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<b>3:45 Longchamp Sunday</b>
Very interesting race in prospect. Farhh doesnt have Frankel, Nathaniel or So you think to worry about this time but has the worlds second best sprinter in his way, Moonlight Cloud.
With only 4 runners, the race is likely to be run at a false pace and end up a tactical battle.
Moonlight Cloud is a world class sprinter who is just as effective over a mile and brings the best form to the table. Will Farhh have to be a bridesmaid again??
What does everyone think??
DEEMAN
Moonlight Cloud clearly has superior finishing speed to anything in this field, which is very important at Longchamp. She’s the one to beat. I’d be concerned if the race turns into a crawl as she might pull her chances away, or a quick run race might stretch her stamina, but I think she should win
Moonlight Cloud stays a steadily run mile, but does she stay the trip in a truly run race? Questionable. Frankie is on an 8 to 10 furlong horse so will need a stamina test today. Hard to split their chances so at the prices rather be on Farhh. Though he hasn’t raced in France so may be better on the Paris Mutuel.
Value Is EverythingLke 99% of group 1 races i have no betting interest in it. However a real joy to watch, a very interesting comparison in horses. The logic says Farhh but when considering the ability of the grade where the horses are very special just to turn up, it then becomes not a straight foreword decision.
Farhh has been pretty much had 4 very hard races in a short space of time. I doubt if this was part of the original plan whereas Monsieur Head has been talking about this a a main target for Moonlight Cloud.
Farhh best trip is surely 10f so if she settles she should have too much speed for him.
Frankie could go off at a million miles per hour to try and burst her but as Farhh is a hold up horse that’s unlikely.
I think it will be a tactical race. There’s more chance of Moonlight Cloud acting the madam if the pace is uneven and that could be weakness Frankie will be hoping to expose
If slowly run Moonlight Cloud and Casper Netcher would have the speed edge (unless pulling). If truly run the other two might have an edge. Maybe two forcasts would be the best bet?
Value Is EverythingTop class performance. Frankie did as I thought he might but to no avail. Never a moments doubt she was going to win once in the home straight.
She’s actually won that a lot easier than the distance would suggest
two forecasts in a 4 horse race, brilliant.if you have made a profit hats off!
I didn’t bet IAW, was just looking for a possible value alternative to backing short prices. As I said, I couldn’t split the two main protagonists and the judge had a hard job to do so at the finish.
Value Is EverythingTop class performance. Frankie did as I thought he might but to no avail. Never a moments doubt she was going to win once in the home straight.
She’s actually won that a lot easier than the distance would suggest
Thanks for the link – but i disagree with your assessment. I doubt if they raced another 20 times there would be more than a head between them each time.
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