Asc. 3.20, Cesare

[NWRA]

For me, this has to be a lay at 6/4. I’m suprised that The RP’s Trading Post rate it as more of a banker than a blowout.

*making its seasonal debut by giving 7lb to this field is going to be tough: Royal Oath and Don’t Panic are certainly upto winning listed/Group 3 races, and both have had recent runs (the former was second to Archipenko in Dubai last time, which looks good now), .

*it’s no certainty that Cesare is as good as last year, as he’s 7YO now.

*he benefited from a very, very fast pace when he won this race last year; and this is more likely to be tactical, with only one likely frontrunner.

*Spencer will hold him up, and I’m sure that he will need to be ridden hard at some point to overtake his two main rivals; will he be fit enough?

Anyone got any thoughts on this one?

[NWRA]

Oh dear…

I see Royal Oath is a non-runner now. I don’t think laying Cesare is so wise now as you’re likely to be relying on one horse.

Unfortunately I’ve already laid him. Damn.

[NWRA]

Installment 3 of 3:

I’ve managed to back him at bigger than I laid him, for a guranteed profit of £10. I’m about to watch the race with my feet up, feeling like Sir Lordship Of Kings.

Fin.

[rory]

He does have his limitations, but this is meat and drink to Cesare and he won very easily.

[Author]

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