Apart from sprints, (where the jockey has just got to hang on!) the bulk of the horses jolly along at the same pace, probably set by a couple of horses at the front, until the latter stages of the race. So, I’m going to carry on with my usual speed ratings based on the time of the winner and the distance the others are behind at the finish.
I followed Star Rage(IRE) years ago. It always worth a place bet. I’ve just fed it into my program and it showed a profit every year. It never fell, or was pulled up, just a good reliable horse.
One race in 1997 (I’ve just looked it up), all the other horses wobbled about before the first fence. No-one took the lead. Star Rage was pulled up and the race time was 10 seconds slow on Good going. I though there was something a bit fishy. All that was in the news that one jockey was ‘Our trainer told us not to take the lead.’ They must have all been told the same! Star Rage was never pulled up again either.
Sectional timings won’t help there.