Alexander selections

[sporting sam]

Thirsk 3:40
Streetzofilly
Each way
Angel from above
Win

[sporting sam]

Ascot 1:35
Bond chairman win
Chipstead win
Judicial e/W

[Ben_Bernanke]

some horse that in the first at the curragh!

good luck with todays bets sam!

[sporting sam]

Thanks Ben, yes I was looking at that one earlier. Noted that Ryan was on from the start.
Ascot 2-10
The grand visir
East Asia
Both each way

[sporting sam]

The curragh

4pm

inchturk

Ayrton

both

each way

CARRACCI

win

Ayrton

is a once raced maiden, drawn in a good place, according to the draw data and physics, while inchturk has reached the mark of 78 won off in a maiden and is a further six pounds below opening handicap mark.

CARRACCI

The form is working out nicely for all around this runner have won since last run

[sporting sam]

Leicester 2-28
Individualism
Win
Has the race experience to win and support yards group entry.

[sporting sam]

York 3pm
Blue for you
Each way
The chief recipient of free energy in a race won multiple times by this trainer.
Two non runners and a bottom weight carrying a penalty point to this runner being there or thereabouts at the end.
The Gatekeeper
Each way
For Charlie Johnston has similar claims and ran a blinder when last seen.
William Buick for the Yorkshire yard is a key booking and the differing styles of Buick and Tudhope make for a key duel.

[sporting sam]

Fos las 1:40

monsieur Lambrays

each way

GRANDMASTER FLASH

Each way

[sporting sam]

Irish Cambridgeshire
6:10
Going off late
Cool and clever
Sir jack Thomas
Both each way
Draw data give sir have a big chance with six year average bang on stall 18.
While cool and clever has a penalty for a big win at cork but is well in.

[sporting sam]

2pm
Three top weights occupy three of the four lowest stalls.
Crucially Dogged carries a penalty for a win and this should bring the lowest weighted lowest drawn horse Sameen into this.
Unplugged is the top weight
Bollin Margaret is unpenalised for latest win and the rise is cancelled out by jockeys claim. With reassessment she’s up to seven pounds well in.
The draw data says that horses drawn one to three have won this race 75% from the last four races.
Sameen represents the best horse here potentially and should be backed each way won a listed race off 91 back in 2018 for Jim tate and has dropped into the low sixties now. Bollin Margaret demands a small win bet given how well in she is.
A combination tricast to include all four mentioned horses is the recommendation.

[sporting sam]

Wolverhampton 5:45
The much maglined racing league.
Cogsworth
Succession
Both each way

[sporting sam]

6:15 wolves
Hello me
Win
Razzam
Each way

[sporting sam]

22/1 runner up and 9/2 third at “impossible” wolves last night. Solid angles and while many simply deride the meetings others seek out and pick off the value.

Using draw info and the non runner here

Ascot 1:50

Give it up
Ridden by Jim Crowley has a better than average chance of making an impact here.
JC won this race from same draw two years ago. 4,5,6 have come out on top the last three years and seven years analysis points to give it up as Clive cox’s horse does not run from stall six and at the weights and draw give it up is poised to benefit.

Give it up
To place @ evens
(Three places)
It is the same as a win bet at smaller odds but you are not giving your win element away in an each way bet.
I’m confident this one will place if the physics kicks in. The weights and the draw with the absent favourite all point in the right direction.

[sporting sam]

A big challenge today I’ll be using the Alexander system to make selection for today’s national in Ireland.
I’m not sure if the race card will cut and paste from the racing website or not.

1-231Ash Tree Meadow (FR) 7,b g 11-12
Bonbon Rose (FR)-Alzasca(Grape Tree Road)
ts+(49) (Alymer Stud)
Rated 155
9/1

Gordon ElliottD J Gilligan(5)
25662Authorized Art (FR) 8,b g 11-8
Authorized (IRE)-Rock Art(Rock Of Gibraltar)
cp3(49) (Nicholas Peacock)
Rated 151
17/2

W P MullinsP Townend
3p111Salvador Ziggy (IRE) 7,b g 11-7
El Salvador (IRE)-Doncisha(Westerner)
(25) c1 d1 (William Hurley & Mrs Aisling Hurley)
Rated 150
11/2

