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3:20 Salisbury
27 points each way @ 8/1 (FD) High Drama* (min 7/1)Value Is EverythingWith Ximbama winning today only a small 64 points loss, at least for the thread. Corals wouldn’t allow me any of their 9/2; "Traders say SP only Sir". So thought I’d get better at the course. By the time I got there it was too short, NO BET. So a bigger loss for me personally.
Value Is EverythingQueen Anne:
41 points @ 4/1 (C) Verrazano* (min 7/2)Another
25 points @ 4/1 (PP) Verrazano* (min 100/30)
30 points @ 14/1 (Sky) Tullius* (min 12/1)Value Is EverythingMy win only Queen Anne 100% book for good, good-firm in places:
Toronado 11/8
Verrazano 11/4
Tullius 9/1
Soft Falling Rain 10/1
Anodin 15/1
Side Glance 33/1
Mull Of Killough 80/1
Producer 200/1
Ansgar 300/1
Glory Awaits 500/1Verrazan 4/1 and Tullius 14/1 best bets
Value Is EverythingKing’s Stand Stakes Royal Ascot
37 points @ 14/1 (888) Hot Streak* (min 9/1)31 points @ 12/1 (Sportingbet) Guerre* (min 9/1)
Value Is EverythingI got a bit of a bum steer from ATR regarding Guerre. They showed him as being entered in the Diamond Jubilee but not the Kings Stand. I know I should have checked, as I did later and found he was in both races but this is not the first time their information has been inconsistent. You can often look at the horse’s entries and see nothing but find that under the trainer’s entries they are listed for races just a few days away. Seems a bit half-assed to me and he was 25/1 when I was looking at him for the Kings Stand
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
4:25 Royal Ascot
20 points esch way @ 10/1 (L) Toormore* (min 17/2)Value Is Everything4:25 Royal Ascot
20 points esch way @ 10/1 (L) Toormore* (min 17/2)saver:
6 points @ 15/2 (SJ) War Command (min 15/2)Value Is EverythingI got a bit of a bum steer from ATR regarding Guerre. They showed him as being entered in the Diamond Jubilee but not the Kings Stand. I know I should have checked, as I did later and found he was in both races but this is not the first time their information has been inconsistent. You can often look at the horse’s entries and see nothing but find that under the trainer’s entries they are listed for races just a few days away. Seems a bit half-assed to me and he was 25/1 when I was looking at him for the Kings Stand
That’s very unfortunate Steve. I’ve had the same at Cheltenham more than once. Took a big price about Simonsig winning the Supreme! Only for him to run away with the Neptune. Part of ante-post betting is taking a chance on the target. When there are two equally possible targets there’s going to be bigger prices than if only one definite target. 25/1 still would’ve been a great price. Thankfully, Hot Streak goes for this. Doubley entered when I took the 14/1, with owner companion Pearl Secret (at that time) shorter in the market.
Must admit I have never trusted ATR with that sort of thing. Often quoting prices without pointing out they’re unlikely runners.
Value Is EverythingAll the best for this festival mark
Thanks Sam, really looking forward to it. Let’s hit those bookies where it hurts.
Value Is EverythingThe Guineas was a truly run mile, where Doyle used his turn of foot too early. Fallon let them get on with it before pouncing late, staying on to win going away.
On the face of it
Night Of Thunder
might appear better value than
Kingman
. However, today’s race is likely to be less of a test of stamina. Prince Of All might go on, but he won over 7f last time out. Has (in his grade) plenty of speed. Night Of Thunder’s stable companion Toormore is (or shouldn’t be) a "pacemaker". It is in both Ryan Moore’s and Chris Hayes’ interests not to make it a test of stamina. Therefore, likely to produce the type of race less favourable to Night Of Thunder’s chance than the speedy Kingman. Although the respective odds probably allow for that eventuality and neither strike me as "value" at this stage; despite imo Kingman’s going preferences massively over-stated by press.
Toormore
could get the run of the race and imo has a better chance than 10/1 suggests. Possible he bounced after the Craven. Am skeptical connections gave the Dewhurst a miss purely for the sake of it. Irish race might have taken more out of him, hence not running in the Dewhurst. Only two weeks between Craven and Guineas, practically two months plus between other races.
War Command
isn’t out of it either, if the ground (as I suspect) is genuinely firmer than the official, like last year. But he’s (previously been) a hold up horse too. Produced his most authoritative performance in a truly run race here last year. Although if connections truly believed him in top form would they use cheek pieces today? I’m regretting a saver on him yesterday. Easy to back so far today which suggests ("the boys" like a bet) not going tio be good enough. Pushed him out.
Outstrip
ran so badly in the Guineas it is difficult to see him get back to form, and needs to better that form.
Yuften
won his maiden so easily, could be anything, but needs to find an enormous amount in one go to win this.
Prince Of All
won a fair listed race, making all. Related to a St James’s winner in Zafeen, but unlikely to be good enough unless rivals give him a very soft lead.
My 100% book:
Kingman 11/10
Night Of Thunder 11/4Toormore 13/2
War Command 10/1
Outstrip 50/1
Yuften 50/1
Prince Of All 200/1Value Is EverythingKing’s Stand Stakes Royal Ascot
37 points @ 14/1 (888) Hot Streak* (min 9/1)31 points @ 12/1 (Sportingbet) Guerre* (min 9/1)
10 points @ 31/1 (betfair) Rex Imperator* (min 25/1)(£810 available)
Value Is EverythingPrince Of Wales Stakes:
106 points @ 10/11 (SJ) Treve* (min 4/5)8 points @ 14/1 (PP) Dank (min 12/1)
Value Is EverythingMy 100% book for good-firm going:
Treve 8/13
The Fugue 8/1
Dank 10/1
Mukkhadram 10/1
Magician 12/1
Parish Hall 200/1
Elkaayed 400/1
Zambucca 400/1If I was betting now it would be Dank as the main bet with a saver on Treve.
Value Is Everything4:25 Royal Ascot
saver first:
25 points @ 3/1 (L) Integral (min 3/1)Value Is Everything
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