Balmoral Handicap 2019

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  • #1463088
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    Always a great race to round off the day at Ascot on Champions Day…..

    https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/2/ascot/2019-10-19/738909

    Easily the best entry I’ve ever seen for it.

    Straight away, the AOB pair of Amedeo Modigliani & Turnberry Isle catch the eye, as well as the Gosden trained Scentasia, who went straight in the notebook last time, he’s a really promising sort.

    I’ll be very interested to see what price Scentasia will be when an Antepost market opens up. I could see an early bet on him.

    I’d also be very interested in Chiefofchiefs, but I’d expect his price to hold, so no need for an early play. Possible temperament issues, but ran well for a long way on his belated comeback, enough to seriously consider him here.

    As I said though, fab set of entries, and plenty of time to change my mind.

    Early fancies……..

    Chiefofchiefs
    Scentasia

    #1463438
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    Priced up now…..

    https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/balmoral-handicap/winner

    No surprise to see support for Amedeo Modigliani, but that 33’s is interesting for Turnberry Isle.

    As for Scentasia, she holds an entry this weekend, so I’ll have to have a close look, while the 25’s for Chiefofchiefs is tempting enough. I’d really like to get 33’s.

    #1463861
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    Very poor from Scentasia today.

    Yes, this trip might be more suitable, but overall, very difficult to see her taking this in now, so I’ll be swerving her for now.

    #1467842
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    I’m still desperate to bet Chiefofchiefs here, but as his price holds, I might as well wait, certainly until I see any movement.

    I’m still keen on Amedeo Modigliani, for all that he looked like having his own ideas the other day, when he looked to have the race at his mercy.

    The other one I’m looking at right now is Escobar, and at 16’s, he’d look the sensible option, and I’m close to backing him, but for now, no bet yet.

    #1467851
    BigGBigG
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    Absolutely in your camp Bobby with Amedeo Modigliani at 12/1 with Skybet.
    He could easily be heading here with a 6lb penalty, and he could still have been in
    with a shout. His unfortunate passage last time out gives him the nod here for me.
    Actually I would also fancy O’Brien’s Dunkirk Harbour at 33s, however I’m
    not convinced he will head here after his bloodless win at Limerick on Saturday. He
    has got a 6lb penalty for that, but if O’Brien thinks he has recovered enough then
    I’ll definitely have a few quid there too. I’m tempted to take the 33s, as he won’t
    be half those odds if he does show up, but it’s risky.

    It looks a terrific handicap, and if Lord North takes to the ground conditions, even with his
    12lb hike up the ratings he could still be ahead of the handicapper. It’s a race to savour :good:

    #1467855
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    Yeah Graham, the only drawback at the moment is the pink on Oddschecker for him, but they was a very eyecatching run the other day.

    #1467880
    Cheltenham Novice Chase
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    Do you think Dunkirk Harbour will run given he only raced last week? He won by 9 lengths on heavy ground which holds some appeal.

    #1467895
    BigGBigG
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    It’s hard to say if he will run CNC, O’Brien always plays his cards close
    to his chest. It is a short time between the races, but he won it so easily
    that I doubt it was much more than a spin round the track. The comments say
    he was “pushed out near finish where ridden briefly”, I’ve no idea why Donnacha
    had to ask him for anything as the rest of the field were disappearing into the
    distance. He looked magnificent, there’s nothing better than a front running
    grey (looked almost white) leading them home from piller to post. He will love
    the ground at Ascot and I’ve taken a nibble at the 33s, I see he’s best priced
    20/1 now, but it’s still a toss up as to whwether O’Brien will send him over.

    #1467911
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    AOB ran Sir Erec here last year, only a week after his previous run, so I wouldn’t be giving up hope Graham.

    #1467912
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    Glen Shiel getting serious support from 33’s earlier today to as low as 16’s.

    Can see the attraction, nice prep last time, jocked up, and will love the ground.

    #1467963
    BigGBigG
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    Cheers Bobby, hopefully O’Brien will keep that in mind. I think Dunkirk Harbour
    could be better than his 6lb penalty and as I mentioned before, he’s going to
    love the ground. I can see this race cutting up quite a bit with the going
    concerns.

    #1470379
    raymo61raymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4561

    I have backed MITCHUM SWAGGER at 25/1 for this. Looks like he has been kept for this having had a break and then one run in October to blow the cobwebs away and will love the ground and trainer couldn’t be in better form!!
    The other one I like is more obvious and that is ESCOBAR at 16/1 . Second in this last year and looked unlucky and came from a long way back LTO on soft behind Kynren.

    :good: :good: :good:

    #1470523
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    I’ve sat this out in the end, but I will bet two of them if all declared.

    Happy to wait and see what extra places are available.

    #1470567
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    All three of mine make it, which I didn’t really want, so a couple of them will be win only, as I work out what best to do.

    Chiefofchiefs is a horse I’ve banged on about for long enough, with scant reward, though to be fair I haven’t actually bet him too often.

    He’s definitely the main bet. Covered to five places just now, but I will top up if any firms go more than five places.

    Chiefofchiefs 33’s
    Chiefofchiefs 25’s EW 5 Places
    Amedeo Modigliani 8’s
    Escobar 16’s

    #1470578
    BigGBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6042

    Yeah I’m happy to see that Amedeo Modigliani made it through Bobby, and happy with
    the 12s I took. I thought that Dunkirk Harbour was also safely through, and I was
    well pleased with the 33/1, but it’s a bit of a blow that he’s a non runner now,
    I’m not sure what happened there. I’ll stick with AM for now, I might have another
    on the day.

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