Gordon ElliottJ W Kennedy
4-42pChemical Energy (IRE) 7,ch g 11-4
Well Chosen (GB)-Meadstown Miss(Flemensfirth)
(163) c1 d1 (Caldwell Construction Ltd)
Rated 147
18/1

Gordon ElliottJ C Gainford
5u21pFoxy Jacks (IRE) 9,b g 11-4
Fame And Glory (GB)-Benefit Ball(Beneficial)
cp+(49) (Rachel Carthy)
Rated 147
28/1

M F MorrisGavin Brouder(5)
64-10Ain’t That A Shame (IRE) 9,b g 11-3
Jeremy (USA)-Castletown Girl(Bob Back)
(158) (Robcour)
Rated 146
9/2
6/1 9/2
Henry De BromheadRachael Blackmore
7-7u6Ciel De Neige (FR) 8,b g 11-3
Authorized (IRE)-In Caso Di Neve(Country Reel)
bl7(49) (John P McManus)
Rated 146
11/1
14/1 10/1

W P MullinsM P Walsh
84p48The Goffer (IRE) 6,b g 11-2
Yeats (IRE)-Ballylough Lady(Mister Lord)
ts1(49) (Allan Snow)
Rated 145
12/1
18/1 11/1

Gordon ElliottK E Buckley(3)
9p944A Wave Of The Sea (IRE) 7,b g 11-0
Born To Sea (IRE)-Je T’adore(Montjeu)
cp6(49) (John P McManus)
Rated 143
10/1

Joseph Patrick O’BrienS D Torrens
1083u0Gabbys Cross (IRE) 8,b g 10-12
Frammassone (IRE)-Mille Et Une Nuits(Ecologist)
(49) (R S Brookhouse)
Rated 141
33/1
20/1 33/1

Henry De BromheadPeter Carberry
115191Tullybeg (IRE) 8,ch g 10-12
Sholokhov (IRE)-Verney Roe(Vinnie Roe)
ts+(19) (Bective Stud)
Rated 141
22/1

Gordon ElliottD King(5)
122849Hurricane Georgie (IRE) 6,b f 10-11
Court Cave (IRE)-Beesplease(Snurge)
(49) (Pioneer Racing)
Rated 140
28/1

Gordon ElliottM J M O’Sullivan
131121Stealthy Tom (IRE) 8,b g 10-11
Yeats (IRE)-Hi Native(Be My Native)
cp6(25) d1 (John P McManus)
Rated 140
12/1

E BolgerM M McDonagh(5)
1412p4Stumptown (IRE) 6,br g 10-11
Laverock (IRE)-Active Fieldgale(Beneficial)
(45) d1 (Furze Bush Syndicate)
Rated 140
13/2
7/1 11/2

Gavin Patrick CromwellD E Mullins
157112Toss Again (IRE) 6,br g 10-11
Malinas (GER)-Katies Fashion(Saddlers’ Hall)
ts8(25) bf (Envirogreen Housing Services Ltd)
Rated 140
18/1
12/1 25/1

Henry De BromheadD J O’Keeffe
163333Life In The Park (IRE) 6,b g 10-10
Walk In The Park (IRE)-Jeanquiri(Mansonnien)
(68) c1 bf (Barry Maloney)
Rated 139
14/1
12/1 18/1

Henry De BromheadM P O’Connor(3)
176602Born By The Sea (IRE) 9,b g 10-9
Born To Sea (IRE)-Avida Star(Montjeu)
(45) d1 (Natalie Gilligan)
Rated 138
28/1

Paul John GilliganJack G Gilligan(7)
183423Gevrey (FR) 7,b g 10-9
Saddler Maker (IRE)-Skarina(Dark Moondancer)
cp5(39) (Denis Gallagher Racing)
Rated 138
11/2
9/1 6/1
Gordon ElliottB Hayes
RESERVES
194-21Captain Cattistock (GB) 10,b g 10-7
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE)-Pearl Buttons(Alflora)
ts+cp+(154) d1 (Nic Brereton)
Rated 136 Won When Rated 137
20/1
Fergal O’BrienLiam Harrison
202171Desertmore House (IRE) 8,b g 10-6
Court Cave (IRE)-Swinley Bottom(Woods Of Windsor)
ts+(26) (O B P Carroll & Anthony Vaughan)
Rated 135
22/1
18/1 33/1

