Do you have an edge

[empty wallet]

Food for thought

<!– m –>https://theracingforum.co.uk/forum/v … hp?t=70859<!– m –>

[Tuffers]

Food for thought

https://theracingforum.co.uk/forum/v … hp?t=70859

I’ve read Fooled By Randomness and my conclusion was that most people backfit theories to explain success that resulted from pure chance. IMHO anyone who has been a successful punter for a number of years is likely to have succceeded by hard work rather than by chance. Alan Potts always asked himself what his edge was and if he decided he didn’t have one he didn’t play. In essence, I think your edge is something you know that no-one else (or only a small number of others) knows which enables you to skew the odds in your favour. I’m planning on buying Beyer on Speed and seeing whether I can apply it to the all weather now that sectional times are being produced

[empty wallet]

Not for me to tell you where to post, but i’d post that on thread Tuffers , i’m sure the guys would welcome your and other peoples input, plus it keeps peoples thoughts on the subject on one thread

I just thought thread was worth bringing to the attention of others

[Prufrock]

Thanks for that, empty. I will check it out.

It’s exactly the sort of issue I was referring to in the discussions on VDW a month or two back. People simply have to get away from the idea that there is a predetermined outcome to an event like a horse race and that all they have to do to be successful punters is become good at identifying this.

I read "Fooled By Randomness" some time ago and did not think it was especially profound. But it was heartening to read someone rubbishing such nonsense so directly.

[Author]

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