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Well done Steve, I took 2/1 about Kevin De Bruyne Horse when you flagged him up
Hannon was keen about him before he got stuffed on debut, I didn’t see his second race so your assessment of it swayed me to have a small bet, cheers.Damn and double damn. Having written that runner up Card Sharp was a 5F horse, I promptly missed that he was out yesterday at Beverley over that trip. He dotted up at 6/4 Fav. Balls and Banquets
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Yeah I know what you mean Steve
I had both Cardsharp and Bateel in bob’s comp, I really fancied Bateel but as far as betting is concerned I seem to have gone a bit stiff after collecting a good wad at the end of the football season I seem determined not to give any back, I would of backed a load of losers too mind so it evens itself out but it’s the ones that win that frustrate.Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
A bit puzzled by Time To Exceed today. Stepping up in trip it was counter-intuitive to make the running. It seemed a numb nuts call.
I didn’t see the race but one report said she seemed to lose her action late on. Whatever the thinking was, she just never ran her race today.
Very disappointed by the tactics there. Surely you hold a horse up when trying further?
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I am not a big fan of Brighton but there is a runner there tomorrow who I have been waiting to see again.
Marcus Tregoning has had it pretty quiet of late, with his heyday looking to be well behind him. The stable is in good form at the moment though, with three winners from eight runners this past fortnight.
Mornington has won both his races this year and he won well at Bath last time. He has already won at Brighton and that is a bonus. This looks well within his compass and he could be a bit better than the opposition here. He has won for today’s 7 lb claimer the past two runs, so I see no concern there.
I think he was value for a good bit more last time and he can clearly act on fast ground.
I reckon 2/1 is fair, as I would have him 6/4 myself.
3.45 Brighton Monday Mornington 2/1Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
The money did come for Mornington, into 11/8 from 2/1. Tom Queally kicked from the front and pinched 3 lengths on the field but Mornington did close the gap. He didn’t quite seem to get home though and was caught for second place. He just seemed to get tired after looking like he would catch the front runner initially.
Anyway I like the look of one for today at Haydock.
The 3.00 Haydock sees some promising sorts. I have seen Fire Brigade tipped and he will like any rain going. He holds solid credentials but I have a feeling that Hugin, from the David Simcock stable may just be a bit better class to these.
The Henry The Navigator gelding used to be with David Wachman and he made his start in a Dundalk maiden won by Peace Envoy last spring. Stepped up to 7F at Newcastle he travelled well before taking his race in good style on his debut for the new stable and earned a mark of 84, making him top-weight here.
This will be his first start on turf but I don’t anticipate any problems on good to soft ground here. He may even improve for it. He seems a horse with plenty more to give yet and Jamie Spencer rides him again here at this slightly longer trip just shy of a mile. He may just be smart and capable of outclassing this field.
I like the look of him and 9/2 is a fair price in my opinion. I would expect him to track them and come through, as he quickened quite nicely last time and Spencer will no doubt try to employ the same tactics.
3.00 Haydock Wednesday Hugin 9/2 (BOG)
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Typical Jamie Spencer ride. Stone last with less than two furlongs to go, Hugin finished really well but was never going to catch the two in front. Hugin finished third but Spencer should have been asking him much earlier than he did. The horse can clearly quicken but he came in here rated 84, so he’s not a Ribchester. A pretty poor ride I thought. You can hold a horse up without having to be last and well off the pace.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I had a small bet on Senga the other day. I read that the trainer said he was pushing her up to 10F next time and when I saw she was 20/1 for the Prix Diane I had to have a bet.
After all that has been said about Senga, I would feel like a prize plonker if she popped up unbacked.
Other than Shutter Speed and perhaps Rhododendron should she show, there isn’t a lot of strength in that field and I feel Senga could place. I just went win only though, having bet Shutter Speed at 2/1 earlier.
Prix Diane Senga 20/1 Potential face saver
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Just catching up with a couple of yesterday’s bets.
