Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Flame Of Tara Irish EBF Stakes 2018
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stevecaution.
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- August 31, 2018 at 14:13 #1365868
Just Wonderful stepping up to a mile after 2 runs at 6f and 1 at 6 and a half furlongs
She was disappointing the last two runs after a very promising debut although probably running at distances shorter than ideal. I was expecting her to perhaps go 7f next but this will certainly tell us a bit more about her as Jim Bolger’s horse Bandiuc Eile was 2nd in a group 2 over 7f behind Scitter Scatter and ahead of Zagitova and is the forecast favourite.Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
August 31, 2018 at 22:44 #1366723I felt Just Wonderful was a good bet at 2/1 here.
Her debut was full of promise and I felt she was the better long term prospect than Fairyland. Obviously, she seemed taken off her feet in the Albany and it is hard to figure that she, and Fairyland were once 1st and 2nd Favs for the Queen Mary over 5F. I said then that they were highly unlikely runners in the shorter race where Aidan has a poor record.
Last time out Just Wonderful was more like it, running to a PB of 95 on RPRs, after a poxy effort of 64 in the Albany, a figure that was a stone and a half below her debut figure.
For me, the more heavily tipped Bolger filly was a false and poor value favourite early doors. 50/1 last time, she avenged defeat at the hands of Zagitova from a previous meeting. It all looks ropey to me. A Jim Bolger maiden at a short price, previously behind Peach Tree, who looks sure to be the pacemaker for Just Wonderful here, despite the blurb stating there was more to come from her. Aye, that would be right, she will be the pacemaker for Just Wonderful here. Any firms offering odds on THAT?
If someone offered me money to put on a Jim Bolger favourite at skinny odds, I would rather put it in an incinerator and at least get some heat out of it.
My one worry with this is that Aidan has taken another two runs to see that the filly needed further and has now gone up to a mile and thrown in a filly to make the pace. It’s almost sublime to ridicuous territory.
Still 2/1 looks good to me here with the stable finding winners again of late.
Just Wonderful at 2/1 for me. I could see her nearer evens by flagfall.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
August 31, 2018 at 23:47 #1366833Bandiuc elie for me, fair sized step up for just wonderful to get past her, she ran well last week, should be fav
September 1, 2018 at 09:29 #1366927There’s too much I don’t like about Bandiuc Elie:-
1. Bolger
2. Six days since last run
3. 50/1 last time and unexpected 22 lbs rise in ratings on 3rd start
4. A maiden after 3 starts and in Group Company. Not many break their duck in group company.I can see the thinking behind Bolger’s horse being superior coming in but overall the O’Brien filly appealed more. The betting is tight at the moment between the two.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
September 1, 2018 at 10:58 #1367106Not interest in the race, but interesting Steve you keep the faith with Just Wonderful, you weren’t very impressed with her after her last run! It’s a poor race today, so i can see where your coming from, just having a joke!
On Banduic Eile, i put her down in my tracker after her debut, having run not too bad. Given her pedigree, she’s running pretty well over a mile i think. Alright the dam sire might bring some speed, but i think she’d be better given time and a more progressive 3yo career….but that’s Bolger!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!September 1, 2018 at 14:05 #1367163Not bad getting on the winner at 2s Steve. I had Fleeting e/w at 25s and was happy enough with that.
Will Just Wonderful, like her dam, try and win on the Rowley Mile and head to the Fillies Mile on the back of that?
Bit of an overreaction from Boylesports to go 14/1 for the Guineas though, as impressive as that was – there’s questions to ask about what was in behind her.
September 1, 2018 at 14:31 #1367275Jack, It was all about the trip today. Had it been 6F I would not have been on.
The Bolger filly was my way into the race. I listed the reasons above. It also looked likely Peach Tree would put the pace to the race.
I felt Peach Tree might run well last week at big odds but she folded quickly. Today she has kept on much better.
I doubt the form is strong at all and some of the Guineas quotes are silly for all that she closed up well at the finish today and is a filly with an appealing look to her.
The Bolger filly was awful, she folded like a cheap Chinese lantern. All too familiar sight for the trainers fancied runners for me to play on his horses.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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