Gingers Jumpers

[Gingertipster]

Neptune Hurdle
23 points @ 14/1 (C) Lieutenant Colonel* (min 12/1)

30 points @ 6.6/1 (betfair) Rathvinden* (min 6/1)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Neptune Hurdle
23 points @ 14/1 (C) Lieutenant Colonel* (min 12/1)

30 points @ 6.6/1 (betfair) Rathvinden* (min 6/1)

Saver:
15 points @ 9/2 (PP) Red Sherlock (min 9/2)
Half Saver:
14 points @ 9/4 (B365) Faugheen (min 9/4)

Value Is Everything

[thehorsesmouth]

Hi Ginger, do you mind me asking why Carlingford Lough is such a big price in your book? I have him down as a leading player myself.

[samj89]

Good luck today ginge no bets for me restraining for the flat. Off for a full days work now

[Gingertipster]

RSA Chase Cheltenham
41 points @ 7/1 (NRNB PP) Smad Place*
28 points @ 16/1 (NRNB PP) Le Bec*

Another:
10 points @ 16/1 (PP) Le Bec* (min 10/1)

saver:
12 points @ 7/1 (L) Ballycasey (min 7/1)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

RSA Chase Cheltenham
41 points @ 7/1 (NRNB PP) Smad Place*
28 points @ 16/1 (NRNB PP) Le Bec*

Another:
10 points @ 16/1 (PP) Le Bec* (min 10/1)

saver:
12 points @ 7/1 (L) Ballycasey (min 7/1)

I put Ballycasey up elsewhere earlier in the week as a possible lay bet, but that was @ 5/1. 7/1 now worth backing.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2014 Champion Chase

18 points @ 16/1 (VC Non-runner free bet) Cue Card*

74 points @ 9/4 (NRNB FD) Sire De Grugy*

5 points @ 20/1 (betfair) Somersby (min 16/1)(£55 available)
4 points @ 29/1 (betfair) Wishful Thinking (min 16/1)(£191 available)

I have 54 points of NRFB with Victor Chandler so will use some of it here:
Another:
25 points @ 100/30 (VC) Sire De Grugy* (min 85/40)
7 points @ 25/1 (VC) Wishful Thinking* (min 20/1)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Already Backed:
RSA Chase Cheltenham
41 points @ 7/1 (NRNB PP) Smad Place*
28 points @ 16/1 (NRNB PP) Le Bec*
10 points @ 16/1 (PP) Le Bec* (min 10/1)
saver:
12 points @ 7/1 (L) Ballycasey (min 7/1)

Now:
Also from NRFB…
Another:
8 points @ 7/1 (VC) Smad Place* (min 6/1)
8 points @ 33/1 (VC) Geverey Chambertin* (min 33/1)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Neptune Hurdle
23 points @ 14/1 (C) Lieutenant Colonel* (min 12/1)

30 points @ 6.6/1 (betfair) Rathvinden* (min 6/1)

Saver:
15 points @ 9/2 (PP) Red Sherlock (min 9/2)
Half Saver:
14 points @ 9/4 (B365) Faugheen (min 9/4)

And also from those NRFB’s
6 points @ 12/1 (VC) Lieutenant Colonel* (min 10/1)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Good luck today ginge no bets for me restraining for the flat. Off for a full days work now

Part of making a profit is knowing wht you’re good at Sam, just enjoy the racing.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Hi Ginger, do you mind me asking why Carlingford Lough is such a big price in your book? I have him down as a leading player myself.

I could easily be wrong THM but…
Carlingford Lough is very experienced, may be too experienced. Form probably as good as the four I have just in front of him in my book; but seems less likely to improve than those. Feel bookies priced him up on the usual unexposed sorts of JP (can’t really blame them for being cagey) but Carlingford Lough doesn’t really fit in to that scenario for me. May be they think Shutthefrontdoor going for the Terry Biddlecombe is a good sign for this one. Major reason though is trainer form. Only one winner since mid-september although that was Carlingford Lough.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:40 Cheltenham
27 points @ 20/1 (B365) Meister Eckhart* (min 14/1)
30 points @ 14/1 (B365) Vendor* (min 12/1)
21 points @ 37/1 (betfair) Samategal (min 22/1)(£85 available)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:40 Cheltenham
27 points @ 20/1 (B365) Meister Eckhart* (min 14/1)
30 points @ 14/1 (B365) Vendor* (min 12/1)
21 points @ 37/1 (betfair) Samategal (min 22/1)(£85 available)

18 points @ 28/1 (VC) Ifandbutwhynot* (min 22/1)

Value Is Everything

[thehorsesmouth]

Hi Ginger, do you mind me asking why Carlingford Lough is such a big price in your book? I have him down as a leading player myself.

I could easily be wrong THM but…
Carlingford Lough is very experienced, may be too experienced. Form probably as good as the four I have just in front of him in my book; but seems less likely to improve than those. Feel bookies priced him up on the usual unexposed sorts of JP (can’t really blame them for being cagey) but Carlingford Lough doesn’t really fit in to that scenario for me. May be they think Shutthefrontdoor going for the Terry Biddlecombe is a good sign for this one. Major reason though is trainer form. Only one winner since mid-september although that was Carlingford Lough.

Thanks gor the reply GT, not long to find out now anyway

[Gingertipster]

I do not understand the betting on the Champion Chase at all.

My 100% book:

Sire De Grugy 34% 15/8

Captain Conan 16.5% 5/1
Avrika Ligionaire 8% 12/1

Somersby 7.75% 12/1

Sizing Europe 6.75% 14/1

Wishful Thinking 6.75% 14/1

Hinterland 5% 20/1
Bailey Green 4.75% 20/1
Kid Kassidy 4.5% 22/1
Module 3.25% 28/1
Special Tiara 2.75% 33/1

Three horses massively over-priced in my opinion. Sire De Grugy @ 3/1 (a full 9% better!), Somersby @ 20/1 and Wishful Thinking 29/1. Unusual for outsiders to be that different to my prices! Be amazed if any of those odds last.

Well the prices lasted longer than expected. You don’t get value like that very often.
Touched 7/2!
12% better than my price!

One that finally went right.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2014 Stayers Hurdle

36 points @ 10/1 (B365) More Of That*
saver:
25 points @ 3/1 (NRNB L) Annie Power

8 points @ 47/1 (Betfair) Celestial Halo* (min 33/1)(£79 available)

My 100% Book for the World Hurdle:
31% Annie Power 9/4

22.5% Big Buck’s 7/2

13% More Of That 13/2

9.5% At Fishers Cross 10/1
5.75% Zarkandar 16/1

5% Celestial Halo 20/1

4.75% Rule Of Law 20/1

4.25% Salubrious 22/1

2.5% Reve De Sivola 40/1

1.25% Medinas 80/1
0.5% Mala Beach 200/1

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Suspect I’ll get much better value for my Ryanair bets in the morning so will leave them till then.

Value Is Everything

[Author]

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