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Indeed, cormack, a stiff rise in the weights is usually a good sign, rather than  bad one, isn’t it.
Foolishly, I didn’t even bother to check its form, since it was the early favourite with the bookmakers. Maybe that’s the time to take their AP favourite seriously. It makes sense.
PS: I see AP Racing covered that. I mean the stiff rise in the weights.
(Edited by Grimes at 2:22 pm on Nov. 26, 2006)<br>
(Edited by Grimes at 2:23 pm on Nov. 26, 2006)
Maxilon,<br>I believe in trying to keep it as simple as possible too but…<br>
Quote: from Maxilon 5 on 2:17 pm on Nov. 26, 2006[br]Unless a horse has won over the distance on identical ground, I’ll more than likely throw it out regardless of class/ability.
<br>You mean even if it’s sole rival (a recent distance winner on identical ground!) is, by consensus of ratings, a two stone inferior animal?<br>
Hi Maxilon
I agree with you the GoingDistanceCourse are the most vital factors.  Being able to consider near victories over very similar conditions is a major advantage, though.
byefrom<br>carlisle
ps "Whack" it was probably me.
nore, I see your point.
But I have been known to back against such a good thing if the CD, D, or TF criteria aren’t met. On occasion, I have looked a complete chump – but you have to find value odds somewhere.
Carlisle,
Agreed. But I can be quite strict with seemingly unlucky horses who appear to have stayed a trip, but who haven’t actually won over it. Percentage wise, it’s probably best to stick to the rules.:cool:
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