Martin BrassilR A Doyle
211-0pReal Steel (FR) 10,b g 10-6
Loup Breton (IRE)-Kalimina(Monsun)
(163) d1 (Tadhg Moynihan)
Rated 135 Won When Rated 151
33/1

E McNamaraC P McNamara
Top
First Time – In a Chase Handicap Salvador Ziggy. Tonguestrap The Goffer» Full list of First Time Gear

Probable SP 9/2 Salvador Ziggy, 6/1 Ain’t That A Shame, 7/1 Authorized Art, 8/1 Stealthy Tom, 10/1 Life In The Park, Ash Tree Meadow, Gevrey, 12/1 Stumptown, Toss Again, 14/1 Tullybeg, Chemical Energy, 16/1 The Goffer, Ciel De Neige, 20/1 A Wave Of The Sea, 25/1 Foxy Jacks, Gabbys Cross, 33/1 Others.

[sporting sam]

Captain cattistock

And

Desertmore house

both have any air of unexposed about them and they line up here unaware of the forces of physics stacked in their favour!!

No draw data in national hunt of course but free energy aplenty and with non runners at both ends of the spectrum one or both of the bottom weights may benefit.
Captain cattistock at ten attempts to buck a trend of youngsters running away with this contest since at least 2014. A soft ground lover who also gets further thirty one furlongs to be precise. Not seen since winning at Cheltenham in April.
Desertmore house has a canny trainer and also has over three miles winning form when last seen crept into the race and could win it as well. The element of physics which will either aid or prevent them from winning ? Traverse law.
Desertmore house

Captain cattistock

both each way

[sporting sam]

Well desertmore house won the Kerry national and was probably the best Alexander to date being a decent level of competition.
Another big race where everyone will be trying and a real opportunity to test out the theories and principles of Alexander.
I haven’t scraped the surface and mentioning Tesla’s principles of physics and his mathematical equation of 369 expressed in a horse race is a whole new kettle of fish……

Today it’s the turn of the Ayr bronze cup and without complete method here are the selections

B. associates

Bellagio man

Asadjumeirah

Claim the stars

rock melody

combination tricast

bellagio man each way

Asadjumeirah win

claim the stars each way

B. Associates each way
There are any number of non runners but markedly any number of horses are carrying a penalty for last time out wins and of these b. Associates a frequently good performer looks best placed to defy that penalty. In physics there is a knock on effect from horses carrying said penalties through the weights and the draw or both and there is also a knock effect of horses not running to form through either the weight or the draw.
I’ve combined these selections with some research done on the historical draw data.
Water of leith was the draw data horse but was withdrawn and subsequently there should be a knock on effect.
Draw data is my own system using recent and historical data from previous races.
I’ve worked out a way to make specific tweaks to flesh out anomalies to try and come up with an accurate assessment to try and select a likely draw based placed or winning horse and have had some success recently.
Claim the stars is in a stall adjacent to the one from which Tim Easterby won the race in the last few years. If neither of the two joint top weights fire, he is set to prosper. Tim Easterby also won the race last year from an opposite stall. So either extreme draw is a plus here coupled with being virtually out of the handicap this could just as easily benefit rock melody and music society who is the highest weighted highest drawn. But the profile of the bottom weight edges things and ticks many boxes given that he was competing at a much higher standard for mark Johnston as a juvenile and Tim Easterby has got him down from 84 to a class six handicapper in a very short space of time. So traverse law in physics works both ways so it would be suprise if the opposite were true. But I am hopeful of one of these five runners returning with gold silver or bronze.

[sporting sam]

Two in one day Listowel 1440

inchadaly Robin

each way

Punk rock Girl

win

both of these are affected by the top weight dropping out.

inchadaly robin

is a winning pointer as recently as October and could find extra here.

Punk rock girl

is particularly well treated and has very strong local connections here including professional sportsmen and off these weights no suprise to see a big performance here. With the boost of energy from the top weight

[Author]

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