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February 21, 2014 at 20:06 #468678
Ryanair Chase Cheltenham
90 points @ 4/1 (NRNB BOG B365) Cue Card* (min 11/4)What makes you think he’ll run in this Ginge?
And loving the bigger stake!I don’t think he’ll run in it Ben. Point is if he doesn’t run I get my money back (effectively cancelling the bet). And he if does there is no way he’ll be 4/1.
The stake is what it is purely because of being imo such a good value bet! Only around three times a year (if that) do I find a bet this good!
I believe Cue Card has at least a 30% chance of winning the Ryanair, fair odds of around 9/4. Odds available are 4/1 (fair 20%). With my staking plan it is…
My opinion of chance – minus odds available, X times 6, + plus my opinion…
Therefore:
30 – 20 = 10
10 X 6 = 60
60 + 30 = 90
So 90 points staked @ 4/1.It was only fairly recently I changed from X 5 to X 6, though do sometimes go back if not overly confident.
Value Is EverythingFebruary 21, 2014 at 20:12 #4686793:15 Kempton
92 points @ 11/10 (B365) Irving* (min 20/21)Value Is EverythingFebruary 21, 2014 at 20:23 #468681yes they seem to have missed some fundamental things like navigating between past races and how the form of a race has worked out!
And they say they hope to have this sorted by Cheltenham surely they shouldn’t have gone live with the new site until this was in place?
Agree Baynet, although they’ve been on about changing the site for ages, so possibly hadn’t planned the launch date to be so close to Cheltenham.
Looking at it, possibly once I am used to (and with one or two tweeks) it could be better than the old one… However, I see they’ve got a trainers in form symbol now. I do my own calculations on that score and this might just b.gg.r up my "edge" if more punters get interested in that stat!
Value Is EverythingFebruary 21, 2014 at 20:56 #4686882:40 Kempton
62 points @ 7/4 (L) Fox Appeal* (min 7/4)Value Is EverythingFebruary 21, 2014 at 21:18 #4686942:40 Kempton
62 points @ 7/4 (L) Fox Appeal* (min 7/4)26 points @ 14/1 (FD) God’s Own* (min 12/1)
Value Is EverythingFebruary 21, 2014 at 22:26 #4687053:50 Kempton
36 points @ 10/1 (VC) Standing Ovation* (min 15/2)Value Is EverythingFebruary 21, 2014 at 22:28 #4687063:50 Kempton
36 points @ 10/1 (VC) Standing Ovation* (min 15/2)ARRRRRGGHHHH! 10/1 gone at both VC and betfair before could put the bet up, so will call it 9/1 if successful.
Value Is EverythingFebruary 21, 2014 at 23:19 #4687163:50 Kempton
36 points @ 9/1 (L) Standing Ovation* (min 15/2)23 points @ 14/1 (WH) Niceonefrankie* (min 12/1)
20 points @ 17.5/1 (betfair) Midnight Appeal* (min 15/1)
As it is Pricewise and won’t be able to get much of it, will only put TDC up as a Saver (tomorrow):
9 points @ 9/1 (WH) Tour Des Champs (min 15/2)Value Is EverythingFebruary 22, 2014 at 02:39 #4687362:55 Newcastle
26 points @ 17/2 (VC) Sun Cloud* (min 15/2)
21 points @ 14/1 (VC) Financial Climate* (min 11/1)Will choose from the following four who to make main bets nearer the off:
6 points @ 24/1 (betfair) Junior* (min 20/1) (£6 available)
9 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Relax* (min 10/1)(£9 available)
8 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Safran De Cotte (min 11/1)(£1527 available)
7 points @ 12/1 (VC) Royale Knight (min 12/1)Value Is EverythingFebruary 22, 2014 at 02:41 #468737That’s it for tonight.
Value Is EverythingFebruary 22, 2014 at 11:19 #4687842:55 Newcastle
26 points @ 17/2 (VC) Sun Cloud* (min 15/2)
21 points @ 14/1 (VC) Financial Climate* (min 11/1)Will choose from the following four who to make main bets nearer the off:
6 points @ 24/1 (betfair) Junior* (min 20/1) (£6 available)
9 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Relax* (min 10/1)(£9 available)
8 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Safran De Cotte (min 11/1)(£1527 available)
7 points @ 12/1 (VC) Royale Knight (min 12/1)Another:
11 points @ 10/1 (B365) Relax* (min 10/1)
3 points @ 20/1 (B365) Junior* (min 20/1)Value Is EverythingFebruary 23, 2014 at 15:43 #4689222014 Champion Hurdle
20 points @ 14/1 (WH) The New One* (min 10/1)
25 points @ 8/1 (L) My Tent Or Yours* (min 6/1)
20 points @ 10/1 (C) Our Connor* (min 7/1)saver:
10 points @ 7/1 (NRNB BOG B365) (min 6/1)Value Is EverythingFebruary 23, 2014 at 22:24 #468965???
Perhaps you could write the name of the horse down ginge……
Blackbeard to conquer the World
February 23, 2014 at 23:47 #4689762014 Champion Hurdle
20 points @ 14/1 (WH) The New One* (min 10/1)
25 points @ 8/1 (L) My Tent Or Yours* (min 6/1)
20 points @ 10/1 (C) Our Connor* (min 7/1)saver:
10 points @ 7/1 (NRNB BOG B365) Annie Power (min 6/1)Fixed Nathan.
It’s little Annie!
Value Is EverythingFebruary 24, 2014 at 13:19 #469009Ryanair Chase Cheltenham
90 points @ 4/1 (NRNB BOG B365) Cue Card* (min 11/4)15 points @ 7/1 (NRNB BOG B365) Dynaste (min 6/1)
Another:
29 points @ 7/1 (NRNB BOG B365) Dynaste* (min 6/1)Chances of both CC and D turning up in this race is unlikely.
Value Is EverythingFebruary 24, 2014 at 14:11 #4690202014 Champion Chase
36 points @ 5/1 (VC Non-runner free bet) Simonsig* (min 4/1 must be with VC)(£50 available)
18 points @ 16/1 (VC Non-runner free bet) Cue Card* (min 14/1 must be with VC)(£50 available)74 points @ 9/4 (NRNB FD) Sire De Grugy* (min 2/1)
Value Is EverythingFebruary 24, 2014 at 14:13 #4690222014 Champion Chase
36 points @ 5/1 (VC Non-runner free bet) Simonsig* (min 4/1 must be with VC)(£50 available)
18 points @ 16/1 (VC Non-runner free bet) Cue Card* (min 14/1 must be with VC)(£50 available)74 points @ 9/4 (NRNB FD) Sire De Grugy* (min 2/1)
9/4 gone now with FD but still available with VC.
Value Is Everything -
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