Over on the Royal AScot Nap, Lay Each-way thread I made my case for opposing Mori and for backing Alluringly in the Ribblesdale. The main reason being that Mori is only rated 91 and won a weak Listed race last time. Despite being thumped in the Oaks, Alluringly still has the strongest looking form here, with a Guineas runner up and a top drawer filly in Enable being in front of her. There is nothing of that Quality in the Ribblesdale and as I said last night, Alluringly looked an each-way lock at 5/1. I am a rare each-way punter though, preferring to back two at full odds if I need some cover. Money has come for Alluringly this morning.
In the Scottish Sprint I backed Kiberella. He has a poor effort last time to forgive but he is only 1 lb higher than his highest winning mark and made a good start for Richard Fahey. Out of his depth behind Marsha he could bounce back here from a good draw beside some of the fancied ones. I took 10/1 but 11/1 is available now.
Ribblesdale Alluringly 5/1
Scottish Sprint Kimberella 10/1Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
The Scurry Stakes is for real speed merchants and I feel Copper Knight more than fits the bill after wins at Chester and York. He lost his way last season but since being gelded he has found his zest again and I think he is the one to beat today.
I was expecting 5/2 or 11/4 today so I was happy to take 7/2 (BOG)
He looks like he can still take another step forward yet.
Later on I felt Sir Roderic was worthy of a punt at 8/1. Henry Candy’s horse looks too short for me and he has form tied in with Sir Roderic. Henry Candy is way off being my favourite trainer, I have never seen his runners as very consistent and too many seem to run below form.
Visually, to me anyway, Sir Roderic made a good looking run last time out and I thought the jockey had timed it perfectly to win. For whatever reason, his run petered out in the last 50 yards and he was third in the end. William Buick takes over and the Millman stable are in form this past week.
Sir Roderic made some hay with wins last year and I am hoping to see him swoop and sustain his run right to the line this time. 8/1 seemed value over the favourite.
2.40 Sandown Copper Knight 7/2
3.50 Sandown Sir Roderic 8/1
Both BOG and these looked the likely two for me on a competitive and tricky looking day.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Any views on Munster oaks i think more to come from BENGALA 6/1 with Ladbrokes i know Bolger filly in form but think this filly from Oxx yard can take this any views on race
Any views on Munster oaks i think more to come from BENGALA 6/1 with Ladbrokes i know Bolger filly in form but think this filly from Oxx yard can take this any views on race
I’ve only been watching the 2YO races in Ireland this season Darren. I’ve not thought a lot of the 3YO horses there this year. Obviously I watched the trials for the Classics and the Classics themselves but I can’t be bothered with the rest of it, there are a lot of mediocre horses this season I feel.
The first and second in that race today were rated 95 and 96 and that’s poor for a Group 3 contest. It’s just too trappy for me, you feel that if they ran it again next week, you could get a completely different result.
Looking forward to Royal Ascot, hopefully we’ll get some great races and make some money. Good luck this week Darren.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Well Senga helped a lot today. Don’t know what happened to Sir Roderic yesterday, handicapped to dead heat with his rivals from his last run, he finished last, as his old sparring partners finished 1st and 2nd. Just never ran his race, perhaps the ground was too fast for him?
I actually backed Senga earlier in this thread at 13/2 but I am not counting that bet for the thread. It’s a straight point per bet and you can’t take 2 pts on the same horse for the same race, so the initial bet is ignored in order to keep it level stakes.
Plenty bets coming up this week at Royal Ascot. I’ll summarise them in one post later on.
On Friday I added Dartmouth at 4/1 for the Hardwicke. I think he’ll be the one they all have to beat if Highland Reel does not turn up. He beat Highland Reel in the race last year and he’s a tough and determined horse who will surely be in the frame. I thought 4/1 may beat SP by quite a way come the day.
