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Cheltenham 2023 bets

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Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 158 total)
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  • #1627424
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 32211

    10/1 for the 4 fold now
    I want it odds on, on the day… :rose:

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1627811
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6018

    Lucky 15 e.w

    Pied Piper champion hurdle

    Nubre Negra champion chase

    Minella Indo Gold Cup

    And another go with Eldorado Allen in the KG

    #1628440
    Avatar photoGladiateur
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4749

    I need to get a price for Cheltenham 2024:

    Champion Hurdle straight forecast: Constitution Hill, Facile Vega.

    #1628442
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 32211

    Get on now Gladders before Facile Vega wins at the festival this year

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1628443
    Avatar photoGladiateur
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4749

    My only concern is that Nicky might send Constitution chasing.

    #1628446
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 32211

    He’s young enough to win at least 3 Champion Hurdles before going down that route although I expect Nicky may want to win 4 or 5 with him

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1628514
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6018

    Surely he,ll keep CH and Jonbon separate , there’s a lot of races to be won with them

    #1628517
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    I think given the age of the owner and the trainer, Constitution Hill will run in a maximum of two Champion Hurdles before going chasing.

    No horse has ever won both the Champion Hurdle and the Cheltenham Gold Cup PROPERLY* and at the age of eight or nine Constitution Hill, all being well, will attempt it.

    (*denotes without a gender allowance).

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1629090
    Avatar photoBen_Bernanke
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2367

    Haven’t placed it yet but when the next student loan payment comes in on 9th Jan I’m going to do the Lossiemouth (6/4 triumph), Allegori De Vassy (9/4 mares chase), Constitution Hill (4/11) treble – all prices with paddypower – – which pays around 9/1 which I think is very good. Only thing is the shop is a 45minute drive and I’ll probably have to do it in a few trips as I’m not sure what the max stake they’d take over the counter is? Thinking a cheeky £200 or so which would be the biggest multi bet I’ve ever placed!

    #1629197
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    William Hill are NRNB on the Cheltenham Festival from noon this New Year’s Day: https://www.racingpost.com/news/latest/william-hill-go-non-runner-no-bet-for-every-race-at-the-2023-cheltenham-festival/594255

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

    #1629214
    Avatar photoCork All Star
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9014

    I wonder how many horses will they be top price on?

    #1629223
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 32211

    I’m saying none
    They got to go with two markets surely ?
    Ante Post all in
    and NRNB

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1629292
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    You can’t really blame a bookie for being shorter in a NRNB book.

    Cash back on all NRs yet still no Rule 4 to protect them regarding those who do run.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

    #1629338
    Tizaaards Cider
    Participant
    • Total Posts 665

    I’ll be playing a Hermes Allen/Lucia double and a Hermes Allen/Luccia/queens gamble treble first thing in the morning.

    Probably a Hermes Allen/Queens gamble double as well.

    #1629341
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6114

    Here’s how Hills bet the Ryanair – just the first few in the betting:

    4/5 ALLAHO
    4/5 Galopin Des Champs
    4/1 Edwardstone
    4/1 L’Homme Presse
    6/1 Bravemansgame
    6/1 Blue Lord
    7/1 Conflated
    7/1 Shishkin
    10/1 Fakir DD

    That’s 200%

    They would not bet to that on the day, and while Hills are entitled to guard themselves, they need to price the races and not the horses as individuals. If the above is the field they envisage for this project, then they ought to price it as such.

    #1629347
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    6/1 nrnb on blue lord is a good bet

    He will likely only run if allaho doesn’t and would be favourite most likely

    You can only get 7s ante post

    #1629353
    ep1987
    Participant
    • Total Posts 63

    Allaho price is poor given that there’s a good chance he turns up following a prep run which creates question marks or after no prep run at all.

    The Galopin Des Champs price is for all intents and purposes assuming that Allaho is a NR and is actually pretty fair. The problem is that 4/5 won’t make you rich and you’re likely lending WH your money for 3 months as even if Allaho doesn’t make it GDC will probably still head to the Gold Cup.

    What could be an idea is to back a Gold Cup horse that will probably only run if it’s bottomless and would have a live chance and put it in a double with GDC in the Ryanair. More potential for return, but again likely lending WH your money and the possible disaster of the mud lark running on G/S anyway.

    So the best idea is likely just to add GDC to any singles you were already going to do for the 5% chance of close to doubling your money. If WH are allowing you to use the daily bet boost on these then all the better.

Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 158 total)
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