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Big field Handicaps

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  • #479593
    Avatar phototrendyrich
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    Tuesday’s Selections…

    Nott 2:30 Two Shades Of Grey
    Bath 2:40 Dreams Of Glory
    Bath 3:40 Plucky Dip
    Warw 5:45 Euroquip Boy

    #479666
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    Tuesday’s results…

    Nott 2:30 Two Shades Of Grey – unplaced
    Bath 2:40 Dreams Of Glory –

    Bath 3:40 Plucky Dip –

    Warw 5:45 Euroquip Boy – unplaced

    Win

    E/W -11.52

    pts

    #479736
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    No selections on Wednesday.

    There is a selection on Thursday but it is in an Apprentice Handicap and I don’t follow those races with this system, just "ordinary" handicap races i.e. also not included are amateur rider handicaps, lady rider handicaps etc.

    Good 5;35 Amenable

    Sod’s law says it will be the first winner !! But it won’t be included in my figures. The selection process starts proper on June 1st so it’s a fairly minor thing anyway.

    Others today that will be recorded…
    Salis 8:20 Kashmiri Sunset
    Salis 8:20 Dry Your Eyes

    #479774
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    Thursday’s results…

    Salis 8:20 Kashmiri Sunset –

    Salis 8:20 Dry Your Eyes – unplaced

    Win

    E/W


    For infor only…

    Good 5;35 Amenable – unplaced

    #479911
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    I’m sure I posted this too, as well the Hustlers but both posts seem to have vanished !?!?!

    Friday’s selections…

    Good 4:35 Intrinsic –

    Won

    9/4

    Win

    E/W


    Saturday’s selections…

    Hayd 2:05 Bear Behind
    Catt 2:50 Conry
    Hayd 3:45 Red Stargazer

    #480086
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    Saturday’s results…

    Hayd 2:05 Bear Behind –

    Won

    16/1
    Catt 2:50 Conry –

    Won

    17/2
    Hayd 3:45 Red Stargazer – unplaced

    Win

    E/W

    pts

    Overall
    32 selections
    3 winners 9.4%
    15 placed 46.9%
    – – – – – – –
    Previous Course winners
    14 selections
    1 winner 7.1%
    6 placed 42.9%
    – – – – – – –
    Previous Course & Distance winners
    11 selections
    1 winner 9.1%
    5 placed 45.5%
    – – – – – – –
    Previously won on same going
    14 selections
    0 winners
    5 placed 35.7%
    – – – – – – –
    Previously won with same jockey
    26 selections
    3 winners 11.5%
    14 placed 53.8%
    – – – – – – –
    Not in the top 6 weights
    20 selections
    2 winners 10.0%
    11 placed 55.0%
    – – – – – – –
    Bottom half of the handicap (based on weight carried)
    16 selections
    2 winners 12.5%
    10 placed 62.5%

    #480354
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    There’s a selection for Wednesday…

    Hami 4:15 Economic Crisis

    #480440
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    Wednesday’s result…

    Hami 4:15 Economic Crisis –


    Win

    E/W

    (the totals don’t tally with today’s results and yesterday’s carried forward totals – this is because I noticed some errors in my records).

    #480441
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    • Total Posts 617

    Thursday’s selections…

    Bath 3:30 Ladweb
    Bath 5:30 Caledonia Laird

    #480514
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    Thursday’s results…

    Bath 3:30 Ladweb –

    Won

    6/1
    Bath 5:30 Caledonia Laird –


    Win

    E/W +26.77

    pts

    #480517
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    :) :) :) :) :) :)

    Billy's Outback Shack

    #480519
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    • Total Posts 617

    Yep, I have no idea why that range for last time out works, but it does. Well done to the guys who are involved with Ladweb, I watched the race and it looks like there’s a bit more to come still before the handicapper has his level.

    Friday’s selections…

    Newm 2:30 Divine
    Brig 2:55 Pettochside

    #480618
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    Friday’s results…

    Newm 2:30 Divine – non runner
    Brig 2:55 Pettochside – unplaced

    Win

    E/W +24.77

    pts

    #480621
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday’s selections…

    York 2:50 Monsieur Joe
    York 2:50 Tumble Wind
    York 2:50 Taurus Twins
    York 3:25 Streets Of Newyork
    Newm 4:40 All Talk N No Do
    Newb 7:10 Uncle Dermot

    #480817
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    • Total Posts 617

    Saturday’s selections…

    York 2:50 Monsieur Joe – unplaced
    York 2:50 Tumble Wind – unplaced
    York 2:50 Taurus Twins – unplaced
    York 3:25 Streets Of Newyork – unplaced
    Newm 4:40 All Talk N No Do – unplaced
    Newb 7:10 Uncle Dermot – unplaced

    Overall
    42 selections
    4 winners 9.5%
    18 placed 42.8%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Previous Course winners
    18 selections
    1 winner 5.6%
    8 placed 44.4%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Previous Course & Distance winners
    15 selections
    1 winner 6.6%
    7 placed 46.6%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Previously won on same going
    23 selections
    2 winners 8.7%
    9 placed 39.1%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Previously won with same jockey
    30 selections
    3 winners 10.0%
    15 placed 50.0%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Not in the top 6 weights
    25 selections
    2 winners 8.0%
    11 placed 44.0%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Bottom half of the handicap (based on weight carried)
    22 selections
    2 winners 9.1%
    11 placed 50.0%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Trainer has >20% strike rate at course over last 5 seasons (min 5 wins)
    2 selections
    2 winners 100.0%
    11 placed 50.0%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    Jockey has >20% strike rate at course over last 5 seasons (min 5 wins)
    4 selections
    3 winners 75.0%
    3 placed 75.0%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    More than 12 runners in the race
    30 selections
    2 winners 6.7%
    11 placed 36.7%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    13-16 runners in the race
    15 selections
    2 winners 13.3%
    6 placed 40.0%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –
    More than 16 runners in the race
    14 selections
    0 winners 00.0%
    4 placed 28.6%
    £2 Win

    £1 E/W

    – – – – – – –

    #480822
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    • Total Posts 617

    I won’t be posting the selections here from tomorrow onwards but I will be maintaining the data on my website. I am going to be busy preparing my analysis for Royal Ascot where I will be looking through the trends for 21 races, so I won’t have the time to spare to keep posting here.

    You should be able to see from the previous posts that this does work and a profit can be made.

    Good luck !

Viewing 16 posts - 18 through 33 (of 33 total)
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