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No luck today (yesterday? I slept about five hours, after an early night, and my body woke me up just after 2am.) Rock On Seamie in the first race was probably my best chance, in hindsight. It performed the best of the favoured horses but when a 66/1 outsider with only one decent showing wins there’s not much you can do. I’m not sure the eventual winner is anything to follow, their results are entirely haphazard.
Papal Lodge did well, but again it was a second. Beaten easily by the 2/11 favourite, Finest Evermore, who looks like they could step up in prize money on Yielding/Yielding-to-Soft ground.
At least the first two show I had some idea of what I was at, even if with to-win bets second is as good as last (on purely financial terms… It is always nice to watch a horse you’ve an interest in deal well with the race.) My 100/1 shot was hopeless, really struggled and didn’t seem prepared for the race at all. Pulled up and the less said the better. The same could almost be said for Call My Bluff, who didn’t look right from the start at all. Walking strangely, head and hooves heavy. It was dragged around the course by the jockey, who kept urging him to keep up, only to fall about halfway through.
Not a good day, and especially not great as there’s no national hunt racing in Ireland today.
Down 68.94
It seems the server switch deleted my post, so I’ll go again.
Fontwell – 2:45 – Trans Express – 20/1 e/w – 4pts
I had my eye on another horse here but didn’t like the price being offered for it (it shortened a good deal as I thought on it, and I wasn’t entirely convinced.) Trans Express had a good season followed by a bad season, and I’d have to think the bad season was down to ground, partly. It started a little better in January after a few months break. It’s another, longer break, and it might do ok. I should really have waited out for longer odds but I’m not sure the bookies want the exposure on it to lengthen it a huge amount.Fontwell – 3:15 – Vision Clear – 6/1 – 4pts
I quite like this one, put my bet down expecting it to shorten, and it lengthened. I’m hoping it’s not a phone call from the stables doing this and I’m just seeing something other people aren’t. BOG might help me, but every time I’ve relied on that guarantee the horse shortened again before the off.Fontwell – 3:45 – Midnight Chill – 9/1 – 4pts
Fontwell – 4:20 – Peltwell – 8/1 – 4pts
The 1:45 race looks absolutely no value and a craps shoot, while the 2:15 is an example of (one of the many reasons) why I prefer Irish racing. It just doesn’t look like a fun race with enough room to get a view on it. I’m considering Un Beau Roman in the 5:20, but I’m not sure I’ll last the day to see it.
Last minute stupidity. I’m sick of waiting for the races considering I’ve been awake since the early hours and want to have a bit of fun.
Fontwell – 1:45 – If Karl’s Berg Did – 22/1 e/w (4 places) – 3pts
This may be an outside shot, but there’s one horse shorter I can see it beating, and it just needs a bad race from another to be in the money. A downgrade in how much I’m staking because it’d be a little too much on today.Thought you were going to get there with Rock On Seamie, but I think the last two flights scuppered him. Very unlucky.
I’ve bet Midnight Chill today, so particularly good luck with him lol
A great ride from the jockey (Kielan Woods) on If Karl’s Berg Did in the 1:45. The horse couldn’t have looked less interested, wanted to be anywhere else. For the first 2/3rds of the race he nursed him around, kept him on the inside and behind. Coming towards the last bend he brought him around the back and towards the middle, then urged him onto fourth. If I’d back him straight e/w I’d be fuming (or resigned that the horse wasn’t good enough,) but with the extra place I’ve done well with this last minute shot. Still, the winner came out of nowhere in the form, so it’s a funny ol’ business all-in-all.
Trans Express was just too old. I should have checked the age. I presumed a bad season last year was due to ground and did figure in declining abilities.
Murderised by Vision Clear. It ploughed right through the last fence, literally flattened it. It was right in contention if it wasn’t for that, perhaps urged just a little too much before that final fence and needed to just get it over.
Ah, well, Cognac. Midnight Chill looked tired right from the start, head bobbing, stretched, then low. Just not in the right shape for it. I was worried about the loose horse the whole way around, so thankfully it didn’t cause a disaster.
A strange run from Peltwell. The horse looked agitated for most of it, but not in a manic way, just eager and wanting to do its own thing. I think it’s fair that it was brought into the middle right up by the rail to keep it in check, but moving it out to urge it on did it a disservice, although I’m not sure what else could have been done. A horse with its own mind.
Down 74.14 overall and wondering should I put a a couple of points on a 12 year old outsider in an hour.
I’m enjoying today, the sun is shining, and it’s hours until the football.
Fontwell 17:20 – Un Beau Roman – 18/1 e/w (4 places) – 4pts
To save time just presume I’m at Down 78.14 overall after this race, unless you, hopefully, hear otherwise.
Well, that was a turnip… Un Beau Roman benefited from a fall/UR that they might not have needed. They got came third, in the end.
I think I got my up/down wrong in the previous post.
I had a profit of 8.6pts today, meaning I’m at Down 60.34 overall.
Sligo – Dancing Jeremy – 20/1 ew – 4pts
I’m watching two more as well, in the 3:50 Kilganer Queen and in the 4:25, Moyode Gold. I think Moyodo Gold needs a better price. I want a better price for Kilganer Queen.
Bugger all luck so far.
3:50 – Kilganer Queen – 12/1 ew – 4pts
Edit:
And 4:25 – Moyolde GOld – 11/1 ew – 4pts
5:45 – Kilbeggan – Coral Blue – 8/2 ew (4 places) – 2pts
6:15 – Kilbeggan – Little Lady Lu – 7/2 – 3pts
6:45 – Kilbeggan – Guttural – 9/1 ew – 2pts
7:15 – Kilbeggan – Biddy The Boss – 18/1 ew – 2pts
It’s getting to the point where I need to stop recording my win/loss, it’s just embarrassing at this stage. I am having fun, so I won’t stop betting on the races (for paltry amounts.) Although I think it was a mistake up’ing my bets after a good win in European football. Shoulda stuck to my slow drip of losing on the horses.
Down 98.34
3:25 – Killarney – Mrs Davies – 16/1 ew – 2pts
4:00 – Killarney – Cherif De L’isle – 13/2 – 2pts
4:35 – Killarney – Macho Mover – 66/1 ew – 2pts
And watching Stand Up and Fight in the 5:35 because it’s a good Munster name.
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