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150L Chantilly Jewel
220L Fly By Nelly
250L Blue Moon
420W Novillero
520W Weet A Surprise
720W Mongoose Alert7.20 wolves mongoose alert, thunderstruck are interesting
Granny mcphie appeals each way trainet and jockey 2/2.Terrific work at Kempton, Slippery.
You must have been the only punter in the world to put up ol’Johnny. And a juicy forecast in the nightcap too.
One thing you can guarantee at Kempton is a good pace (unlike Leafy, which is becoming an embarrassment again), and all ratings systems work better with a good pace.
7.20 wolves mongoose alert, thunderstruck are interesting
Granny mcphie appeals each way trainet and jockey 2/2.Granny mcphee was out the back most of the race, Chosen forever attempted to nick the race from a long way out taking along Thunderstruck setting the race up for the chasing group. Mongoose Alert made the frame. Mighty Clarets made it a hat trick of big priced wins at Wolves.
Want to try out a little method for all weather handicaps starting tomorrow.
Lingfield 22Jan11
12:50 Skelaton
3:05 Comadoir, Rapid Water, Prize Point
4:15 Force Group, Beau FighterDidn’t realise this thread was still going. Will try and look in more and throw about my two penneth.
Terrific work at Kempton, Slippery.
You must have been the only punter in the world to put up ol’Johnny. And a juicy forecast in the nightcap too.
One thing you can guarantee at Kempton is a good pace (unlike Leafy, which is becoming an embarrassment again), and all ratings systems work better with a good pace.
Thanks Max.. Still need to tweak the ratings weightings but its getting there. That 16/1 and 6/1 paid for a lot of losers
3.45 at Kempton today looks a cracking contest, a listed race in all but name and should be plenty of pace on with perennial front runners Beauchamp Viceroy, Suits Me and Bravo Echo in opposition. Benandonner and Greyfriarschorsita likely to be close up too.
That obviously brings Lowther into it who will get the race run to suit and has a pretty fair chance at the weights. Return of a fully-fledged jockey will help too I think. However I do think Greyfriarschorista will take plenty of beating. Yard flying, excellent record on polytrack and he’s by no means as exposed at the rest. Basically we know how good they all are. His season flattened out after the Brittania but given how that form worked out he could prove well treated on these terms and he can sit close up from his high draw behind the pace horses. Though he’s only 11/4 now. I’d have made him around a 2/1, 9/4 chance.
345S Stanley Rigby Alt Magic Haze
450K Jessica Wigmo Alt Gilderoy
520K Crystallize Alt Kenswick
650K Archie Rice Alt The Winged Assassin
720K Ray Of Joy Alt Vintage
750K Mr Chocolate DropI’ve been busy with my day job ..
Thursday 27th January
Kempton Park: 19:20
Comment
: Not a race to get heavily involved in as there are multiple horses in this field that have more questions than answers
Contenders
Vintage – Good recent race, 7yoEbraam – 8yo but in good form based on recent run
Methaaly – 8yo, in good form but need to overcome high BHA rating
Bahamian Lad – 108 day course absence. Last All Weather win in 2009Diriculous – Win last time out and retains winning jockey. Tandem with Methaaly whom he beat.
Kempton Park: 19:50
Contenders
: 1. Yakama 2. Vezere 3. Sunset Place 4. Mr Chocolate Drop
tissues can found here: http://is.gd/4hAiEX
For a horse who exactly a year ago raced off 67 behind decent handicapper Poets Place and who today races off a ridiculous 49,
Ponting
is the best handicapped horse of the day. Heavily backed last time out and again this morning.
I’m anticipating a much improved run in a race crammed full with horses trained in out of form stables. Admittedly, Paul Midgeley’s outfit hasn’t been pulling up any trees, but he had a good handicap winner with Toby Tyler two meetings ago and the last time I saw him, he had a smile on his face. Ideally suited to conditions – a well handicapped, prominent racer and a two time winner over the sandpit 6f (the best in the field.)
Best of luck – 50,000 views today.
Southwell 2.30
Dancing Freddy – Trainer on the cold list
Gold Story – Beaten Favourite the last 3 times
Muqalad – Poor recent form
Errigal Lad – Poor form at Southwell
Dancing Wave – Out of the handicap
Itsthursdayalready – Pace biased although good recent form.
Quadrifolio – Poor recent form
Fair Bunny – No Southwell form
Ponting – Potential but no value
Running Mate – Long absence but stranger in the field
White Ledger – Out of the handicap, last win 2004Shocking race and one to avoid. The market is always a good guide at Southwell so if Itsthursdayalready receives market support “I’m out”. If not against my better judgement I’ll make a speculative 20% 80% win/place bet on
Running Mate
and
Muqalad
2.55 Lingfield
My figures suggest that recent CD winner
Pelmanism
should be able to follow up tomorrow . Nubar Boy is also of some interest at a price.
Good profit there, S, with the Smart horse.
Paul Midgely, sadly, appears to have some way to go before his horses are out of the dark woods.
I quite like both of yours, thebairn, particularly the latter. Your value bet has a hell of a lot going for it today, with the jockey change a particular eyecatcher – TQ excelled on Lay Claim on Wednesday night and this race could unfold in identical fashion. The best of luck.
Could be some fancy prices in the frame at Wolves this afternoon
210 Avonvalley(33/1) Alt Cheveyo
240 Frequency Alt Two Feet Of Snow (33/1)
340 Urban Kode
410 Black Coffee Alt West End Lad (25/1)
510 Lexis Boy Alt Farmers Wife (40/1)
540 Pilgrim Dancer Alt Charles Parnell (12/1)Best of luck
Pretty rubbish at Wolves LTO , giving Kempton a try tonight
510 Inquisitress Alt Idol Deputy
540 Dilys Maud Alt Sunset Boulevard
610 Fair Passion Alt Sherjawy
640 Polly Golightly Alt Fine Ruler
740 Could It Be MagicBest of luck
Saturday February 19th 2011
Ratings and Betting Forcasts: http://is.gd/9eeJEj
Lingfield Park 15:25
Desert Strike and Prize Point both lose their winning jockey’s which is a negative in my book. Al Gillani is noted as one who is returning to formShortlist
1. Primo De Vida 2. Al Gillani 3. Prize Point
Lingfield Park 4.00
I can find negatives in most of the runners except the current market leader and top rated Advertisement.Edit @ 13:00
– Perfect Act may be worth a speculative 20%/80% win/place bet
Lingfield Park 5.10
The Which Doctor is on a long losing run and Baylini is better over much further than today’s distance.Shortlist
1. Elna Bright 2. Night Lily 3. Audemar
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