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Cheltenham Software Picks

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  • #807947
    % MAN
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    • Total Posts 5104

    Their will be an update every day of the festival and in NONE HANDICAPS 1 – 4 selections per race will be shown depending on number of runners as well as the lbs in the TOP RATED is compared to the rest. In handicaps their will be 3 horses shown per races and if fields of 20 or more their maybe 4.

    In past years this as had some very good days as well as bad ones and if you go to PAGE 14 you will find my original SOFTWARE THREAD and open the last page it will give you a view of what is possible. I still use this but mainly Saturdays and all the major meetings.I personally use it for QUADPOTS which can do very well if doing a perm but the returns can be RUBBISH but now and then EXCELENT like yesterday 3 meetings [all possible] 267 59 and 6 pts.

    THE SYSTEM WORKS FROM VARIOUS RACING POST RATINGS [4] AND AS NO IDEA OF THE PRICE OF ANY HORSE IN THE RACE

    Also can find some big priced OUTSIDERS

    Back 1st day CHELTENHAM

    % MAN

    #822563
    % MAN
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    • Total Posts 5104

    CHELT DAY 1

    1.30 CL1

    JOLLYALLAN 10/1
    L’AMI SERGE 4/1 [6LB]
    SOME PLAN 33/1 [7LB]
    DOUVAN 5/2 [8LB] :yes: W 2/1

    2.05 CL1

    VIBRATO VALTAT 6/1
    UN DE SCEAUX 4/5 [3LB] [Missing rating but the one to beat] :yes: W
    THREE KINGDOMS 22/1 [10LB]
    GODS OWN 40/1 [14LB] :-) 2ND 33/1

    2.40 CL1

    THEATRE GUIDE 18/1
    AZURE FLY 33/1 ALT
    BARRAKILLA 12/1 ALT

    3.20 CL1

    HURRICAN FLY 10/1
    JEZKI 5/1 [2LB]
    FAUGHEEN 11/10 [5LB] :yes: W 4/5
    THE NEW ONE 5/1 [6LB]

    4.00 CL1

    ANNIE POWER 4/6 FELL AT THE LAST AND WOULD HAVE WON
    POLLY PEACHUM 10/1 [15LB] 2ND 9/1
    GLENS MELODY 6/1 [17LB] :yes: W 6/1
    L’UNIQUE 20/1 [22LB]

    4.40 CL1 AMATEUR RIDERS

    VERY WOOD 7/2
    CAUSE FOR CAUSES 15/2 SEGO SUCCESS 5/1 [4LB] :yes: W 8/1
    TOP TOTI 66/1 [5LB]

    5.15 CL1

    KILLALA QUAY 12/1
    IRISH CAVALIER 14/1 ALT :yes: W 11/1
    COCKTAILS AT DAWN 16/1 ALT

    % MAN

    #823232
    % MAN
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5104

    NOT A BAD 1ST DAY WITH THE WINNER FOUND IN EVERY RACE BAR 1

    26 SELECTIONS SHOWN WITH WINNERS @ 14/1 8/1 6/1 11/10 5/2 AND 4/5 + PLACES 40/1 10/1 9/1

    BACK TOMOS

    #823427
    Avatar photoDibble
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    • Total Posts 799

    well done , good luck 2moro

    #825143
    % MAN
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    • Total Posts 5104

    DAY 2

    1.30 CL1

    VYTA DU ROC 7/1
    ORDO AB CHAO 14/1 [1LB]
    PALOUR GAMES 6/1 [5LB]
    WINDSOR PARK 5/1 [7LB]

    2.05 CL1

    SOUTHFIELD THEATRE 15/2
    IF IN DOUBT 12/1 KINGS PALACE 11/2 [1LB]
    DON POLI 7/4 [2LB]

    2.40 CL1 H 24 RUNNERS

    DELL’ARCA 20/1
    VASCODU RONCERAY 50/1 ALT
    BARIZAN 66/1 ALT
    BARADARI 16/1 ALT

    3.20 CL1

    DODGING BULLETS 13/2
    SIRE DE GRUGY 7/2 [2LB]
    SPRINTER SACRE 4/1 [5LB
    MR MOLE 10/1 [9LB]

    4.00 CL2 CROSS COUNTRY

    HEY BIG SPENDER 33/1
    QUANTITATIVEEASING 10/1 ALT
    DUKE OF LUCCA 6/1 ALT

    4.40 CL1 H [THESE SELECTIONS ARE BASED ON NONE HANDICAP RATINGS ONLY]

    GOLDEN DOYEN 20/1
    ARABIAN REVOLUTION 9/1 STARCHITECT 22/1 [1LB]
    ZARIB 10/1 [2LB]

    5.15 CL1 NH/FLAT I DONT USUALLY DO BUMPERS BUT HAVE DONE TODAY

    PYLONTHEPRESSURE 12/1
    STONE HARD 16/1 VIGIL 8/1 [3LB]
    UP THE REVIEW 33/1 [6LB]

    LOOKS A LOT HARDER MEETING THAN YESTERDAY.

