    That makes sense, lets hope it misses or blows over as I’d rather the ground wasn’t soft as well.

    February 8, 2013 at 21:11 #428879
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    3:00 Newbury
    33 points @ 6/1 (SJ) Edgardo Sol (min 11/2)

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    February 8, 2013 at 21:12 #428880
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    3:00 Newbury
    33 points @ 6/1 (SJ) Edgardo Sol (min 11/2)

    Have to call it 11/2 as the price has already gone.

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 21:16 #428884
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    3:00 Newbury
    33 points @ 11/2 (SJ) Edgardo Sol* (min 11/2)

    22 points @ 12/1 (Sky) Tanks For That* (min 9/1)

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 21:41 #428888
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    2:25 Newbury
    25 points @ 7/1 (B365) The Giant Bolster* (min 13/2)
    22 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Mail De Bievre* (min 9/1) (£26 available)

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 22:24 #428894
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    4:10 Newbury
    31 points each way @ 7/2 (B365) Hadrian’s Approach (min 100/30)

    1/4 First 2

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    February 8, 2013 at 23:12 #428901
    MoleHorse
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    Hi Ginge,

    Any thoughts on the Betfair Hurdle? you’ve been in cracking form of late.

    Thanks

    February 8, 2013 at 23:46 #428902
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    1:50 Newbury
    30 points @ 9/1 (B365) Captain Sunshine* (min 7/1)
    10 points @ 20/1 (b365) Fred The Shred* (min 18/1)

    Value Is Everything
    February 8, 2013 at 23:56 #428905
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    1:50 Newbury
    30 points @ 9/1 (B365) Captain Sunshine* (min 7/1)
    10 points @ 20/1 (b365) Fred The Shred* (min 18/1)

    30 points @ 7/1 (WH) Master Of The Sea* (min 13/2)
    Saver:
    8 points @ 10/1 (Boyle) Barafundle

    Value Is Everything
    February 9, 2013 at 00:57 #428915
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    2:25 Newbury
    25 points @ 7/1 (B365) The Giant Bolster* (min 13/2)
    22 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Mail De Bievre* (min 9/1) (£26 available)

    7 points @ 39/1 (betfair) Junior* (min 28/1) (£7 available)

    Value Is Everything
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