Frenchys Group Race Winners

[Frenchy15]

Thought I’d throw up all my tips this year to keep track of how trend and stat based betting works out. I gamble selectively on predominantly Group 1 flats as that’s where the trends work best but I’ll also do some other Group races if I think the trends are good enough throughout the season.

The biggest push back I always get on trends is that they regularly get broken so it’s important to point out, that I never use them in isolation. I’m obsessed about flat racing so I use my eyes and ears and years of following it together with the trends to give the most rounded considered bet I can make it.

[Frenchy15]

Some antepost bets I need to put up, a couple of these the prices have gone, but I’ll put the price up against the price I took at the time. Antepost betting is actually just a small percentage of my win amount the last few seasons, most of my bets will be from after the 5 day decs.

2000 Guineas
Isle of Sark 0.5pt win 66/1
Wembley 1pt win 12/1
Battleground 0.25pt 8/1

1000 Guineas
Joan of Arc 0.25pt win 33/1
Fev Rover 0.25pt win 33/1
Shale 1pt win 16/1

Derby
Cleveland 0.25pt win 50/1
Loug Derg 0.25pt win 50/1
Wembley 0.25pt win 33/1 (I’d cash this out if I could)
Sea the Shells 0.25pt win 50/1
Brazil 0.25pt win 116/1

Commonwealth Cup
Alkumait 0.5pt win 20/1

Kings Stand
Ubettabelieveit 0.25pt EW 25/1
Equilateral 0.25pt EW 25/1

[Frenchy15]

Kings Stand (added)
Ubettabelieveit 0.5pt EW 25/1
Equilateral 0.5pt EW 16/1

Topping up some antepost here whilst it’s still available as Wesley ward has confirmed that Golden Pal will miss Ascot and there’s a rumour today that Battaash is going to be retired

[Frenchy15]

Also cashed out Isle of Sark for the Guineas after he was declared for the Ballysax surprisingly today.

Added

The Derby
Bolshoi Ballet 0.25pt 28/1

[Frenchy15]

Cashed out on Loug Derg and Joan of Arc bets, wasn’t that impressed with either run yesterday.

[Frenchy15]

Lockinge
Lope y Fernandez 5/1 1pt win

Queen Anne
Lope y Fernandez 8/1 1pt win

[Frenchy15]

2000 Guineas
Master of the Seas 0.5pt 12/1

Was nearly my tip for the Guineas, so I can’t leave him unbacked after that Craven win

[Frenchy15]

Finally decided to cash out the Battleground small saver bet. Doesn’t appear as though he will run

Disappointing about Shale, but I think Fev Rover has an EW chance in this field, so I’ve added some more.

1000 Guineas
Fev Rover 0.5pt EW 20/1

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