Commonwealth Cup 2018

[Ben_Bernanke]

Just 5 days to go until one of the greatest coups in this forums history, even the great TAPK would be proud of this one, 50s into 4s for the best horse since Frankel. Should be a 1/4 shot, sell the wife, re-mortgage the house, steal some old dears jewellery to trade in at the local pawn shop……pile on!!

[stevecaution]

Ben, I have done Equilateral for the July Cup at 12/1. It seemed logical that he will go there next if he wins at Royal Ascot and with some of the older horses sure to be beaten in the Jubilee, I reckoned Equilateral might go second favourite for the July Cup and he is unexposed still.

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[Pants]

Going against the majority here and am against Equilateral here at current prices.

Possibility he’s exposed but I’ll take the form in the book here and go with the top rated Sands of Mali at 8/1.

[CharlesOlney]

I’ve had a bit of Corals 5/1 about Sioux Nation with the thinking that come the day he’ll be sent off a 7/2 fav ahead of Charlie Hills’s charge.

On bear form and experience I’d rather side with ‘SN’.

[jackh1092]

Anyone know if Raid is heading here?

Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

[Ben_Bernanke]

Todays the day and it seems most of the forum is on the equilateral bullet train, here we go!!

[charlie87]

Fantastic write up Steve, really enjoyed reading that. I did the Calyx & Equilateral double at the start of the week but am going to smash into it again at 5/1. Also doing the double with Billesdon Brook.

[darren83]

Agree on SIOUX NATION 5/1 also his breeding suits Ascot so could see him winning here but get beat in july cup by the Hills horse

[Ben_Bernanke]

Bloody hope not Darren would be fuming if that happened!! Sioux nation a serious contender though tbh surprised it isn’t a bit shorter!

[CharlesOlney]

I go into this happy to have snapped up 5/1 about Sioux Nation and after the opener I’m happy to see he’s drawn in 15. I couldn’t resist a bite at 9/2 for Equilateral as well, albeit he won’t be as good a result and is mainly just in case he is the real deal. And at the prices 40/1 for Actress looks a fair e/w bet (5 places)

Sioux Nation 5/1
Equilateral 9/2
Actress 40/1 (e/w – 5 places)

[BigG]

I’m hoping that Laugh A Minute can manage to keep out of
the trouble he found himself in the last time he ran here over 6f last
month. He’ll need a bit of luck and a clear passage, but if Atzeni can
chart a course through them I think he has a big chance at 28/1.

[Gingertipster]

Market speaking against Equilateral at the moment.
Is he sweating?

Value Is Everything

[stevecaution]

Sands Of Mali looks the best value at today’s odds.

I have him and Sioux Nation holding about the same chance today, so can’t back the O’Brien one.

Sands Of Mali from last year and Equilateral are my two.

1.Equilateral
2.Sands Of Mali
3.Invincible Army is my £2 Tricast.

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[CharlesOlney]

I hold my hands up.

I just could not have backed that, twice behind Invincible Army and a no show at Newbury. You have to be very forgiving sometimes in this game though.

[Ben_Bernanke]

Equilateral looked good 3f out then went backwards, not sure whether the horse just isn’t that good or whether something happened mid race aka an injury

[Ben_Bernanke]

Or maybe the inexperience meant it didn’t cope well with being headed in the big field

[stevecaution]

God, my post hung for ages and didn’t come through till the race was over!

Anyway, it was second again for one of my ante-post bets and the criminally under-rated Sands Of Mali almost popped up for Richard Fahey.

Equilateral was disappointing, he seemed the potential improver but maybe he just doesn’t take any racing. He was the same last season, flopping on his second start after looking very promising. One to avoid on today’s effort but maybe he’ll come out and win at big odds when least expected. The July Cup will surely be off the agenda.

I’ve never taken to Sioux Nation as one to back at short odds. He has form that suggests he CAN do something good but then he disappoints. The O’Brien horses finished absolutely together, well down the field and Just Wonderful in the Albany disappointed, along with Delano Roosevelt. Not their day it seems.

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[Author]

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