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Lots of money going on Tropical Beat; has he been Pricewised? Bit fed up about this rain; I actually had nightmares about the rain at York last night as I was convinced No Heretic was ‘the one’ until the ground changed. Anyway, I’ve got Genzy 25/1; Tropical Beat 25/1; Tiger Cliff 12/1 and No Heretic 20/1. Think this is going to be my worst Ebor ever.
I’m going with 3 against the field tomorrow Opinion, Oriental Fox and Highland Castle (each way at 33/1). It looks a very open race but would love to see Opinion win it.
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...Doesn’t the Elsworth horse have good form with the one that won the 2 miler the other day?
I’m going with 3 against the field tomorrow Opinion, Oriental Fox and Highland Castle (each way at 33/1). It looks a very open race but would love to see Opinion win it.
Hi Triptych
I, my good lady, and my bank manager all have our fingers crossed that your wish comes true. I’ve been banging my drum (and emptying my wallet) about Opinion for the past couple of weeks on this thread. There’s been all sorts of speculation about the draw, which I’m not worried about, and I see that tonight (actually late last night as I’m now burning the midnight oil at 1.30am) Gdc1 kindly let us know that it was bucketing down in North Yorkshire. Again I’m not worried for Opinion as he has won twice on soft ground.
I suppose the one unknown is that he hasn’t run beyond 12f, but the way he won in the Duke of Edinburgh at ascot, and particularly when strongly running on in the Old Newton Cup after having his run blocked and having to switch 1f from home, suggests he will manage the further couple of furlongs well.
I see that a couple of bookies have pushed him out to 6-1 late last night, there’s value in that, I would expect that will disappear by morning.
I wouldn’t disagree that both Oriental Fox and Highland Castle have a good shout. After their last race, with nothing between them, I can’t work out why one is as low as 14-1 whilst the other is 33-1 and both racing off the same mark.
Best of luck
Very soft ride on Tropical Beat yesterday on debut for David O’ Meara from John Gosden. Stayed on for pressure on first run for 330 days, and will come on for the run. Will definitely get in from 97.
25/1 across. Aye aye.
Cruel, cruel game this. Devastated.
Very soft ride on Tropical Beat yesterday on debut for David O’ Meara from John Gosden. Stayed on for pressure on first run for 330 days, and will come on for the run. Will definitely get in from 97.
25/1 across. Aye aye.
Cruel, cruel game this. Devastated.
That’s a shocker JJM, and at this late stage. It just knocks the stuffing out of you. Have you a plan B for whats left of the race?
As the race continues to cut up, it’s certainly lost a bit of it’s edge, but still looks a competitive enough race.
My main bet is on
Hanoverian Baron
. Had him in mind for this after his run at York earlier in the year, and pleasantly surprised he made the cut. Bet him in hope, rather than expectation, as didn’t think he’d make it, but he has………well, he’s not been withdrawn at the moment, they’re dropping like flies. That run, over this trip, on soft, give him a shout, though there’s the suspicion that he’ll always find one too good in a race like this. Happy enough with 40’s each way Ante-Post, as well as a go at 70’s on Betfair.
Also a big fan of
Caravan Rolls On
. Bet him a couple of time in defeat this season, and been considering him for this for a while now. The goings a bit of an unknown, but if handling it, he shouldn’t be far away.
I don’t follow him religiously, but have bet
Highland Castle
a few times too, and as the race cuts up, he continues to appeal. Throws in the odd howler, and think he’s shown a bit of attitude at times too, but if handling the ground, wouldn’t shock me to see him go well.
Not quite the same kind of race as The County Hurdle, but if reports are to believed, then the ground is. Bearing in mind the conditions that day, then difficult to ignore
Ted Veale
.
Still looks a cracker, and good luck to all.
With the race being down to 14 runners (at the moment) hats off to SkyBet who are still going 1/4 odds first 4 (along with a couple of lesser known internet bookies). Admittedly they did start the day offering 5 places, but with the race cutting up they have still kept their noses ahead of all the mainstream bookmakers.
VTC, 3 serious picks there, I see that Ted Veale is being heavily bet and that’s always of note when its one of Tony Martin’s raiders, he’ll love the ground.
Hanoverian Baron was in the same boat as Opinion in the Old Newton Cup, he had no room and had to switch at the end and finished strongly, they finished within a nose of each other. Surprising you can still get 33-1, or 25-1 with SkyBet (honest I’m not on commission)which seems a decent bet. Congrats on taking the 40s and 70s.
As for Highland Castle, I’ve already commented to Triptych that I don’t understand why he is 33-1 (still 33-1 after the withdrawls…28-1 with SB) whilst Oriental Fox is generally 14 and 16-1, after they finished within a nose of each other at Ascot last time and both are still on the same mark. I know which one my money would be on.Not sure what to make of the slight drifting with Opinion, perhaps just the plunge on Tiger Cliff and Ted Veale. He is out to 7-1 with a couple of bookies, VC and SJ, from a high of 5s yesterday, although the 7s offered a short time ago with SkyBet and tote have been taken and back to 6s. I’ll still be surprised if he goes off as high as 6s.
It has cut up, but as you say it’s still a cracker.
Very soft ride on Tropical Beat yesterday on debut for David O’ Meara from John Gosden. Stayed on for pressure on first run for 330 days, and will come on for the run. Will definitely get in from 97.
25/1 across. Aye aye.
Cruel, cruel game this. Devastated.
That’s a shocker JJM, and at this late stage. It just knocks the stuffing out of you. Have you a plan B for whats left of the race?
I know absolutely wounded!
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