Hardwicke Stakes Dartmouth 4/1
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
As I said on the Coventry thread, I decided to have another dart and fired De Bruyne Horse into the board at 15/2. Whether or not it hits the bull is a moot point in a tricky race but he looks good and ran as if still learning last time.
The Ward horse is potentially anything and has to be feared as a probable speedster.
Coventry Stakes De Bruyne Horse 15/2
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
After today’s race Richard Fahey said they wouldn’t step Ribchester up in trip. He summarised that the Sussex was the probable target.
I missed the boat slightly at 2/1 but took 6/4 for the Sussex.
Seeing Churchill run there can’t have done much harm.
Sussex Stakes Ribchester 6/4
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Jersey Stakes Thursday Royal Ascot. Le Brivido 7/1
Runner up in the French 2000 Guineas, he was only beaten a short head by Brametot. The pair were clear of yardstick Rivet by three lengths. I have Le Brivido the highest on ratings in the Jersey and he’s the one to beat for my money.
A near group 1 winner running at group 3 level is eyecatching. Le Brivido has form over 6F as well and that form has been boosted by the runner up, who landed both her races since, including a Group 3. The drop to 7F should be ideal.
Andre Fabre confirmed that the Jersey was the next target for Le Brivido and I make him 3/1 in my own book for the race. 7/1 simply has to be taken. Once punters realise the horse is going to be there, the odds will collapse.
Excellent spot this was Stevie. Shows how well your application in watching the French races really pays off. Well done mate!
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Jersey Stakes Thursday Royal Ascot. Le Brivido 7/1
Runner up in the French 2000 Guineas, he was only beaten a short head by Brametot. The pair were clear of yardstick Rivet by three lengths. I have Le Brivido the highest on ratings in the Jersey and he’s the one to beat for my money.
A near group 1 winner running at group 3 level is eyecatching. Le Brivido has form over 6F as well and that form has been boosted by the runner up, who landed both her races since, including a Group 3. The drop to 7F should be ideal.
Andre Fabre confirmed that the Jersey was the next target for Le Brivido and I make him 3/1 in my own book for the race. 7/1 simply has to be taken. Once punters realise the horse is going to be there, the odds will collapse.
Excellent spot this was Stevie. Shows how well your application in watching the French races really pays off. Well done mate!
Thanks Joni, this was one of my main bets this week. Group 1 runner up in a Group 3 race.
Happy Like A Fool and Alpha Centauri were the two sorest ones for me this week. Still can’t complain.
I have gone for an outsider in the Wolferton today. It’s not an inspiring race and probably doesn’t belong at this meeting really. The first few in the betting are skinny. With that in mind I went for top-weight Scarlet Dragon at 20/1.
A big improver last year, his last run in the UK was in a good, competitive, affair that had thrown up a good few winners. Most of his wins have been in races with numerous winners coming from them. His trip overseas did not pan out but back here, the 4yo could just defy top weight and reward the big odds speculation.
He seemed value and I couldn’t resist a half point reverse forecast Scarlet Dragon and Dragon Mall for the crack.
3.05 Ascot Scarlet Dragon 20/1
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Saturday sees a typical competitive Sprint over at Newcastle.
I was drawn to one of my Wokingham selections, who I felt ran well in the Royal Ascot race. The Wokingham is always just a token bet race, with the huge cavalry charge field and all the questions regarding the draw. However, a proper bet is in order this time on Amazour, after his 11th place in less than ideal circumstances. The ground was lively enough and he had to chase the leaders, he also couldn’t get a clear run at one stage. Beaten just over 5 lengths in a huge field was a decent run and he had been showing signs that his turn was near.
The biggest positive is that the horse is 2/2 on the Newcastle all weather track and that has to be good news. He was dropped 1 lb for his Ascot run and on 98 he is only 2 lb above his last winning mark. I am going to wait and see because he is not jocked up yet and I don’t want to take the chance he will not run. Currently 7/1, I will move when he is confirmed for the race.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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