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Anonymous.
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- March 11, 2009 at 00:53 #10526
Did any of you weights and measures guys see the split screen of the novice and champ hurdle.Must be horrible that your likes work has been shot out of the water .I did a split screen with a derby winner and a handicapper made interesting viewing.Does anybody out there still think that weight is the key?
paceform.org
March 11, 2009 at 01:23 #215093Er, come again?
March 11, 2009 at 01:33 #215098I’m trying to say that pace is everything and weight means very little. These 1/2 tonne animals can carry weight and dose it affect them?.Not much Imo.And the split screen today showed how the pace affects the race.When i say fooled by the randomness i mean that when a weights and measures guy gets a winner he thinks he on to something but really its random luck and the fact that some trainers will try harder when their horse seems to be well in(at the weights).I hope that makes sense.I’m not much of a writer…..
paceform.org
March 11, 2009 at 01:43 #215101Not much of a sage either……….
IMHO of course.
March 11, 2009 at 01:45 #215105I think you will find that many "weights and measures guys" are well aware of the effect of pace.
Precisely who is being fooled by what here?
March 11, 2009 at 01:47 #215106lol.Im a winner so i must be very lucky.I would bet you are not like most people.By the way i had to look sage up.
paceform.org
March 11, 2009 at 01:53 #215108You’re right, I’m not like most people.
Most people don’t look for the following week’s results in bugs they’ve placed in Kempton Park lifts.
March 11, 2009 at 01:55 #215112I think you will find that many "weights and measures guys" are well aware of the effect of pace.
Precisely who is being fooled by what here?
I have found many weights and messures guys also have no idea.They go by the handicap full stop.
March 11, 2009 at 02:04 #215114You should not necessarily judge everyone by the company you yourself choose to keep.
March 11, 2009 at 02:12 #215117I notice you use the 80-20 rule when placing bets. Do you not think it’s this, rather than your pace analysis, that’s producing the goods?
In any case, do you not realise that this method has been patented?
March 11, 2009 at 02:28 #215120I liked the thread title, very good book
March 11, 2009 at 02:31 #215123I am trying to take account of pace, but I find it difficult. I’ve come across races described as set off at a fast pace, but because none of the horses were off the bridle, it didn’t seem so to me at the time.
Of course, we don’t have sectional timimg in this country, so anyone prepared to put in the time infront of the video with a stopwatch, or whatever, is going to gain an edge against the crowd.
What I do try to take account of is how many frontrunners there are in a race. A half-dozen runner affair with a single frontrunner, ridden by someone like Dettori at a course like Goodwood is just about the perfect betting medium.
March 11, 2009 at 03:11 #215143I notice you use the 80-20 rule when placing bets. Do you not think it’s this, rather than your pace analysis, that’s producing the goods?
In any case, do you not realise that this method has been patented?
I use the method i didnt steel it.And its the pace that produces the results.I only ever look at the pace.And from that i look for suited horses.
March 11, 2009 at 03:13 #215144You should not necessarily judge everyone by the company you yourself choose to keep.
I find you pompus at best.These guys I talk about I work with.I can’t choose my work mates can I?I work for an internet betting company so you can imagine that many like to gamble.
March 11, 2009 at 03:14 #215146I liked the thread title, very good book
Great book and best way to explain.
March 11, 2009 at 03:24 #215155I am trying to take account of pace, but I find it difficult. I’ve come across races described as set off at a fast pace, but because none of the horses were off the bridle, it didn’t seem so to me at the time.
Of course, we don’t have sectional timimg in this country, so anyone prepared to put in the time infront of the video with a stopwatch, or whatever, is going to gain an edge against the crowd.
What I do try to take account of is how many frontrunners there are in a race. A half-dozen runner affair with a single frontrunner, ridden by someone like Dettori at a course like Goodwood is just about the perfect betting medium.
Hi Gerald,
The more front runners normally means a faster pace..That also normally means the front runners will not be winning in that kind of race.Its very hard for a horse to stay up there when being taken on esp when they have moved quickley from a stand still.Look at the champion hurdle today.Osana went way to fast.You cant blame the jockey but he went way to fast.If he went a little slower the runner up would probably of won.Horses seem to use more energy from the front esp if they battle with other horses for the lead.March 11, 2009 at 03:56 #215164You can’t JUST go by the pace – surely you have to take into account the kind of track being run on previously and this time. Some will be more suited to frontrunners or holdup horses than others.
Some tracks will be more conducive to an even pace being set, while others may have features that prompt a sprint for home etc.When it comes to frontrunners, or horses that are in the lead in the last couple of furlongs, I, I suppose like everyone else, love horses that can fight off more than one challenge. Haven’t particularly noticed any since I started betting again, and suppose I won’t until Saturday 28th March…
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