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Well that went t1ts up
<br>edited :
And cracking stuff NV
<br>
(Edited by empty wallet at 3:48 pm on Jan. 26, 2007)
Hail the Chief took it up, but as R Hannon Jr predicted, blew up badly. Kindlelight ran poorly and was beaten someway out.
Blyth Knight came to win the race up the straight but Xtra Torrential was always travelling smoothly at the back and took it up in the final furlong, won going away to massive cheers chez moi.:biggrin:
Neither Matt Chapman or the Betfair Forum are happy about it.:cool:
Very nice EW – didn’t log on in time to have a bet :(
Come to think of it not my day though thank god Bessemer won.
As Tommo would say " get in… "  :biggrin: <br>Well done NV and EW..
(Edited by slipperytoad at 6:24 pm on Jan. 26, 2007)
The Lingfield Class 2 Bonusprint Com Handicap Stakes at 3:30 is a no bet race for me but good luck to all who are having a punt :biggrin:
I’m off twig hopping at Southwell shortly which will be a shock to the system, but I’ve left behind a bet on the quirky Anduril in the 2.55 at leafy Lingfield.
I’ve backed this at 13 a place and at 55 to win.  In October, the last time this old character ran over C and D, he attracted this comment in the RP.
"Anduril was in the process of making an effort down the straight whenstopped in his tracks. He can be rated a bit better than his final position suggests".
He was beaten two lengths in total under Saleem Golam who rides again today. Since then, he’s been running at Southwell and was unlucky three back to bump into Smart Ass, when nicely backed at prices.
This was a creditable run, bearing in mind that his hold up style was never going to be best suited to the Fibresand.  He wasn’t given the hardest race last time out to put it mildly, running on quietly when it was all over.  I expect much better today. He’s not too badly treated on the weights and has competitive speed figures.
Anduril’s also been running over a mile, which in my opinion is too short and he will be better suited to this 1m 2f distance. The draw, 11, is of no consequence as he needs dropping in.
The opposition is tough on paper with two big gambles apparent, but you should never be frightened of money particularly the Luxurix gamble which looks highly speculative to me.
Crucial course form is difficult to find and the two CD winners don’t look good enough here, (Anduril holds Storm of Arabia through Burgundy).
I’m also backing Ashleybrook at Chelters, Julie Camacho’s Canny Bay at Southwell and will continue my largely quixotic journey to get a win out of Comic Tales at Wolver in the lucky last.
Best of luck Sandmen!!:biggrin:
Max
(Edited by Maxilon 5 at 12:35 pm on Jan. 27, 2007)
4:20 Lingfield<br>Only a Class 4 event, but looks interesting enough to be worthy of a bit of a run-through.
Six runners, all of whom appear to be in form, but three with a lot to find on speed figures offering a potential angle.
First the trio with something to find…
King Of The Beers – won a weak handicap two weeks ago over this C&D, but that race has thrown up a total of 7 unplaced subsequent efforts with nothing in the positive side. Ran much the same race last time off a 7lb lower mark than today and was comfortably beaten. Makes no appeal.
Six Shots – won his maiden at Wolverhampton last time, but that race has all the hallmarks of being a very poor heat. Previously runner-up to the (currently) nifty Global Traffic, but does not seem to have improved and is now 9lbs higher.
Serpentaria – nibbled at in the market and won narrowly on her debut, showing a decent attitude. However, one of those beaten close home was the aptly-named Blue Monkey, beaten in moderate company since, and the race was notably slow. Today will be a much bigger task and the odds on offer look pretty skinny.
Of the three with decent performances in the book…
Love Dubai – quirky in the past and very disappointing on turf after a nice debut effort, but has won two on the bounce at Wolverhampton, despite looking slightly uncooperative, particularly early on. Is yet to run here and should be thereabouts, although this is potentially a much more difficult task off a mark of 78 now.
Daylami Dreams – built on promise shown last year with a nice win in a decent time over this C&D. Flashing tail didn’t seem to be a hindrance there and is not yet a cause for concern, so with the potential to improve and from a stable going well, looks one to be very interested in today.
Beau Sancy – has mixed a couple of quiet Wolves runs with some better efforts here including when chasing home Daylami Dreams last time, albeit at a respectful distance. Quite possible that this course suits better than Wolverhampton, and although marginally out of the handicap, could plod through late on to get involved.
<br>Recommendation<br>I really like Daylami Dreams here, who would appear to have a solid chance in against horses who have a lot to prove and a quirky favourite without course form.
DAYLAMI DREAMS – £5 win<br>Daylami Dreams to beat Love Dubai – £2 exacta<br>Daylami Dreams to beat Beau Sancy – £1 s/f/c<br>
Unlucky, NV.  The Johnston horses are in blinding form and this one was really well ridden to win.
Sandpit tomorrow.  Good luck all!
(Edited by Maxilon 5 at 6:16 pm on Jan. 29, 2007)
Southwell 4.00 Pontin’s Holidays Conditions Stakes (2 ) 6f
11/8 Qadar, 13/8 Waterside, 14/1 Bahamian Pirate
The dialectics (legitimate opposites) of odds compilation as Cramer would say.. Will the slow pace and stall 1 position have an effect on Qadar [Yes/No]? Will the drop back in trip and slow pace effect Waterside [Yes/No]?
As this is a co-choice race, Waterside is the overlay on my tissue and is selected. Hit and hope exacta as follows
A. Qadar, B. Waterside, C. Certain Justice
AB/ABC
It’s a shame we haven’t got those stats for Nigel Shields’ runners when he’s got more than one runner in a race.
Without them I’ll watch with interest, but won’t play.
4:00 Southwell
Indeed. The red cap/yellow cap dilemma posed by Shields makes this race pretty unappealing.
For me, Qadar is probably a slightly better horse than Waterside, but might not be as suited to Southwell. Two runs about a year ago were ok, but not conclusive.
Waterside acts really well here and has to go close.
I’m not convinced connections can play this too tactically because Bahamian Pirate has a (long) history of running really good races first time up and has good course form. That said, he is 12 now and despite holding his form admirably well to this point, some deterioration must become apparent soon.
Recommendation<br>I’m tempted to oppose Qadar here, and with the other three runners hard/impossible to fancy, I’ve waded into the shallows (I’ve gone as far as a fiver and that might be too far) with…
BAHAMIAN PIRATE, WATERSIDE – £2.50 reversed f/c
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