    % MAN

    #827765
    % MAN
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5104

    DAY 3

    1.30 CL1

    PITI ZIG 11/2
    IRISH SIANT 16/1 [4LB]
    VALAEUR 11/2 [5LB]
    VAUTOUR 6/4 [12LB]

    2.05 CL1 H

    JUNCTION FOURTEEN 40/1
    TRUSTED TIMES 20/1 ALT
    JOIN THE CLAN 16/1 ALT

    2.40 CL1

    WISHFULL THINKING 33/1
    MA FILLEULE 11/2 [1LB]
    DON COSSACK 9/2 HIDDEN CYCLONE 11/1 [4LB]

    3.20

    SAPHIR DU RHEU 13/2
    REVE DE SIVOLA 20/1 [2LB]
    WHISPER 11/1 [8LB]
    UN TEMPS POUR TOUT 12/1 [9LB]

    4.00 CL1 H

    DE BOITRON 50/1
    RAJDHANI EXPRESS 11/1 ALT
    KLEPT 66/1 ALT

    4.40 CL2 H

    THE OULD LAD 14/1
    SIXTY SOMETHING 66/1 ALT
    THE PACKAGE 8/1 ALT

    % MAN

    #830766
    Avatar photomickjohnson
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    • Total Posts 37

    How did you bet on those selections? Covering all e/w wouldn’t show a profit. Neither would odds < 4/1 bet to win and odds > 4/1 e/w. When you are covering all 4 to win, odds less than 4/1 are pointless.

    #830835
    % MAN
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    • Total Posts 5104

    I personal do a quadpot perm usually 36 lines 2 x 2 x 3 x 3 for small stakes.
    I just show what the software picks and over the last 3 months the TOP RATED have shown a profit only horses 10/1 and above would I consider an EW BET but it must be said this years SELECTIONS here have not been great although the 1st days did not do bad from that point of view.
    Also I don’t always show 4 but have done here as its CHELTENHAM.

    TODAYS

    It must be said they are very big fields today and can only hope the software finds something..

    1.30 CL1 TO LATE

    PEACE AND CO 5/2
    HARGAM 15/2 [7LB]
    PETITE PARISIENNE 11/1 [10LB]
    KAREZAK 20/1 [11LB]

    2.05 CL3 H

    CHELTENIAN 16/1
    ROMAN FLIGHT 66/1 ALT
    OTHER N/R

    2.40 CL1 H

    BLAKLION 14/1
    FLETCHERS FLYER 20/1 [4LB]
    THOMAS BROWN 16/1 [5LB]
    TEA FOR TWO 25/1 [7LB]

    3.20 CL1

    SILVINIACO CONTI 10/3
    CONEYGREE 9/1 [5LB]
    MANY CLOUDS 8/1 ROAD TO RICHES 12/1 [7LB]

    4.00 CL2

    ON THE FRINGE 8/1
    PAINT THE CLOUDS 9/2 [1LB]
    CARSONTOWN BOY 12/1 CONSIGLIERE 33/1 [5LB]

    4.40 CL2 H

    BARIZAN 66/1
    FULL SHIFT 9/1 ALT
    CONQUISTO 66/1 ALT

    T

    #832545
    Avatar photomickjohnson
    Participant
    • Total Posts 37

    So your selection published are just what the program produces. Does a Quadpot Perm show a profit?
    I am trying to get some rules together… E/W on > 10/1, cover 1/6th of the field. Don’t include odds < numberofrunners /6 .

    #867136
    % MAN
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5104

    Those shown are what the software picks and can have very good and bad days [not a great Cheltenham]. The selections are based on 4 r/post ratings + going latest form and cd c or d winners. At no time does it know the price of any horse in the race and for example if the ratings for the FAV were the best it would be picked but also if those ratings related to an OUTSIDER that would be the selection.

    As for quadpots it will always depend on how many races the FAV is placed and if in every 1 if you do a PERM you would lose money on your bet.

    I personally do them with a mate of mine but this usually on days when decent racing [ usually Fridays @ Saturdays and MAJOR midweek meetings and do 36 x 10p perms as we are in the bookies and gives us an interest in those race but on many days even if we have the quadpot up it WILL SHOW A LOSS. The week before CHELT we had all 3 meeting up and a near £ 100 return for a 36, 36, and 24 line perms [cost £9.60 outlay] so £50 each.

    The best the software as ever picked was a CARTMEL and it paid over £3000 as not 1 person had it for £1.00 and if I had done it would have only been for 10p but st £300.

    Warning
    It might look simple but not that easy when the fields are small and some with JUST 4 RUNNERS you need the winner, Also some meetings maybe all HANDICAPS which makes it difficult to compile the right perm from the SOFTWARES 3 selections per RACE in handicaps.

    Sorry Ive not replied sooner but hope this may shed some light on Quadpots.

    % man

    #867140
    Avatar photomickjohnson
    Participant
    • Total Posts 37

    Thanks for replying! I have the same problem. I don’t get the time to check the forums as often as I should.
    I’ll carry on as I am now.
    I was looking for some ideas on betting strategies. Picking winning horses is either an art or a science, but choosing a profitable betting strategy is the key.
    I bet a percentage of my pot daily. If it goes above a certain point,I cleave off the top and put it in my bank. If I have a run of loosers, my bets reduce gradually and I can sleep at night!

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